Rinky Hijikata vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 16
08 Ene 2026, 08:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Rinky Hijikata
Rinky …: 52,5% Giovanni …: 47,5%
¿Por qué Rinky Hijikata?
UTR 14,82 vs 15,16 (-0,84) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Rinky … Giovanni … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,30 1,62 43,5%
Gamdom 2,34 1,60 42,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,91 2,10 52,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Rinky …: +11,1% Giovanni …: -11,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Rinky Hijikata
Ranking #114
UTR Rating 14,82 Pro
UTR Ranking #110
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 26/47 = 55,3%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Ranking #61
UTR Rating 15,16 Pro
UTR Ranking #71
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 12/28 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -44,0000
rank_ratio 0,6036
log_rank_ratio -0,5048
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -279,0000
best_rank_diff -33,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 12,4620
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 10,7802
surface_matches_ratio 1,6786
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 55,3191
surface_wr_p2 42,8571
surface_wr_p1_stable 54,9020
surface_wr_p2_stable 43,7500
p1_surface_matches 47,0000
p2_surface_matches 28,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1064
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,9333
combined_confidence 0,9667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -20,3667
first_serve_won_diff -9,6463
second_serve_won_diff -7,0956
bp_saved_diff -5,7486
bp_converted_diff 16,6204
aces_per_match_diff -6,7074
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 78,0000
momentum_p2 40,0000
momentum_diff 38,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 28,8800
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7258
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,0412
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6111
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4737
serve_consistency_p1 6,4693
serve_consistency_p2 6,4126
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -6,2913
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0972
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1154
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,8400
utr_p1 0,7565
utr_p2 0,8553
utr_advantage -5,6566
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21870
API ID 15298533
Gamdom ID 563248
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21870,
    "api_id": 15298533,
    "gamdom_id": 563248,
    "player1": "Rinky Hijikata",
    "player2": "Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-08T04:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.3,
      "p2": 1.62
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.34,
      "p2": 1.6
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.29,
      "p2": 1.61
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5246,
    "prob_p2": 0.4754,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5246,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 114,
      "utr_singles": 14.82,
      "utr_ranking": 110,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.319148936170215,
      "wr_surface_wins": 26,
      "wr_surface_total": 47,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 61,
      "utr_singles": 15.16,
      "utr_ranking": 71,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 28,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.82,
      "ranking": 110,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.16,
      "ranking": 71,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.8552941176470588,
    "utr_diff": -0.8399999999999999,
    "rank_ratio": 0.6036036036036037,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 40.0,
    "points_diff": -279,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -5.748632218844982,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 37.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 55.319148936170215,
    "surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
    "utr_advantage": -5.656565656565656,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -33,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.504837581921368,
    "rank_advantage": -44,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6111111111111112,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.47368421052631576,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 12.462006079027361,
    "bp_converted_diff": 16.62044072948328,
    "p1_surface_matches": 47,
    "p2_surface_matches": 28,
    "serve_quality_diff": -20.366709726443773,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7258064516129032,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.041237113402062,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -6.707446808510638,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -9.646276595744695,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.10638297872340426,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.469318188607333,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.41260529306751,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -6.291289014825561,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.90196078431373,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.75,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -7.095592705167171,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.6785714285714286,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 28.88000000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.09719148936170219,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.11542857142857149,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 10.780228758169939,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}