Himeno Sakatsume vs Ekaterine Gorgodze
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Quarterfinals
08 Ene 2026, 07:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ekaterine Gorgodze
Himeno …: 49,5% Ekaterine …: 50,5%
¿Por qué Ekaterine Gorgodze?
UTR 12,04 vs 11,63 (+0,17) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (36%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Himeno … Ekaterine … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,44 2,75 69,4%
Gamdom 1,45 2,85 69,0%
IA Fair Odds 2,02 1,98 49,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Himeno …: -16,1% Ekaterine …: +16,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Himeno Sakatsume
Ranking #140
UTR Rating 12,04 Pro
UTR Ranking #94
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 4/7 = 57,1%
Ekaterine Gorgodze
Ranking #169
UTR Rating 11,63 Pro
UTR Ranking #202
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 1/2 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 25,0000
rank_ratio 1,1656
log_rank_ratio 0,1532
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 72,0000
best_rank_diff -47,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 7,1429
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 6,7169
surface_matches_ratio 3,5000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 57,1429
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 55,3247
surface_wr_p2_stable 36,6667
p1_surface_matches 7,0000
p2_surface_matches 2,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1429
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3933
p2_confidence 0,3267
combined_confidence 0,3600
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 6,4014
first_serve_won_diff 16,9000
second_serve_won_diff -15,4000
bp_saved_diff -2,8000
bp_converted_diff 15,6000
aces_per_match_diff 1,2857
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 98,0000
momentum_p2 98,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 6,5814
serve_consistency_p2 4,6812
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 1,0943
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0464
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0250
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,1700
utr_p1 0,4400
utr_p2 0,4200
utr_advantage 1,4586
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21910
API ID 15302431
Gamdom ID 564775
Torneo Canberra, Australia
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21910,
    "api_id": 15302431,
    "gamdom_id": 564775,
    "player1": "Himeno Sakatsume",
    "player2": "Ekaterine Gorgodze",
    "tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2026-01-08T03:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.44,
      "p2": 2.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.45,
      "p2": 2.85
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.42,
      "p2": 2.78
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4952,
    "prob_p2": 0.5048,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5048,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 140,
      "utr_singles": 12.04,
      "utr_ranking": 94,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 7,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 169,
      "utr_singles": 11.63,
      "utr_ranking": 202,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 2,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.04,
      "ranking": 94,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.63,
      "ranking": 202,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.44,
    "utr_p2": 0.42000000000000004,
    "utr_diff": 0.16999999999999993,
    "rank_ratio": 1.1655629139072847,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 72,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -2.799999999999997,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 57.14285714285714,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": 1.458601458601458,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -47,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.15320415822322742,
    "rank_advantage": 25,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 7.142857142857139,
    "bp_converted_diff": 15.600000000000001,
    "p1_surface_matches": 7,
    "p2_surface_matches": 2,
    "serve_quality_diff": 6.401428571428561,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.2857142857142856,
    "combined_confidence": 0.36,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 16.89999999999999,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.14285714285714285,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.581414715070756,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.68124397580598,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 1.094315415880195,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.32467532467532,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 36.666666666666664,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -15.399999999999999,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 3.5,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.046428571428571375,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.025000000000000022,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.716883116883115,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}