Zizou Bergs vs Jakub Mensik
United Cup | Hard |
08 Ene 2026, 10:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jakub Mensik
Zizou …: 31,9% Jakub …: 68,1%
¿Por qué Jakub Mensik?
UTR 15,15 vs 15,40 (-0,17) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Zizou … Jakub … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,75 1,40 36,4%
Gamdom 2,70 1,48 37,0%
IA Fair Odds 3,13 1,47 31,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Zizou …: -1,8% Jakub …: +1,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Zizou Bergs
Ranking #43
UTR Rating 15,15 Pro
UTR Ranking #72
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 23/39 = 59,0%
Jakub Mensik
Ranking #17
UTR Rating 15,40 Pro
UTR Ranking #37
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 20/32 = 62,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -24,0000
rank_ratio 0,4286
log_rank_ratio -0,8473
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -937,0000
best_rank_diff -23,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -3,5256
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -2,9716
surface_matches_ratio 1,2188
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 58,9744
surface_wr_p2 62,5000
surface_wr_p1_stable 58,1395
surface_wr_p2_stable 61,1111
p1_surface_matches 39,0000
p2_surface_matches 32,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1795
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -18,6296
first_serve_won_diff -7,2010
second_serve_won_diff 1,4519
bp_saved_diff -12,8673
bp_converted_diff 10,2269
aces_per_match_diff -7,7324
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 48,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff -2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 9,4030
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6713
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,1710
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5385
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6190
serve_consistency_p1 5,9847
serve_consistency_p2 5,4039
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 2,9873
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1137
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1010
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1700
utr_p1 0,8529
utr_p2 0,8729
utr_advantage -1,1086
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21896
API ID 15325809
Gamdom ID 578228
Torneo United Cup
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21896,
    "api_id": 15325809,
    "gamdom_id": 578228,
    "player1": "Zizou Bergs",
    "player2": "Jakub Mensik",
    "tournament": "United Cup",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-08T06:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.75,
      "p2": 1.4
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.7,
      "p2": 1.48
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.56,
      "p2": 1.48
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3192,
    "prob_p2": 0.6808,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6808,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 43,
      "utr_singles": 15.15,
      "utr_ranking": 72,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 58.97435897435898,
      "wr_surface_wins": 23,
      "wr_surface_total": 39,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 17,
      "utr_singles": 15.4,
      "utr_ranking": 37,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 62.5,
      "wr_surface_wins": 20,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.15,
      "ranking": 72,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.4,
      "ranking": 37,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8529411764705882,
    "utr_p2": 0.8729411764705882,
    "utr_diff": -0.16999999999999993,
    "rank_ratio": 0.42857142857142855,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 48.00000000000001,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": -937,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -12.867307692307676,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -1.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 58.97435897435898,
    "surface_wr_p2": 62.5,
    "utr_advantage": -1.1085751548744698,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -23,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.8472978603872037,
    "rank_advantage": -24,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5384615384615384,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6190476190476191,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -3.525641025641022,
    "bp_converted_diff": 10.226923076923075,
    "p1_surface_matches": 39,
    "p2_surface_matches": 32,
    "serve_quality_diff": -18.629647435897425,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6713286713286714,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1709844559585492,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -7.732371794871795,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -7.200961538461527,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.1794871794871795,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.984738703464286,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.40390000638013,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 2.9872680975189843,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.139534883720934,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.111111111111114,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.451923076923073,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.21875,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 9.403000000000006,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.11374358974358978,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.10099999999999998,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.9715762273901802,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}