Yue Yuan vs Polina Kudermetova
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Quarterfinals
08 Ene 2026, 05:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Polina Kudermetova
Yue …: 40,3% Polina …: 59,7%
¿Por qué Polina Kudermetova?
UTR 12,04 vs 11,71 (+0,46) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Yue … Polina … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,57 2,38 63,7%
Gamdom 1,58 2,47 63,3%
IA Fair Odds 2,48 1,68 40,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Yue …: -19,9% Polina …: +19,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yue Yuan
Ranking #130
UTR Rating 12,04 Pro
UTR Ranking #95
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 8/25 = 32,0%
Polina Kudermetova
Ranking #150
UTR Rating 11,71 Pro
UTR Ranking #182
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 17/35 = 48,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 32,0000
rank_ratio 1,2370
log_rank_ratio 0,2127
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 116,0000
best_rank_diff 18,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -16,5714
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -13,0489
surface_matches_ratio 0,7143
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 32,0000
surface_wr_p2 48,5714
surface_wr_p1_stable 34,4828
surface_wr_p2_stable 48,7179
p1_surface_matches 25,0000
p2_surface_matches 35,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,3600
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8333
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,9167
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -4,8486
first_serve_won_diff -1,8657
second_serve_won_diff -2,6526
bp_saved_diff 0,2989
bp_converted_diff -4,3686
aces_per_match_diff -1,5600
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 72,0000
momentum_p2 78,0000
momentum_diff -6,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -1,5000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7872
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7468
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,1667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6000
serve_consistency_p1 10,1600
serve_consistency_p2 11,4456
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -3,5251
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2120
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0177
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,4600
utr_p1 0,4753
utr_p2 0,4212
utr_advantage 3,8950
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21909
API ID 15302432
Gamdom ID 564776
Torneo Canberra, Australia
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21909,
    "api_id": 15302432,
    "gamdom_id": 564776,
    "player1": "Yue Yuan",
    "player2": "Polina Kudermetova",
    "tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2026-01-08T01:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5699999999999998,
      "p2": 2.38
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.58,
      "p2": 2.47
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.56,
      "p2": 2.38
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4034,
    "prob_p2": 0.5966,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5966,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 130,
      "utr_singles": 12.04,
      "utr_ranking": 95,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 32.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 25,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 150,
      "utr_singles": 11.71,
      "utr_ranking": 182,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.57142857142857,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 35,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.04,
      "ranking": 95,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.71,
      "ranking": 182,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4752941176470587,
    "utr_p2": 0.4211764705882353,
    "utr_diff": 0.4599999999999991,
    "rank_ratio": 1.237037037037037,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 72.0,
    "momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 116,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.2988571428571447,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -5.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 32.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 48.57142857142857,
    "utr_advantage": 3.8950042337002464,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 18,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.2127190339783256,
    "rank_advantage": 32,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.16666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -16.57142857142857,
    "bp_converted_diff": -4.368571428571428,
    "p1_surface_matches": 25,
    "p2_surface_matches": 35,
    "serve_quality_diff": -4.84862857142857,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7872340425531915,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7468354430379747,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.56,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9166666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -1.8657142857142759,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.36,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.159994891032794,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.445643841576938,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -3.525058277355109,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 34.48275862068966,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.717948717948715,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.6525714285714272,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.7142857142857143,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -1.5,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.21200000000000002,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.017714285714285738,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -13.048924255820802,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}