Natsuho Arakawa vs Kanna Soeda
UTR Yokohama W01 | Hard | Semifinals
08 Ene 2026, 08:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Natsuho Arakawa
Natsuho …: 55,3% Kanna …: 44,7%
¿Por qué Natsuho Arakawa?
UTR 9,63 vs 8,00 — Niveles similares
Natsuho …
Sin datos
Kanna …
W23-L41
36% WR
vs UTR 8,9
W1
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Natsuho … Kanna … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,17 4,50 85,7%
Gamdom 1,19 3,70 84,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,81 2,24 55,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Natsuho …: -24,1% Kanna …: +24,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Natsuho Arakawa
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 9,63 Pro
UTR Ranking #1221
Forma L5 33% (3p)
Forma L10 33% (3p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Kanna Soeda
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 8,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #1396
Forma L5 33% (3p)
Forma L10 33% (3p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Natsuho Arakawa
Sin datos UTR v4
Kanna Soeda
Record 2025 23W - 41L (36%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 8,9
Últimos 5:
W L L W L
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 33,3333
momentum_p2 22,2222
momentum_diff 11,1111
weighted_momentum_diff 8,3333
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 4,4027
serve_consistency_p2 4,9752
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,1176
utr_p2 0,1176
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21916
API ID 15326650
Gamdom ID 578578
Torneo UTR Yokohama W01
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21916,
    "api_id": 15326650,
    "gamdom_id": 578578,
    "player1": "Natsuho Arakawa",
    "player2": "Kanna Soeda",
    "tournament": "UTR Yokohama W01",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2026-01-08T04:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.1666666666666667,
      "p2": 4.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.19,
      "p2": 3.7
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.18,
      "p2": 4.34
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5533,
    "prob_p2": 0.4467,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5533,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 9.63,
      "utr_ranking": 1221,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 8.0,
      "utr_ranking": 1396,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 23,
      "utr_v4_losses": 41,
      "utr_v4_wr": 35.9375,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 8.9,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 7.0,
          "opponent_name": "Hanh Hong Ngo"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Xiaochuan Nie"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Saily Prashantkumar Thakkar"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 7.0,
          "opponent_name": "Kokoa Nakao"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.06,
          "opponent_name": "Moeka Miyata"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:05.637480+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 9.63,
      "ranking": 1221,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 8.0,
      "ranking": 1396,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.11764705882352941,
    "utr_p2": 0.11764705882352941,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 33.33333333333333,
    "momentum_p2": 22.222222222222225,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 11.111111111111104,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.402749674158749,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.9751961034443415,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 8.333333333333329,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}