Yue Yuan vs Tatiana Prozorova
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Round of 16
07 Ene 2026, 10:30
07 Ene 2026, 10:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tatiana Prozorova
Yue …: 43,9%
Tatiana …: 56,1%
¿Por qué Tatiana Prozorova?
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Yue … | Tatiana … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,67 | 2,20 | 59,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,70 | 2,22 | 58,8% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,28 | 1,78 | 43,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Yue …: -13,0%
Tatiana …: +13,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yue Yuan
Ranking
#130
UTR Rating
12,04 Pro
UTR Ranking
#95
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
8/25 = 32,0%
Tatiana Prozorova
Ranking
#174
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
6/11 = 54,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 48,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,3556 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,3042 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 143,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 104,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -22,5455 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -12,0644 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,2727 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 32,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 54,5455 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 34,4828 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 53,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 25,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 11,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,3600 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4467 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6400 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 2,2613 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,2000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,7560 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -0,5240 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -11,4000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,7673 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 48,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 90,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -42,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -26,5500 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7872 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,1667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0868 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,2101 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -6,8586 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2280 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0935 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4753 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4753 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21874
API ID
15302435
Gamdom ID
564778
Torneo
Canberra, Australia
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21874,
"api_id": 15302435,
"gamdom_id": 564778,
"player1": "Yue Yuan",
"player2": "Tatiana Prozorova",
"tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-07T06:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.67,
"p2": 2.2
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.7,
"p2": 2.22
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.67,
"p2": 2.16
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4387,
"prob_p2": 0.5613,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5613,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 130,
"utr_singles": 12.04,
"utr_ranking": 95,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 32.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 25,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 174,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 54.54545454545454,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 11,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.04,
"ranking": 95,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4752941176470587,
"utr_p2": 0.4752941176470587,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.3555555555555556,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 48.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 143,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -0.5240000000000009,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -41.99999999999998,
"p1_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 32.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 54.54545454545454,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 104,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.30421137440299156,
"rank_advantage": 48,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.16666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": -22.54545454545454,
"bp_converted_diff": -11.399999999999999,
"p1_surface_matches": 25,
"p2_surface_matches": 11,
"serve_quality_diff": 2.261345454545456,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7872340425531915,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.7672727272727273,
"combined_confidence": 0.6399999999999999,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.19999999999999574,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.36,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.086784564986603,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.21011230271082,
"surface_rank_synergy": -6.858583713812899,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 34.48275862068966,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.333333333333336,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.7560000000000073,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.272727272727273,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -26.549999999999997,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.22800000000000004,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09345454545454546,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -12.064367816091952,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}