Marta Kostyuk vs Amanda Anisimova
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 16
08 Ene 2026, 14:40
08 Ene 2026, 14:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Amanda Anisimova
Marta …: 37,7%
Amanda …: 62,3%
¿Por qué Amanda Anisimova?
UTR 12,61 vs 12,84
(-0,33)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Marta … | Amanda … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,00 | 1,40 | 33,3% |
| Gamdom | 2,95 | 1,42 | 33,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,65 | 1,61 | 37,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Marta …: +5,9%
Amanda …: -5,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Marta Kostyuk
Ranking
#20
UTR Rating
12,61 Pro
UTR Ranking
#14
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
22/35 = 62,9%
Amanda Anisimova
Ranking
#4
UTR Rating
12,84 Pro
UTR Ranking
#4
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
27/37 = 73,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -23,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,1154 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -2,1595 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -4628,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -12,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -10,1158 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -9,1932 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9459 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 62,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 72,9730 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 61,5385 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 70,7317 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 35,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 37,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2571 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0,3082 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,5290 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,1188 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5,6203 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3,7650 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,2185 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -18,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -21,7200 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7569 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9504 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,4940 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,5474 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 21,8450 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1516 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2067 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,3300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5329 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5718 | |
| utr_advantage | -2,5994 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21908
API ID
15302190
Gamdom ID
564712
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21908,
"api_id": 15302190,
"gamdom_id": 564712,
"player1": "Marta Kostyuk",
"player2": "Amanda Anisimova",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-08T10:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.0,
"p2": 1.4
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.95,
"p2": 1.42
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.06,
"p2": 1.37
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3773,
"prob_p2": 0.6227,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6227,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 20,
"utr_singles": 12.61,
"utr_ranking": 14,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 22,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 4,
"utr_singles": 12.84,
"utr_ranking": 4,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 72.97297297297297,
"wr_surface_wins": 27,
"wr_surface_total": 37,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.61,
"ranking": 14,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.84,
"ranking": 4,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.5717647058823528,
"utr_diff": -0.33000000000000007,
"rank_ratio": 0.11538461538461539,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 68.0,
"points_diff": -4628,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.620308880308876,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -18.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 62.857142857142854,
"surface_wr_p2": 72.97297297297297,
"utr_advantage": -2.599448601811737,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -12,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -2.159484249353372,
"rank_advantage": -23,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -10.115830115830114,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.765019305019301,
"p1_surface_matches": 35,
"p2_surface_matches": 37,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.3082393822393925,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7568627450980392,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.950381679389313,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.21853281853281858,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.5289575289575055,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2571428571428571,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.494016985200583,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.547440466214058,
"surface_rank_synergy": 21.84497580426963,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.53846153846154,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 70.73170731707317,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.118841698841692,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9459459459459459,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -21.72,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.15157142857142858,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2067297297297297,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.193245778611633,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}