Iva Jovic vs Sofia Costoulas
Auckland | Hard | Quarterfinals
09 Ene 2026, 06:25
09 Ene 2026, 06:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Iva Jovic
Iva …: 74,4%
Sofia …: 25,6%
¿Por qué Iva Jovic?
UTR 12,41 vs 11,72
(+0,69)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Iva … | Sofia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,30 | 3,50 | 76,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,27 | 3,80 | 78,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,34 | 3,91 | 74,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Iva …: +1,5%
Sofia …: -1,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Iva Jovic
Ranking
#27
UTR Rating
12,41 Pro
UTR Ranking
#39
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
12/19 = 63,2%
Sofia Costoulas
Ranking
#143
UTR Rating
11,72 Pro
UTR Ranking
#179
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
1/4 = 25,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 124,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 4,5429 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,5136 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 983,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 116,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 38,1579 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 14,1718 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 4,7500 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 63,1579 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 25,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 60,8696 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 32,1429 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 19,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 4,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2632 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,6333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3533 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4933 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -2,6292 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,0500 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 5,1000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,7000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 15,9750 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,8421 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -18,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -6,6000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7778 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,8054 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,6657 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 57,7541 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0076 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1260 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 76,3158 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,6900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5094 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4282 | |
| utr_advantage | 5,7572 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21921
API ID
15302241
Gamdom ID
564735
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21921,
"api_id": 15302241,
"gamdom_id": 564735,
"player1": "Iva Jovic",
"player2": "Sofia Costoulas",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2026-01-09T02:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.3,
"p2": 3.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.27,
"p2": 3.8
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.26,
"p2": 3.78
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7443,
"prob_p2": 0.2557,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7443,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 27,
"utr_singles": 12.41,
"utr_ranking": 39,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 63.1578947368421,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 19,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 143,
"utr_singles": 11.72,
"utr_ranking": 179,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 25.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 4,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.41,
"ranking": 39,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.72,
"ranking": 179,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4282352941176471,
"utr_diff": 0.6899999999999995,
"rank_ratio": 4.542857142857143,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 983,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.6999999999999957,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": -17.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 63.1578947368421,
"surface_wr_p2": 25.0,
"utr_advantage": 5.75719649561952,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 116,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.5135561407308178,
"rank_advantage": 124,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": 38.1578947368421,
"bp_converted_diff": 15.974999999999994,
"p1_surface_matches": 19,
"p2_surface_matches": 4,
"serve_quality_diff": -2.629210526315788,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7777777777777778,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.8421052631578947,
"combined_confidence": 0.4933333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.0500000000000043,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2631578947368421,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.805399687501086,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.665737036779275,
"surface_rank_synergy": 57.75411589630752,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.86956521739131,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 32.14285714285714,
"second_serve_won_diff": 5.099999999999987,
"surface_matches_ratio": 4.75,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -6.599999999999994,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 76.3157894736842,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0075789473684210185,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.126,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 14.171842650103525,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}