Simona Waltert vs Daria Snigur
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Quarterfinals
08 Ene 2026, 03:30
08 Ene 2026, 03:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Simona Waltert
Simona …: 70,1%
Daria …: 30,0%
¿Por qué Simona Waltert?
UTR 12,15 vs 11,96
(+0,31)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Simona … | Daria … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,73 | 2,10 | 57,8% |
| Gamdom | 2,12 | 1,76 | 47,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,43 | 3,34 | 70,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Simona …: +15,2%
Daria …: -15,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Simona Waltert
Ranking
#87
UTR Rating
12,15 Pro
UTR Ranking
#66
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
8/12 = 66,7%
Daria Snigur
Ranking
#136
UTR Rating
11,96 Pro
UTR Ranking
#117
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
7/13 = 53,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 61,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,6932 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,5266 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 338,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 19,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 12,8205 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 4,4608 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9231 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 53,8462 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 62,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 52,9412 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 12,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 13,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4600 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4733 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 10,9695 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 10,0244 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,1936 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 7,6282 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3,8038 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,3077 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 72,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 8,5800 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,2565 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,9618 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 6,7514 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1057 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0995 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 12,8205 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,3100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4965 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4600 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,5694 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21900
API ID
15302437
Gamdom ID
564772
Torneo
Canberra, Australia
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21900,
"api_id": 15302437,
"gamdom_id": 564772,
"player1": "Simona Waltert",
"player2": "Daria Snigur",
"tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2026-01-07T23:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.73,
"p2": 2.1
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.12,
"p2": 1.76
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.01,
"p2": 1.77
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7005,
"prob_p2": 0.2995,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7005,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 87,
"utr_singles": 12.15,
"utr_ranking": 66,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 12,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 136,
"utr_singles": 11.96,
"utr_ranking": 117,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 13,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.15,
"ranking": 66,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.96,
"ranking": 117,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.46,
"utr_diff": 0.3100000000000005,
"rank_ratio": 1.6931818181818181,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 72.0,
"points_diff": 338,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 7.628205128205131,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 8.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.46,
"p2_confidence": 0.47333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 66.66666666666666,
"surface_wr_p2": 53.84615384615385,
"utr_advantage": 2.569415665147124,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 19,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.5266094914672527,
"rank_advantage": 61,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 12.82051282051281,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.803846153846152,
"p1_surface_matches": 12,
"p2_surface_matches": 13,
"serve_quality_diff": 10.969487179487174,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.3076923076923075,
"combined_confidence": 0.4666666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 10.024358974358975,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.256545104842705,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.961787386240198,
"surface_rank_synergy": 6.751403736759644,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.5,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.94117647058824,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.1935897435897473,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9230769230769231,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 8.580000000000013,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 12.82051282051281,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10566666666666658,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09946153846153838,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.460784313725489,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}