Xinyu Wang vs Francesca Jones
Auckland | Hard | Quarterfinals
09 Ene 2026, 02:30
09 Ene 2026, 02:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Francesca Jones
Xinyu …: 38,0%
Francesca …: 62,0%
¿Por qué Francesca Jones?
UTR 12,25 vs 12,16
(+0,01)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Xinyu … | Francesca … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,73 | 2,10 | 57,8% |
| Gamdom | 1,37 | 3,10 | 73,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,63 | 1,61 | 38,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Xinyu …: -16,9%
Francesca …: +16,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Xinyu Wang
Ranking
#46
UTR Rating
12,25 Pro
UTR Ranking
#54
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
12/27 = 44,4%
Francesca Jones
Ranking
#71
UTR Rating
12,16 Pro
UTR Ranking
#61
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
11/17 = 64,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 15,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,2632 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,2336 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 144,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 39,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -20,2614 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -12,2785 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,5882 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 44,4444 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 64,7059 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 45,1613 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 61,9048 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 27,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 17,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1111 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0,7947 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3,4105 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,6586 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -7,2699 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1,8989 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,8540 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 3,0400 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7416 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,3913 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,8000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,0229 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,4895 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -4,7334 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0706 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1621 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4918 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4906 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0821 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21906
API ID
15302253
Gamdom ID
564744
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21906,
"api_id": 15302253,
"gamdom_id": 564744,
"player1": "Xinyu Wang",
"player2": "Francesca Jones",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2026-01-08T22:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.73,
"p2": 2.1
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.37,
"p2": 3.1
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.36,
"p2": 3.1
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3796,
"prob_p2": 0.6204,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6204,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 46,
"utr_singles": 12.25,
"utr_ranking": 54,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 44.44444444444444,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 27,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 71,
"utr_singles": 12.16,
"utr_ranking": 61,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 64.70588235294117,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 17,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.25,
"ranking": 54,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.16,
"ranking": 61,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.49058823529411766,
"utr_diff": 0.009999999999999787,
"rank_ratio": 1.263157894736842,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"points_diff": 144,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -7.269934640522884,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.9,
"p2_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 44.44444444444444,
"surface_wr_p2": 64.70588235294117,
"utr_advantage": 0.08213552361396129,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 39,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.2336148511815051,
"rank_advantage": 15,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.25,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -20.26143790849673,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.8989106753812663,
"p1_surface_matches": 27,
"p2_surface_matches": 17,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.7947494553376799,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7415730337078652,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.391304347826087,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.854030501089325,
"combined_confidence": 0.7333333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.410457516339875,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.1111111111111111,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.022879819696415,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.489494849332985,
"surface_rank_synergy": -4.7333728017167696,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 45.16129032258064,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.904761904761905,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.6586056644880074,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.588235294117647,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 3.0400000000000063,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.0705555555555556,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1620588235294117,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -12.278545826932929,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}