Tamara Zidansek vs Joanna Garland
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Quarterfinals
08 Ene 2026, 05:05
08 Ene 2026, 05:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tamara Zidansek
Tamara …: 69,8%
Joanna …: 30,2%
¿Por qué Tamara Zidansek?
UTR 11,85 vs 11,86
(+0,21)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Tamara … | Joanna … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,00 | 1,80 | 50,0% |
| Gamdom | 2,55 | 1,55 | 39,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,43 | 3,31 | 69,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Tamara …: +22,5%
Joanna …: -22,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tamara Zidansek
Ranking
#151
UTR Rating
11,85 Pro
UTR Ranking
#140
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
5/8 = 62,5%
Joanna Garland
Ranking
#117
UTR Rating
11,86 Pro
UTR Ranking
#143
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
3/7 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -27,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8269 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1900 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -110,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 98,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 19,6429 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 2,3394 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,1429 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 62,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 56,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,1515 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 8,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 7,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2500 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4067 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3933 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -5,7675 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,7000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4,7250 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 20,9750 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3,6000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 18,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 11,2000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6071 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,2781 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,9989 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -3,7330 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1520 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0984 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4565 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4318 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,7834 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21902
API ID
15302440
Gamdom ID
564771
Torneo
Canberra, Australia
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21902,
"api_id": 15302440,
"gamdom_id": 564771,
"player1": "Tamara Zidansek",
"player2": "Joanna Garland",
"tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2026-01-08T01:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.0,
"p2": 1.8
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.55,
"p2": 1.55
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.47,
"p2": 1.52
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6983,
"prob_p2": 0.3017,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6983,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 151,
"utr_singles": 11.85,
"utr_ranking": 140,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 8,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 117,
"utr_singles": 11.86,
"utr_ranking": 143,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.85,
"ranking": 140,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.86,
"ranking": 143,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4564705882352942,
"utr_p2": 0.43176470588235294,
"utr_diff": 0.21000000000000085,
"rank_ratio": 0.8269230769230769,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 80.0,
"points_diff": -110,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 20.975,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 17.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 62.5,
"surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
"utr_advantage": 1.783439490445867,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 98,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.19004360288786498,
"rank_advantage": -27,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": 19.642857142857146,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.5999999999999943,
"p1_surface_matches": 8,
"p2_surface_matches": 7,
"serve_quality_diff": -5.767499999999991,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6071428571428571,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.4,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.6999999999999886,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.25,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.278072357883467,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.998916869093509,
"surface_rank_synergy": -3.7329993424402055,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.151515151515156,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.725000000000001,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.1428571428571428,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 11.199999999999989,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.15200000000000002,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.09842857142857148,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.3393939393939376,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}