Xinyu Wang vs Francesca Jones
Auckland | Hard | Quarterfinals
09 Ene 2026, 02:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Francesca Jones
Xinyu …: 38,0% Francesca …: 62,0%
¿Por qué Francesca Jones?
UTR 12,25 vs 12,16 (+0,01) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Xinyu … Francesca … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,73 2,10 57,8%
Gamdom 1,37 3,10 73,0%
IA Fair Odds 2,63 1,61 38,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Xinyu …: -16,9% Francesca …: +16,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Xinyu Wang
Ranking #46
UTR Rating 12,25 Pro
UTR Ranking #54
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 12/27 = 44,4%
Francesca Jones
Ranking #71
UTR Rating 12,16 Pro
UTR Ranking #61
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 11/17 = 64,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 15,0000
rank_ratio 1,2632
log_rank_ratio 0,2336
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 144,0000
best_rank_diff 39,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -20,2614
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -12,2785
surface_matches_ratio 1,5882
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 44,4444
surface_wr_p2 64,7059
surface_wr_p1_stable 45,1613
surface_wr_p2_stable 61,9048
p1_surface_matches 27,0000
p2_surface_matches 17,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1111
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9000
p2_confidence 0,5667
combined_confidence 0,7333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -0,7947
first_serve_won_diff -3,4105
second_serve_won_diff -2,6586
bp_saved_diff -7,2699
bp_converted_diff -1,8989
aces_per_match_diff 0,8540
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 70,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 3,0400
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7416
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,3913
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,2500
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,8000
serve_consistency_p1 7,0229
serve_consistency_p2 6,4895
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -4,7334
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0706
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1621
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0100
utr_p1 0,4918
utr_p2 0,4906
utr_advantage 0,0821
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21906
API ID 15302253
Gamdom ID 564744
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21906,
    "api_id": 15302253,
    "gamdom_id": 564744,
    "player1": "Xinyu Wang",
    "player2": "Francesca Jones",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2026-01-08T22:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.73,
      "p2": 2.1
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.37,
      "p2": 3.1
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.36,
      "p2": 3.1
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3796,
    "prob_p2": 0.6204,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6204,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 46,
      "utr_singles": 12.25,
      "utr_ranking": 54,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 44.44444444444444,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 27,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 71,
      "utr_singles": 12.16,
      "utr_ranking": 61,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 64.70588235294117,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 17,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.25,
      "ranking": 54,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.16,
      "ranking": 61,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4917647058823529,
    "utr_p2": 0.49058823529411766,
    "utr_diff": 0.009999999999999787,
    "rank_ratio": 1.263157894736842,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "points_diff": 144,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -7.269934640522884,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9,
    "p2_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 44.44444444444444,
    "surface_wr_p2": 64.70588235294117,
    "utr_advantage": 0.08213552361396129,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 39,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.2336148511815051,
    "rank_advantage": 15,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.25,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -20.26143790849673,
    "bp_converted_diff": -1.8989106753812663,
    "p1_surface_matches": 27,
    "p2_surface_matches": 17,
    "serve_quality_diff": -0.7947494553376799,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7415730337078652,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.391304347826087,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.854030501089325,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7333333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -3.410457516339875,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.1111111111111111,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.022879819696415,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.489494849332985,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -4.7333728017167696,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 45.16129032258064,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.904761904761905,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.6586056644880074,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.588235294117647,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 3.0400000000000063,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.0705555555555556,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1620588235294117,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -12.278545826932929,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}