Michael Mmoh vs Karen Khachanov
Hong Kong Men Singles | Hard | Round of 16
08 Ene 2026, 11:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Karen Khachanov
Michael …: 23,4% Karen …: 76,6%
¿Por qué Karen Khachanov?
UTR 14,54 vs 15,58 (-1,34) — Ligera ventaja
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Michael … Karen … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 4,33 1,22 23,1%
Gamdom 3,35 1,33 29,9%
IA Fair Odds 4,27 1,31 23,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Michael …: +1,4% Karen …: -1,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Michael Mmoh
Ranking #228
UTR Rating 14,54 Pro
UTR Ranking #190
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 13/24 = 54,2%
Karen Khachanov
Ranking #18
UTR Rating 15,58 Pro
UTR Ranking #21
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 15/30 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -268,0000
rank_ratio 0,0596
log_rank_ratio -2,8193
rank_tier_advantage -4,0000
points_diff -2136,0000
best_rank_diff -73,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 4,1667
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 3,2143
surface_matches_ratio 0,8000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 54,1667
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 53,5714
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 24,0000
p2_surface_matches 30,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0833
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,9000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -9,2457
first_serve_won_diff -10,6800
second_serve_won_diff 0,8700
bp_saved_diff -7,3200
bp_converted_diff 3,8500
aces_per_match_diff -2,0833
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 92,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff 42,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 20,0010
current_streak_diff 4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 68,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,2081
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 7,0935
serve_consistency_p2 4,8097
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -11,7470
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,3097
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,2680
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,3400
utr_p1 0,7459
utr_p2 0,9035
utr_advantage -8,9274
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21873
API ID 15298416
Gamdom ID 563183
Torneo Hong Kong Men Singles
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21873,
    "api_id": 15298416,
    "gamdom_id": 563183,
    "player1": "Michael Mmoh",
    "player2": "Karen Khachanov",
    "tournament": "Hong Kong Men Singles",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-08T07:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 4.333333333333334,
      "p2": 1.22
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.35,
      "p2": 1.33
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.29,
      "p2": 1.33
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2341,
    "prob_p2": 0.7659,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7659,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 228,
      "utr_singles": 14.54,
      "utr_ranking": 190,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 54.166666666666664,
      "wr_surface_wins": 13,
      "wr_surface_total": 24,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 18,
      "utr_singles": 15.58,
      "utr_ranking": 21,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.54,
      "ranking": 190,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.58,
      "ranking": 21,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7458823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.9035294117647058,
    "utr_diff": -1.3399999999999999,
    "rank_ratio": 0.05964912280701754,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 92.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": -2136,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -7.319999999999993,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 42.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.8,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 54.166666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": -8.927381745502998,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -73,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -2.8192758362124346,
    "rank_advantage": -268,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 3,
    "surface_wr_diff": 4.166666666666664,
    "bp_converted_diff": 3.8500000000000085,
    "p1_surface_matches": 24,
    "p2_surface_matches": 30,
    "serve_quality_diff": -9.245666666666665,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.2081218274111676,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.083333333333334,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9,
    "current_streak_diff": 4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -4,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -10.679999999999993,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.08333333333333333,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.093486556211056,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.809686100038045,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -11.746982650885137,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.57142857142857,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.8699999999999974,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.8,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 20.001000000000005,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 68,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.30966666666666665,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.268,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.2142857142857126,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}