Rinky Hijikata vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 16
08 Ene 2026, 08:30
08 Ene 2026, 08:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Rinky Hijikata
Rinky …: 52,5%
Giovanni …: 47,5%
¿Por qué Rinky Hijikata?
UTR 14,82 vs 15,16
(-0,84)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Rinky … | Giovanni … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,30 | 1,62 | 43,5% |
| Gamdom | 2,34 | 1,60 | 42,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,91 | 2,10 | 52,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Rinky …: +11,1%
Giovanni …: -11,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Rinky Hijikata
Ranking
#114
UTR Rating
14,82 Pro
UTR Ranking
#110
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
26/47 = 55,3%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Ranking
#61
UTR Rating
15,16 Pro
UTR Ranking
#71
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
12/28 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -44,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,6036 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,5048 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -279,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -33,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 12,4620 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 10,7802 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,6786 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 55,3191 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54,9020 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 43,7500 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 47,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 28,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1064 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -20,3667 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -9,6463 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -7,0956 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -5,7486 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 16,6204 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -6,7074 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 38,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 28,8800 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7258 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0412 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6111 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4737 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,4693 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,4126 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -6,2913 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0972 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1154 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,8400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7565 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8553 | |
| utr_advantage | -5,6566 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21870
API ID
15298533
Gamdom ID
563248
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21870,
"api_id": 15298533,
"gamdom_id": 563248,
"player1": "Rinky Hijikata",
"player2": "Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-08T04:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.3,
"p2": 1.62
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.34,
"p2": 1.6
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.29,
"p2": 1.61
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5246,
"prob_p2": 0.4754,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5246,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 114,
"utr_singles": 14.82,
"utr_ranking": 110,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.319148936170215,
"wr_surface_wins": 26,
"wr_surface_total": 47,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 61,
"utr_singles": 15.16,
"utr_ranking": 71,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 28,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 110,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 71,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8552941176470588,
"utr_diff": -0.8399999999999999,
"rank_ratio": 0.6036036036036037,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"points_diff": -279,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -5.748632218844982,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 37.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 55.319148936170215,
"surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
"utr_advantage": -5.656565656565656,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -33,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.504837581921368,
"rank_advantage": -44,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6111111111111112,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.47368421052631576,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 12.462006079027361,
"bp_converted_diff": 16.62044072948328,
"p1_surface_matches": 47,
"p2_surface_matches": 28,
"serve_quality_diff": -20.366709726443773,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7258064516129032,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.041237113402062,
"aces_per_match_diff": -6.707446808510638,
"combined_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -9.646276595744695,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.10638297872340426,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.469318188607333,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.41260529306751,
"surface_rank_synergy": -6.291289014825561,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.90196078431373,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.75,
"second_serve_won_diff": -7.095592705167171,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.6785714285714286,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 28.88000000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.09719148936170219,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.11542857142857149,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 10.780228758169939,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}