Marta Kostyuk vs Amanda Anisimova
Brisbane | Hard | Round of 16
08 Ene 2026, 14:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Amanda Anisimova
Marta …: 37,7% Amanda …: 62,3%
¿Por qué Amanda Anisimova?
UTR 12,61 vs 12,84 (-0,33) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Marta … Amanda … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,00 1,40 33,3%
Gamdom 2,95 1,42 33,9%
IA Fair Odds 2,65 1,61 37,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Marta …: +5,9% Amanda …: -5,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Marta Kostyuk
Ranking #20
UTR Rating 12,61 Pro
UTR Ranking #14
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 22/35 = 62,9%
Amanda Anisimova
Ranking #4
UTR Rating 12,84 Pro
UTR Ranking #4
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 27/37 = 73,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -23,0000
rank_ratio 0,1154
log_rank_ratio -2,1595
rank_tier_advantage -2,0000
points_diff -4628,0000
best_rank_diff -12,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -10,1158
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -9,1932
surface_matches_ratio 0,9459
surface_tournaments_won_diff -2,0000
surface_wr_p1 62,8571
surface_wr_p2 72,9730
surface_wr_p1_stable 61,5385
surface_wr_p2_stable 70,7317
p1_surface_matches 35,0000
p2_surface_matches 37,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2571
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -0,3082
first_serve_won_diff 1,5290
second_serve_won_diff -2,1188
bp_saved_diff 5,6203
bp_converted_diff 3,7650
aces_per_match_diff -0,2185
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 68,0000
momentum_diff -18,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -21,7200
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7569
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9504
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6000
serve_consistency_p1 11,4940
serve_consistency_p2 7,5474
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 21,8450
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1516
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2067
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,3300
utr_p1 0,5329
utr_p2 0,5718
utr_advantage -2,5994
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21908
API ID 15302190
Gamdom ID 564712
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21908,
    "api_id": 15302190,
    "gamdom_id": 564712,
    "player1": "Marta Kostyuk",
    "player2": "Amanda Anisimova",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-08T10:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.0,
      "p2": 1.4
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.95,
      "p2": 1.42
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.06,
      "p2": 1.37
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3773,
    "prob_p2": 0.6227,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6227,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 20,
      "utr_singles": 12.61,
      "utr_ranking": 14,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 62.857142857142854,
      "wr_surface_wins": 22,
      "wr_surface_total": 35,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 4,
      "utr_singles": 12.84,
      "utr_ranking": 4,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 72.97297297297297,
      "wr_surface_wins": 27,
      "wr_surface_total": 37,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.61,
      "ranking": 14,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.84,
      "ranking": 4,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5329411764705881,
    "utr_p2": 0.5717647058823528,
    "utr_diff": -0.33000000000000007,
    "rank_ratio": 0.11538461538461539,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 68.0,
    "points_diff": -4628,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 5.620308880308876,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -18.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 62.857142857142854,
    "surface_wr_p2": 72.97297297297297,
    "utr_advantage": -2.599448601811737,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -12,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -2.159484249353372,
    "rank_advantage": -23,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -10.115830115830114,
    "bp_converted_diff": 3.765019305019301,
    "p1_surface_matches": 35,
    "p2_surface_matches": 37,
    "serve_quality_diff": -0.3082393822393925,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7568627450980392,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.950381679389313,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.21853281853281858,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.5289575289575055,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2571428571428571,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.494016985200583,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.547440466214058,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 21.84497580426963,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.53846153846154,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 70.73170731707317,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.118841698841692,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.9459459459459459,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -21.72,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.15157142857142858,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2067297297297297,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.193245778611633,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}