Petra Marčinko vs Alexandra Eala
Auckland | Hard | Round of 16
08 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexandra Eala
Petra …: 42,7% Alexandra …: 57,3%
¿Por qué Alexandra Eala?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Petra … Alexandra … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,10 1,73 47,6%
IA Fair Odds 2,34 1,74 42,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Petra …: -2,5% Alexandra …: +2,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Petra Marčinko
Ranking #81
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 6/10 = 60,0%
Alexandra Eala
Ranking #49
UTR Rating 12,18 Pro
UTR Ranking #59
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 17/26 = 65,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -29,0000
rank_ratio 0,6463
log_rank_ratio -0,4364
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -239,0000
best_rank_diff -32,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -5,3846
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -4,0238
surface_matches_ratio 0,3846
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 60,0000
surface_wr_p2 65,3846
surface_wr_p1_stable 57,1429
surface_wr_p2_stable 63,3333
p1_surface_matches 10,0000
p2_surface_matches 26,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4333
p2_confidence 0,8667
combined_confidence 0,6500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 3,9286
first_serve_won_diff 6,1400
second_serve_won_diff -0,4200
bp_saved_diff 2,8800
bp_converted_diff 1,2400
aces_per_match_diff 0,4923
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 60,0000
momentum_diff -10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -10,0990
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,1837
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6250
serve_consistency_p1 11,4514
serve_consistency_p2 6,4689
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 2,3500
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1290
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1248
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,4871
utr_p2 0,4871
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21878
API ID 15302247
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
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  "match": {
    "id": 21878,
    "api_id": 15302247,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Petra Mar\u010dinko",
    "player2": "Alexandra Eala",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-08T00:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
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      "p2": 1.73
    },
    "gamdom": {
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      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
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    }
  },
  "prediction": {
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    "prob_p2": 0.5731,
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  "player_stats": {
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      "utr_singles": null,
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      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 10,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
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      "utr_singles": 12.18,
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  "utr": {
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    "bp_converted_diff": 1.2399999999999949,
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    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.49230769230769234,
    "combined_confidence": 0.65,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 6.140000000000001,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.451415831650229,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.468900461663056,
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    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.14285714285714,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 63.33333333333333,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.4199999999999946,
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    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
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  "feature_importance": {}
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