Mirra Andreeva vs Linda Noskova
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 16
08 Ene 2026, 15:10
08 Ene 2026, 15:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Mirra Andreeva
Mirra …: 69,9%
Linda …: 30,2%
¿Por qué Mirra Andreeva?
UTR 12,64 vs 12,56
(+0,10)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Mirra … | Linda … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,57 | 2,38 | 63,7% |
| Gamdom | 1,42 | 2,95 | 70,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,43 | 3,32 | 69,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Mirra …: +9,6%
Linda …: -9,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mirra Andreeva
Ranking
#7
UTR Rating
12,64 Pro
UTR Ranking
#10
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
24/32 = 75,0%
Linda Noskova
Ranking
#13
UTR Rating
12,56 Pro
UTR Ranking
#19
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
27/44 = 61,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,3333 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,2877 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1484,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 8,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 13,6364 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 11,8056 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7273 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 75,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 61,3636 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 72,2222 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 60,4167 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 44,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,5000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -5,6814 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1,9000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,7182 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 7,6091 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2,6273 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,1080 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 42,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -26,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -32,5340 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 3,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,6247 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,4000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7446 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9725 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7143 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,7576 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,7916 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 3,9229 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2470 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1166 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 13,6364 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5482 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5365 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,7930 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21907
API ID
15302181
Gamdom ID
564717
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21907,
"api_id": 15302181,
"gamdom_id": 564717,
"player1": "Mirra Andreeva",
"player2": "Linda Noskova",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-08T11:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5699999999999998,
"p2": 2.38
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.42,
"p2": 2.95
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.44,
"p2": 2.74
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6985,
"prob_p2": 0.3015,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6985,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 7,
"utr_singles": 12.64,
"utr_ranking": 10,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 75.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 13,
"utr_singles": 12.56,
"utr_ranking": 19,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 61.36363636363637,
"wr_surface_wins": 27,
"wr_surface_total": 44,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 10,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 19,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.5364705882352941,
"utr_diff": 0.09999999999999964,
"rank_ratio": 1.3333333333333333,
"h2h_matches": 3,
"momentum_p1": 42.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 68.0,
"points_diff": 1484,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 7.609090909090902,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -25.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 75.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 61.36363636363637,
"utr_advantage": 0.7930214115781098,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 8,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.28768207245178085,
"rank_advantage": 3,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7142857142857143,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 13.636363636363633,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.627272727272725,
"p1_surface_matches": 32,
"p2_surface_matches": 44,
"serve_quality_diff": -5.681363636363628,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7445652173913043,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9724770642201835,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.107954545454546,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.8999999999999915,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.39999999999999997,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.6246950856121375,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.757579765940482,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.791562204847876,
"surface_rank_synergy": 3.9229373516151926,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 72.22222222222221,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 60.416666666666664,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.7181818181818187,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7272727272727273,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -32.534000000000006,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 13.636363636363633,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.247,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.11663636363636365,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 11.80555555555555,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_p1": 2,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}