Zizou Bergs vs Jakub Mensik
United Cup | Hard |
08 Ene 2026, 10:30
08 Ene 2026, 10:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jakub Mensik
Zizou …: 31,9%
Jakub …: 68,1%
¿Por qué Jakub Mensik?
UTR 15,15 vs 15,40
(-0,17)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Zizou … | Jakub … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,75 | 1,40 | 36,4% |
| Gamdom | 2,70 | 1,48 | 37,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,13 | 1,47 | 31,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Zizou …: -1,8%
Jakub …: +1,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Zizou Bergs
Ranking
#43
UTR Rating
15,15 Pro
UTR Ranking
#72
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
23/39 = 59,0%
Jakub Mensik
Ranking
#17
UTR Rating
15,40 Pro
UTR Ranking
#37
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
20/32 = 62,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -24,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,4286 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,8473 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -937,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -23,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -3,5256 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -2,9716 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,2188 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 58,9744 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 62,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 58,1395 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 61,1111 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 39,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1795 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -18,6296 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -7,2010 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,4519 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -12,8673 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 10,2269 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -7,7324 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 48,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 9,4030 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6713 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1710 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5385 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6190 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,9847 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,4039 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 2,9873 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1137 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1010 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8529 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8729 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,1086 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21896
API ID
15325809
Gamdom ID
578228
Torneo
United Cup
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21896,
"api_id": 15325809,
"gamdom_id": 578228,
"player1": "Zizou Bergs",
"player2": "Jakub Mensik",
"tournament": "United Cup",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-08T06:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.75,
"p2": 1.4
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.7,
"p2": 1.48
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.56,
"p2": 1.48
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3192,
"prob_p2": 0.6808,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6808,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 43,
"utr_singles": 15.15,
"utr_ranking": 72,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 58.97435897435898,
"wr_surface_wins": 23,
"wr_surface_total": 39,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 17,
"utr_singles": 15.4,
"utr_ranking": 37,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.15,
"ranking": 72,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.4,
"ranking": 37,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.8529411764705882,
"utr_p2": 0.8729411764705882,
"utr_diff": -0.16999999999999993,
"rank_ratio": 0.42857142857142855,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 48.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": -937,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -12.867307692307676,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -1.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 58.97435897435898,
"surface_wr_p2": 62.5,
"utr_advantage": -1.1085751548744698,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -23,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.8472978603872037,
"rank_advantage": -24,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5384615384615384,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6190476190476191,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -3.525641025641022,
"bp_converted_diff": 10.226923076923075,
"p1_surface_matches": 39,
"p2_surface_matches": 32,
"serve_quality_diff": -18.629647435897425,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6713286713286714,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1709844559585492,
"aces_per_match_diff": -7.732371794871795,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -7.200961538461527,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.1794871794871795,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.984738703464286,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.40390000638013,
"surface_rank_synergy": 2.9872680975189843,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.139534883720934,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.111111111111114,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.451923076923073,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.21875,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 9.403000000000006,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.11374358974358978,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.10099999999999998,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.9715762273901802,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}