Yue Yuan vs Tatiana Prozorova
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Round of 16
07 Ene 2026, 10:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tatiana Prozorova
Yue …: 43,9% Tatiana …: 56,1%
¿Por qué Tatiana Prozorova?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Yue … Tatiana … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,67 2,20 59,9%
Gamdom 1,70 2,22 58,8%
IA Fair Odds 2,28 1,78 43,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Yue …: -13,0% Tatiana …: +13,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yue Yuan
Ranking #130
UTR Rating 12,04 Pro
UTR Ranking #95
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 8/25 = 32,0%
Tatiana Prozorova
Ranking #174
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 6/11 = 54,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 48,0000
rank_ratio 1,3556
log_rank_ratio 0,3042
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 143,0000
best_rank_diff 104,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -22,5455
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -12,0644
surface_matches_ratio 2,2727
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 32,0000
surface_wr_p2 54,5455
surface_wr_p1_stable 34,4828
surface_wr_p2_stable 53,3333
p1_surface_matches 25,0000
p2_surface_matches 11,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,3600
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8333
p2_confidence 0,4467
combined_confidence 0,6400
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 2,2613
first_serve_won_diff -0,2000
second_serve_won_diff 2,7560
bp_saved_diff -0,5240
bp_converted_diff -11,4000
aces_per_match_diff 0,7673
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 48,0000
momentum_p2 90,0000
momentum_diff -42,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -26,5500
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7872
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,1667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 10,0868
serve_consistency_p2 8,2101
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -6,8586
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2280
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0935
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,4753
utr_p2 0,4753
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21874
API ID 15302435
Gamdom ID 564778
Torneo Canberra, Australia
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21874,
    "api_id": 15302435,
    "gamdom_id": 564778,
    "player1": "Yue Yuan",
    "player2": "Tatiana Prozorova",
    "tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-07T06:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.67,
      "p2": 2.2
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.7,
      "p2": 2.22
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.67,
      "p2": 2.16
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4387,
    "prob_p2": 0.5613,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5613,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 130,
      "utr_singles": 12.04,
      "utr_ranking": 95,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 32.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 25,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 174,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 54.54545454545454,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 11,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": 12.04,
      "ranking": 95,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4752941176470587,
    "utr_p2": 0.4752941176470587,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.3555555555555556,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 48.00000000000001,
    "momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 143,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -0.5240000000000009,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": -41.99999999999998,
    "p1_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 32.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 54.54545454545454,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 104,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.30421137440299156,
    "rank_advantage": 48,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.16666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -22.54545454545454,
    "bp_converted_diff": -11.399999999999999,
    "p1_surface_matches": 25,
    "p2_surface_matches": 11,
    "serve_quality_diff": 2.261345454545456,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7872340425531915,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.7672727272727273,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6399999999999999,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.19999999999999574,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.36,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.086784564986603,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.21011230271082,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -6.858583713812899,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 34.48275862068966,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.333333333333336,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.7560000000000073,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.272727272727273,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -26.549999999999997,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.22800000000000004,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09345454545454546,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -12.064367816091952,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}