Iva Jovic vs Sofia Costoulas
Auckland | Hard | Quarterfinals
09 Ene 2026, 06:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Iva Jovic
Iva …: 74,4% Sofia …: 25,6%
¿Por qué Iva Jovic?
UTR 12,41 vs 11,72 (+0,69) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Iva … Sofia … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,30 3,50 76,9%
Gamdom 1,27 3,80 78,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,34 3,91 74,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Iva …: +1,5% Sofia …: -1,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Iva Jovic
Ranking #27
UTR Rating 12,41 Pro
UTR Ranking #39
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 12/19 = 63,2%
Sofia Costoulas
Ranking #143
UTR Rating 11,72 Pro
UTR Ranking #179
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 1/4 = 25,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 124,0000
rank_ratio 4,5429
log_rank_ratio 1,5136
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 983,0000
best_rank_diff 116,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 38,1579
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 14,1718
surface_matches_ratio 4,7500
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 63,1579
surface_wr_p2 25,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 60,8696
surface_wr_p2_stable 32,1429
p1_surface_matches 19,0000
p2_surface_matches 4,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2632
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,6333
p2_confidence 0,3533
combined_confidence 0,4933
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -2,6292
first_serve_won_diff 3,0500
second_serve_won_diff 5,1000
bp_saved_diff 2,7000
bp_converted_diff 15,9750
aces_per_match_diff -2,8421
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 80,0000
momentum_p2 98,0000
momentum_diff -18,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -6,6000
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7778
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 7,8054
serve_consistency_p2 10,6657
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 57,7541
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0076
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1260
elite_surface_amplifier 76,3158
UTR
utr_diff 0,6900
utr_p1 0,5094
utr_p2 0,4282
utr_advantage 5,7572
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21921
API ID 15302241
Gamdom ID 564735
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21921,
    "api_id": 15302241,
    "gamdom_id": 564735,
    "player1": "Iva Jovic",
    "player2": "Sofia Costoulas",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2026-01-09T02:25:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3,
      "p2": 3.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.27,
      "p2": 3.8
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.26,
      "p2": 3.78
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7443,
    "prob_p2": 0.2557,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7443,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 27,
      "utr_singles": 12.41,
      "utr_ranking": 39,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 63.1578947368421,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 19,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 143,
      "utr_singles": 11.72,
      "utr_ranking": 179,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 25.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 4,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.41,
      "ranking": 39,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.72,
      "ranking": 179,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5094117647058823,
    "utr_p2": 0.4282352941176471,
    "utr_diff": 0.6899999999999995,
    "rank_ratio": 4.542857142857143,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 80.0,
    "momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 983,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 2.6999999999999957,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -17.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 63.1578947368421,
    "surface_wr_p2": 25.0,
    "utr_advantage": 5.75719649561952,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 116,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.5135561407308178,
    "rank_advantage": 124,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 38.1578947368421,
    "bp_converted_diff": 15.974999999999994,
    "p1_surface_matches": 19,
    "p2_surface_matches": 4,
    "serve_quality_diff": -2.629210526315788,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7777777777777778,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.8421052631578947,
    "combined_confidence": 0.4933333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.0500000000000043,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2631578947368421,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.805399687501086,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.665737036779275,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 57.75411589630752,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.86956521739131,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 32.14285714285714,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 5.099999999999987,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 4.75,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -6.599999999999994,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 76.3157894736842,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0075789473684210185,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.126,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 14.171842650103525,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}