Coleman Wong vs Gabriel Diallo
Hong Kong Men Singles | Hard | Round of 16
07 Ene 2026, 12:30
07 Ene 2026, 12:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Coleman Wong
Coleman …: 63,4%
Gabriel …: 36,6%
¿Por qué Coleman Wong?
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Coleman … | Gabriel … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,00 | 1,40 | 33,3% |
| Gamdom | 2,70 | 1,47 | 37,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,58 | 2,73 | 63,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Coleman …: +31,6%
Gabriel …: -31,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Coleman Wong
Ranking
#132
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
22/38 = 57,9%
Gabriel Diallo
Ranking
#41
UTR Rating
15,44 Pro
UTR Ranking
#33
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
18/36 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -110,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,2667 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,3218 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -809,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -95,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 7,8947 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 7,1429 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0556 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 57,8947 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 57,1429 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 38,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 36,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1579 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 5,0237 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,1776 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3,9156 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,4516 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0,1904 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,6301 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -4,7690 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,1746 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8091 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7692 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3077 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,4318 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,4575 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -10,4349 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1889 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1100 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8894 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8894 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21872
API ID
15298434
Gamdom ID
563179
Torneo
Hong Kong Men Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21872,
"api_id": 15298434,
"gamdom_id": 563179,
"player1": "Coleman Wong",
"player2": "Gabriel Diallo",
"tournament": "Hong Kong Men Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-07T08:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.0,
"p2": 1.4
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.7,
"p2": 1.47
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.63,
"p2": 1.47
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6337,
"prob_p2": 0.3663,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6337,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 132,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.89473684210527,
"wr_surface_wins": 22,
"wr_surface_total": 38,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 41,
"utr_singles": 15.44,
"utr_ranking": 33,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 36,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.44,
"ranking": 33,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.8894117647058825,
"utr_p2": 0.8894117647058825,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.26666666666666666,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 68.0,
"momentum_p2": 60.00000000000001,
"points_diff": -809,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.4516081871344966,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 7.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 57.89473684210527,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -95,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.3217558399823195,
"rank_advantage": -110,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7692307692307693,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3076923076923077,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 7.894736842105267,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.1903508771929836,
"p1_surface_matches": 38,
"p2_surface_matches": 36,
"serve_quality_diff": 5.023742690058469,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1746031746031746,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8091286307053942,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.6301169590643267,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.1776315789473557,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.15789473684210525,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.431810909655241,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.457518281171366,
"surface_rank_synergy": -10.434914526176211,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.14285714285714,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.9156432748537995,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0555555555555556,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -4.768999999999991,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.18894736842105264,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.10999999999999999,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 7.142857142857139,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}