Michael Mmoh vs Karen Khachanov
Hong Kong Men Singles | Hard | Round of 16
08 Ene 2026, 11:10
08 Ene 2026, 11:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Karen Khachanov
Michael …: 23,4%
Karen …: 76,6%
¿Por qué Karen Khachanov?
UTR 14,54 vs 15,58
(-1,34)
— Ligera ventaja
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Michael … | Karen … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 4,33 | 1,22 | 23,1% |
| Gamdom | 3,35 | 1,33 | 29,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 4,27 | 1,31 | 23,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Michael …: +1,4%
Karen …: -1,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Michael Mmoh
Ranking
#228
UTR Rating
14,54 Pro
UTR Ranking
#190
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
13/24 = 54,2%
Karen Khachanov
Ranking
#18
UTR Rating
15,58 Pro
UTR Ranking
#21
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
15/30 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -268,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,0596 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -2,8193 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -4,0000 | |
| points_diff | -2136,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -73,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 4,1667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 3,2143 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 54,1667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 53,5714 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 24,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0833 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -9,2457 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -10,6800 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,8700 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -7,3200 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3,8500 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,0833 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 42,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 20,0010 | |
| current_streak_diff | 4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 68,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,2081 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,0935 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,8097 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -11,7470 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,3097 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,2680 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -1,3400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7459 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,9035 | |
| utr_advantage | -8,9274 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21873
API ID
15298416
Gamdom ID
563183
Torneo
Hong Kong Men Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21873,
"api_id": 15298416,
"gamdom_id": 563183,
"player1": "Michael Mmoh",
"player2": "Karen Khachanov",
"tournament": "Hong Kong Men Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-08T07:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 4.333333333333334,
"p2": 1.22
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 3.35,
"p2": 1.33
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.29,
"p2": 1.33
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2341,
"prob_p2": 0.7659,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7659,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 228,
"utr_singles": 14.54,
"utr_ranking": 190,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 54.166666666666664,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 24,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 18,
"utr_singles": 15.58,
"utr_ranking": 21,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.54,
"ranking": 190,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.58,
"ranking": 21,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7458823529411764,
"utr_p2": 0.9035294117647058,
"utr_diff": -1.3399999999999999,
"rank_ratio": 0.05964912280701754,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 92.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": -2136,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -7.319999999999993,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 42.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.8,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 54.166666666666664,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"utr_advantage": -8.927381745502998,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -73,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -2.8192758362124346,
"rank_advantage": -268,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 3,
"surface_wr_diff": 4.166666666666664,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.8500000000000085,
"p1_surface_matches": 24,
"p2_surface_matches": 30,
"serve_quality_diff": -9.245666666666665,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.2081218274111676,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.083333333333334,
"combined_confidence": 0.9,
"current_streak_diff": 4,
"rank_tier_advantage": -4,
"first_serve_won_diff": -10.679999999999993,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.08333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.093486556211056,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.809686100038045,
"surface_rank_synergy": -11.746982650885137,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.57142857142857,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.8699999999999974,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 20.001000000000005,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 68,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.30966666666666665,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.268,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.2142857142857126,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}