Mirra Andreeva vs Linda Noskova
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 16
08 Ene 2026, 15:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Mirra Andreeva
Mirra …: 69,9% Linda …: 30,2%
¿Por qué Mirra Andreeva?
UTR 12,64 vs 12,56 (+0,10) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Mirra … Linda … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,57 2,38 63,7%
Gamdom 1,42 2,95 70,4%
IA Fair Odds 1,43 3,32 69,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Mirra …: +9,6% Linda …: -9,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mirra Andreeva
Ranking #7
UTR Rating 12,64 Pro
UTR Ranking #10
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 24/32 = 75,0%
Linda Noskova
Ranking #13
UTR Rating 12,56 Pro
UTR Ranking #19
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 27/44 = 61,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 3,0000
rank_ratio 1,3333
log_rank_ratio 0,2877
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 1484,0000
best_rank_diff 8,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 13,6364
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 11,8056
surface_matches_ratio 0,7273
surface_tournaments_won_diff 2,0000
surface_wr_p1 75,0000
surface_wr_p2 61,3636
surface_wr_p1_stable 72,2222
surface_wr_p2_stable 60,4167
p1_surface_matches 32,0000
p2_surface_matches 44,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,5000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -5,6814
first_serve_won_diff -1,9000
second_serve_won_diff -1,7182
bp_saved_diff 7,6091
bp_converted_diff 2,6273
aces_per_match_diff -2,1080
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 42,0000
momentum_p2 68,0000
momentum_diff -26,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -32,5340
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 3,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,6667
h2h_on_surface 1,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,6247
h2h_confidence_score 0,4000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7446
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9725
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7143
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 8,7576
serve_consistency_p2 9,7916
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 3,9229
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2470
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1166
elite_surface_amplifier 13,6364
UTR
utr_diff 0,1000
utr_p1 0,5482
utr_p2 0,5365
utr_advantage 0,7930
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21907
API ID 15302181
Gamdom ID 564717
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21907,
    "api_id": 15302181,
    "gamdom_id": 564717,
    "player1": "Mirra Andreeva",
    "player2": "Linda Noskova",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-08T11:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5699999999999998,
      "p2": 2.38
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.42,
      "p2": 2.95
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.44,
      "p2": 2.74
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6985,
    "prob_p2": 0.3015,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6985,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 7,
      "utr_singles": 12.64,
      "utr_ranking": 10,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 75.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 24,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 13,
      "utr_singles": 12.56,
      "utr_ranking": 19,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 61.36363636363637,
      "wr_surface_wins": 27,
      "wr_surface_total": 44,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.64,
      "ranking": 10,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.56,
      "ranking": 19,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.548235294117647,
    "utr_p2": 0.5364705882352941,
    "utr_diff": 0.09999999999999964,
    "rank_ratio": 1.3333333333333333,
    "h2h_matches": 3,
    "momentum_p1": 42.00000000000001,
    "momentum_p2": 68.0,
    "points_diff": 1484,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 7.609090909090902,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -25.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 75.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 61.36363636363637,
    "utr_advantage": 0.7930214115781098,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 8,
    "h2h_on_surface": 1,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.28768207245178085,
    "rank_advantage": 3,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7142857142857143,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 13.636363636363633,
    "bp_converted_diff": 2.627272727272725,
    "p1_surface_matches": 32,
    "p2_surface_matches": 44,
    "serve_quality_diff": -5.681363636363628,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7445652173913043,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9724770642201835,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.107954545454546,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -1.8999999999999915,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.39999999999999997,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.6246950856121375,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.5,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.757579765940482,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.791562204847876,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 3.9229373516151926,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 72.22222222222221,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 60.416666666666664,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.7181818181818187,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.7272727272727273,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -32.534000000000006,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 13.636363636363633,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.247,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.11663636363636365,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 11.80555555555555,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 2,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}