Himeno Sakatsume vs Ekaterine Gorgodze
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Quarterfinals
08 Ene 2026, 07:05
08 Ene 2026, 07:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ekaterine Gorgodze
Himeno …: 49,5%
Ekaterine …: 50,5%
¿Por qué Ekaterine Gorgodze?
UTR 12,04 vs 11,63
(+0,17)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (36%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Himeno … | Ekaterine … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,44 | 2,75 | 69,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,45 | 2,85 | 69,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,02 | 1,98 | 49,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Himeno …: -16,1%
Ekaterine …: +16,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Himeno Sakatsume
Ranking
#140
UTR Rating
12,04 Pro
UTR Ranking
#94
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
4/7 = 57,1%
Ekaterine Gorgodze
Ranking
#169
UTR Rating
11,63 Pro
UTR Ranking
#202
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
1/2 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 25,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,1656 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,1532 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 72,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -47,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 7,1429 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 6,7169 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 3,5000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 57,1429 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 55,3247 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 36,6667 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 7,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 2,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1429 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3933 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3267 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3600 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 6,4014 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 16,9000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -15,4000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,8000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 15,6000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,2857 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,5814 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,6812 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1,0943 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0464 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0250 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4400 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4200 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,4586 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21910
API ID
15302431
Gamdom ID
564775
Torneo
Canberra, Australia
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21910,
"api_id": 15302431,
"gamdom_id": 564775,
"player1": "Himeno Sakatsume",
"player2": "Ekaterine Gorgodze",
"tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2026-01-08T03:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.44,
"p2": 2.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.45,
"p2": 2.85
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.42,
"p2": 2.78
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4952,
"prob_p2": 0.5048,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5048,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 140,
"utr_singles": 12.04,
"utr_ranking": 94,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 169,
"utr_singles": 11.63,
"utr_ranking": 202,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 2,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.04,
"ranking": 94,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.63,
"ranking": 202,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.42000000000000004,
"utr_diff": 0.16999999999999993,
"rank_ratio": 1.1655629139072847,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 72,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.799999999999997,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 57.14285714285714,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"utr_advantage": 1.458601458601458,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -47,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.15320415822322742,
"rank_advantage": 25,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 7.142857142857139,
"bp_converted_diff": 15.600000000000001,
"p1_surface_matches": 7,
"p2_surface_matches": 2,
"serve_quality_diff": 6.401428571428561,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.2857142857142856,
"combined_confidence": 0.36,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 16.89999999999999,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.14285714285714285,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.581414715070756,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.68124397580598,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.094315415880195,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.32467532467532,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 36.666666666666664,
"second_serve_won_diff": -15.399999999999999,
"surface_matches_ratio": 3.5,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.046428571428571375,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.025000000000000022,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.716883116883115,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}