Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Liudmila Samsonova
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 16
08 Ene 2026, 09:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Liudmila Samsonova
Aliaksandra …: 27,7% Liudmila …: 72,3%
¿Por qué Liudmila Samsonova?
UTR 12,29 vs 12,36 (-0,22) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Aliaksandra … Liudmila … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,63 1,50 38,0%
Gamdom 2,41 1,60 41,5%
IA Fair Odds 3,60 1,38 27,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Aliaksandra …: -8,6% Liudmila …: +8,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Ranking #104
UTR Rating 12,29 Pro
UTR Ranking #42
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 15/31 = 48,4%
Liudmila Samsonova
Ranking #18
UTR Rating 12,36 Pro
UTR Ranking #38
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 13/27 = 48,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -96,0000
rank_ratio 0,1504
log_rank_ratio -1,8942
rank_tier_advantage -3,0000
points_diff -1537,0000
best_rank_diff -17,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,2389
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,1751
surface_matches_ratio 1,1481
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 48,3871
surface_wr_p2 48,1481
surface_wr_p1_stable 48,5714
surface_wr_p2_stable 48,3871
p1_surface_matches 31,0000
p2_surface_matches 27,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0323
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,9000
combined_confidence 0,9500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -6,4205
first_serve_won_diff -4,7387
second_serve_won_diff -1,1742
bp_saved_diff -1,0581
bp_converted_diff -3,1484
aces_per_match_diff -1,8495
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 98,0000
momentum_p2 62,0000
momentum_diff 36,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 21,5500
current_streak_diff 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5745
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6290
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 8,4655
serve_consistency_p2 8,3590
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,4526
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0799
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1145
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,2200
utr_p1 0,4871
utr_p2 0,5129
utr_advantage -1,7959
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21898
API ID 15302188
Gamdom ID 564710
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21898,
    "api_id": 15302188,
    "gamdom_id": 564710,
    "player1": "Aliaksandra Sasnovich",
    "player2": "Liudmila Samsonova",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-08T05:25:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.63,
      "p2": 1.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.41,
      "p2": 1.6
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.33,
      "p2": 1.59
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2774,
    "prob_p2": 0.7226,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7226,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 104,
      "utr_singles": 12.29,
      "utr_ranking": 42,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.38709677419355,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 31,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 18,
      "utr_singles": 12.36,
      "utr_ranking": 38,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.148148148148145,
      "wr_surface_wins": 13,
      "wr_surface_total": 27,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": 42,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 38,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
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  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_diff": -0.21999999999999886,
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    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
    "points_diff": -1537,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -1.0580645161290292,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 35.99999999999997,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9,
    "surface_wr_p1": 48.38709677419355,
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    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.8941744746561244,
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    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 3,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0.23894862604540634,
    "bp_converted_diff": -3.1483870967741936,
    "p1_surface_matches": 31,
    "p2_surface_matches": 27,
    "serve_quality_diff": -6.420537634408596,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.574468085106383,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6290322580645161,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.8494623655913975,
    "combined_confidence": 0.95,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -4.738709677419351,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.03225806451612903,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.465490373883478,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.358993504863566,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.4526103882093603,
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    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.07987096774193547,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.11451851851851852,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.1751152073732669,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}