Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Liudmila Samsonova
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 16
08 Ene 2026, 09:25
08 Ene 2026, 09:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Liudmila Samsonova
Aliaksandra …: 27,7%
Liudmila …: 72,3%
¿Por qué Liudmila Samsonova?
UTR 12,29 vs 12,36
(-0,22)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Aliaksandra … | Liudmila … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,63 | 1,50 | 38,0% |
| Gamdom | 2,41 | 1,60 | 41,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,60 | 1,38 | 27,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Aliaksandra …: -8,6%
Liudmila …: +8,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Ranking
#104
UTR Rating
12,29 Pro
UTR Ranking
#42
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
15/31 = 48,4%
Liudmila Samsonova
Ranking
#18
UTR Rating
12,36 Pro
UTR Ranking
#38
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
13/27 = 48,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -96,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,1504 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,8942 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -3,0000 | |
| points_diff | -1537,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -17,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,2389 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,1751 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,1481 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 48,3871 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 48,1481 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 48,5714 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 48,3871 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 27,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0323 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -6,4205 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4,7387 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,1742 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1,0581 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3,1484 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,8495 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 36,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 21,5500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5745 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6290 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,4655 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,3590 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,4526 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0799 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1145 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,2200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4871 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5129 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,7959 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21898
API ID
15302188
Gamdom ID
564710
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21898,
"api_id": 15302188,
"gamdom_id": 564710,
"player1": "Aliaksandra Sasnovich",
"player2": "Liudmila Samsonova",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-08T05:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.63,
"p2": 1.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.41,
"p2": 1.6
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.33,
"p2": 1.59
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2774,
"prob_p2": 0.7226,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7226,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 104,
"utr_singles": 12.29,
"utr_ranking": 42,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.38709677419355,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 18,
"utr_singles": 12.36,
"utr_ranking": 38,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.148148148148145,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 27,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.29,
"ranking": 42,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.36,
"ranking": 38,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4870588235294118,
"utr_p2": 0.5129411764705881,
"utr_diff": -0.21999999999999886,
"rank_ratio": 0.1504424778761062,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"points_diff": -1537,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.0580645161290292,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 35.99999999999997,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.9,
"surface_wr_p1": 48.38709677419355,
"surface_wr_p2": 48.148148148148145,
"utr_advantage": -1.7959183673469294,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -17,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.8941744746561244,
"rank_advantage": -96,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 3,
"surface_wr_diff": 0.23894862604540634,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.1483870967741936,
"p1_surface_matches": 31,
"p2_surface_matches": 27,
"serve_quality_diff": -6.420537634408596,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.574468085106383,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6290322580645161,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.8494623655913975,
"combined_confidence": 0.95,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"rank_tier_advantage": -3,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.738709677419351,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.03225806451612903,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.465490373883478,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.358993504863566,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.4526103882093603,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.57142857142857,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.38709677419355,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.1741935483871018,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.1481481481481481,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 21.549999999999983,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.07987096774193547,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.11451851851851852,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.1751152073732669,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}