Lorenzo Musetti vs Coleman Wong
Hong Kong Men Singles | Hard | Quarterfinals
09 Ene 2026, 09:30
09 Ene 2026, 09:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Lorenzo Musetti
Lorenzo …: 74,9%
Coleman …: 25,2%
¿Por qué Lorenzo Musetti?
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Lorenzo … | Coleman … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,28 | 3,75 | 78,1% |
| Gamdom | 1,26 | 3,90 | 79,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,34 | 3,98 | 74,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Lorenzo …: +0,3%
Coleman …: -0,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lorenzo Musetti
Ranking
#5
UTR Rating
15,77 Pro
UTR Ranking
#9
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
22/37 = 59,5%
Coleman Wong
Ranking
#132
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
22/38 = 57,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 143,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 21,4286 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 3,0647 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 4,0000 | |
| points_diff | 3584,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 122,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 1,5647 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1,3937 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9737 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 59,4595 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 57,8947 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 58,5366 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 57,1429 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 37,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 38,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1892 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -5,8986 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,9148 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 7,7802 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,1276 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3,7560 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,8876 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -7,3500 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0545 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1746 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7692 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,9290 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,4067 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 4,7954 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0484 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2219 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 6,2589 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9247 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,9247 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21920
API ID
15298423
Gamdom ID
563178
Torneo
Hong Kong Men Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21920,
"api_id": 15298423,
"gamdom_id": 563178,
"player1": "Lorenzo Musetti",
"player2": "Coleman Wong",
"tournament": "Hong Kong Men Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2026-01-09T05:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.28,
"p2": 3.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.26,
"p2": 3.9
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.25,
"p2": 3.84
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7485,
"prob_p2": 0.2515,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7485,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 5,
"utr_singles": 15.77,
"utr_ranking": 9,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 59.45945945945946,
"wr_surface_wins": 22,
"wr_surface_total": 37,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 132,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.89473684210527,
"wr_surface_wins": 22,
"wr_surface_total": 38,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.77,
"ranking": 9,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.9247058823529412,
"utr_p2": 0.9247058823529412,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 21.428571428571427,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 60.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 80.0,
"points_diff": 3584,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.12759601706969903,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -19.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 59.45945945945946,
"surface_wr_p2": 57.89473684210527,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 122,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 3.0647251450409425,
"rank_advantage": 143,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4666666666666667,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7692307692307693,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 1.5647226173541924,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.7560455192034112,
"p1_surface_matches": 37,
"p2_surface_matches": 38,
"serve_quality_diff": -5.898577524893312,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0544554455445545,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1746031746031746,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.8876244665718342,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 4,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.9147937411095199,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.1891891891891892,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.929011106708809,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.406699291929117,
"surface_rank_synergy": 4.79544475041967,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.536585365853654,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 57.14285714285714,
"second_serve_won_diff": 7.7802275960170775,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9736842105263158,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -7.3500000000000085,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 6.2588904694167695,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.04840540540540539,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.22194736842105267,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.3937282229965149,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}