Yue Yuan vs Polina Kudermetova
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Quarterfinals
08 Ene 2026, 05:00
08 Ene 2026, 05:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Polina Kudermetova
Yue …: 40,3%
Polina …: 59,7%
¿Por qué Polina Kudermetova?
UTR 12,04 vs 11,71
(+0,46)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Yue … | Polina … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,57 | 2,38 | 63,7% |
| Gamdom | 1,58 | 2,47 | 63,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,48 | 1,68 | 40,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Yue …: -19,9%
Polina …: +19,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yue Yuan
Ranking
#130
UTR Rating
12,04 Pro
UTR Ranking
#95
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
8/25 = 32,0%
Polina Kudermetova
Ranking
#150
UTR Rating
11,71 Pro
UTR Ranking
#182
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
17/35 = 48,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 32,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,2370 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,2127 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 116,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 18,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -16,5714 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -13,0489 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7143 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 32,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 48,5714 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 34,4828 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 48,7179 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 25,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 35,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,3600 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8333 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9167 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -4,8486 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1,8657 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,6526 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,2989 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -4,3686 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,5600 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 72,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -6,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -1,5000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7872 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7468 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,1667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,1600 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,4456 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -3,5251 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2120 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0177 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,4600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4753 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4212 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,8950 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21909
API ID
15302432
Gamdom ID
564776
Torneo
Canberra, Australia
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21909,
"api_id": 15302432,
"gamdom_id": 564776,
"player1": "Yue Yuan",
"player2": "Polina Kudermetova",
"tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2026-01-08T01:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5699999999999998,
"p2": 2.38
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.58,
"p2": 2.47
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.56,
"p2": 2.38
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4034,
"prob_p2": 0.5966,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5966,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 130,
"utr_singles": 12.04,
"utr_ranking": 95,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 32.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 25,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 150,
"utr_singles": 11.71,
"utr_ranking": 182,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.57142857142857,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.04,
"ranking": 95,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.71,
"ranking": 182,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4752941176470587,
"utr_p2": 0.4211764705882353,
"utr_diff": 0.4599999999999991,
"rank_ratio": 1.237037037037037,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 72.0,
"momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 116,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.2988571428571447,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -5.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 32.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 48.57142857142857,
"utr_advantage": 3.8950042337002464,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 18,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.2127190339783256,
"rank_advantage": 32,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.16666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -16.57142857142857,
"bp_converted_diff": -4.368571428571428,
"p1_surface_matches": 25,
"p2_surface_matches": 35,
"serve_quality_diff": -4.84862857142857,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7872340425531915,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7468354430379747,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.56,
"combined_confidence": 0.9166666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.8657142857142759,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.36,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.159994891032794,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.445643841576938,
"surface_rank_synergy": -3.525058277355109,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 34.48275862068966,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.717948717948715,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.6525714285714272,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7142857142857143,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -1.5,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.21200000000000002,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.017714285714285738,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -13.048924255820802,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}