Petra Marčinko vs Alexandra Eala
Auckland | Hard | Round of 16
08 Ene 2026, 04:00
08 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexandra Eala
Petra …: 42,7%
Alexandra …: 57,3%
¿Por qué Alexandra Eala?
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Petra … | Alexandra … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,10 | 1,73 | 47,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,34 | 1,74 | 42,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Petra …: -2,5%
Alexandra …: +2,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Petra Marčinko
Ranking
#81
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
6/10 = 60,0%
Alexandra Eala
Ranking
#49
UTR Rating
12,18 Pro
UTR Ranking
#59
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
17/26 = 65,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -29,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,6463 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,4364 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -239,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -32,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -5,3846 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -4,0238 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,3846 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 65,3846 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 57,1429 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 63,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 10,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 3,9286 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 6,1400 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,4200 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,8800 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1,2400 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,4923 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -10,0990 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1837 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6250 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,4514 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,4689 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 2,3500 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1290 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1248 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4871 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4871 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21878
API ID
15302247
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21878,
"api_id": 15302247,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Petra Mar\u010dinko",
"player2": "Alexandra Eala",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-08T00:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.1,
"p2": 1.73
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.31,
"p2": 1.6
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4269,
"prob_p2": 0.5731,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5731,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 81,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 10,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 49,
"utr_singles": 12.18,
"utr_ranking": 59,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 65.38461538461539,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": null,
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"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 59,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4870588235294118,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
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"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 60.00000000000001,
"points_diff": -239,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.8799999999999955,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -10.000000000000007,
"p1_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
"p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 60.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 65.38461538461539,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -32,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.43642733371213127,
"rank_advantage": -29,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.625,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -5.384615384615387,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.2399999999999949,
"p1_surface_matches": 10,
"p2_surface_matches": 26,
"serve_quality_diff": 3.928615384615391,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.183673469387755,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.49230769230769234,
"combined_confidence": 0.65,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 6.140000000000001,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.451415831650229,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.468900461663056,
"surface_rank_synergy": 2.3499933353730156,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.14285714285714,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 63.33333333333333,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.4199999999999946,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.38461538461538464,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -10.099000000000004,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.129,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.12484615384615383,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -4.023809523809524,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}