Simona Waltert vs Daria Snigur
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Quarterfinals
08 Ene 2026, 03:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Simona Waltert
Simona …: 70,1% Daria …: 30,0%
¿Por qué Simona Waltert?
UTR 12,15 vs 11,96 (+0,31) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Simona … Daria … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,73 2,10 57,8%
Gamdom 2,12 1,76 47,2%
IA Fair Odds 1,43 3,34 70,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Simona …: +15,2% Daria …: -15,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Simona Waltert
Ranking #87
UTR Rating 12,15 Pro
UTR Ranking #66
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 8/12 = 66,7%
Daria Snigur
Ranking #136
UTR Rating 11,96 Pro
UTR Ranking #117
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 7/13 = 53,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 61,0000
rank_ratio 1,6932
log_rank_ratio 0,5266
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 338,0000
best_rank_diff 19,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 12,8205
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 4,4608
surface_matches_ratio 0,9231
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 66,6667
surface_wr_p2 53,8462
surface_wr_p1_stable 62,5000
surface_wr_p2_stable 52,9412
p1_surface_matches 12,0000
p2_surface_matches 13,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3333
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4600
p2_confidence 0,4733
combined_confidence 0,4667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 10,9695
first_serve_won_diff 10,0244
second_serve_won_diff -2,1936
bp_saved_diff 7,6282
bp_converted_diff -3,8038
aces_per_match_diff 3,3077
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 80,0000
momentum_p2 72,0000
momentum_diff 8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 8,5800
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 1,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,8000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 6,2565
serve_consistency_p2 5,9618
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 6,7514
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1057
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0995
elite_surface_amplifier 12,8205
UTR
utr_diff 0,3100
utr_p1 0,4965
utr_p2 0,4600
utr_advantage 2,5694
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21900
API ID 15302437
Gamdom ID 564772
Torneo Canberra, Australia
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21900,
    "api_id": 15302437,
    "gamdom_id": 564772,
    "player1": "Simona Waltert",
    "player2": "Daria Snigur",
    "tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2026-01-07T23:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.73,
      "p2": 2.1
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.12,
      "p2": 1.76
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.01,
      "p2": 1.77
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7005,
    "prob_p2": 0.2995,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7005,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 87,
      "utr_singles": 12.15,
      "utr_ranking": 66,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 12,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 136,
      "utr_singles": 11.96,
      "utr_ranking": 117,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 13,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.15,
      "ranking": 66,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.96,
      "ranking": 117,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4964705882352942,
    "utr_p2": 0.46,
    "utr_diff": 0.3100000000000005,
    "rank_ratio": 1.6931818181818181,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 80.0,
    "momentum_p2": 72.0,
    "points_diff": 338,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 7.628205128205131,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 8.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.46,
    "p2_confidence": 0.47333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 66.66666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p2": 53.84615384615385,
    "utr_advantage": 2.569415665147124,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 19,
    "h2h_on_surface": 1,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.5266094914672527,
    "rank_advantage": 61,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 12.82051282051281,
    "bp_converted_diff": -3.803846153846152,
    "p1_surface_matches": 12,
    "p2_surface_matches": 13,
    "serve_quality_diff": 10.969487179487174,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.3076923076923075,
    "combined_confidence": 0.4666666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 10.024358974358975,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.256545104842705,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.961787386240198,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 6.751403736759644,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.5,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.94117647058824,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.1935897435897473,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.9230769230769231,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 8.580000000000013,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 12.82051282051281,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10566666666666658,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09946153846153838,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.460784313725489,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}