Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges
Hong Kong Men Singles | Hard | Quarterfinals
09 Ene 2026, 11:05
09 Ene 2026, 11:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Andrey Rublev
Andrey …: 53,6%
Nuno …: 46,4%
¿Por qué Andrey Rublev?
UTR 15,53 vs 15,18
(+0,37)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Andrey … | Nuno … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,44 | 2,75 | 69,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,48 | 2,70 | 67,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,87 | 2,15 | 53,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Andrey …: -12,1%
Nuno …: +12,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Andrey Rublev
Ranking
#15
UTR Rating
15,53 Pro
UTR Ranking
#27
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
22/39 = 56,4%
Nuno Borges
Ranking
#46
UTR Rating
15,18 Pro
UTR Ranking
#64
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
18/35 = 51,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 29,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,8125 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,0341 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1390,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 25,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 4,9817 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 4,5319 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,1143 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 56,4103 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 51,4286 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 55,8140 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 51,2821 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 39,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 35,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1282 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 10,5057 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 6,3281 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,7174 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,5096 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1,0289 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,4132 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -12,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -11,0300 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,1879 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7193 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4706 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,1329 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,0150 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 5,1514 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0351 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0433 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 4,9817 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,3700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8941 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8506 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,4003 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21924
API ID
15298433
Gamdom ID
563186
Torneo
Hong Kong Men Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21924,
"api_id": 15298433,
"gamdom_id": 563186,
"player1": "Andrey Rublev",
"player2": "Nuno Borges",
"tournament": "Hong Kong Men Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2026-01-09T07:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.44,
"p2": 2.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.48,
"p2": 2.7
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.47,
"p2": 2.64
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5356,
"prob_p2": 0.4644,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5356,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 15,
"utr_singles": 15.53,
"utr_ranking": 27,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.41025641025641,
"wr_surface_wins": 22,
"wr_surface_total": 39,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 46,
"utr_singles": 15.18,
"utr_ranking": 64,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.42857142857142,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.53,
"ranking": 27,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.18,
"ranking": 64,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8505882352941176,
"utr_diff": 0.3699999999999992,
"rank_ratio": 2.8125,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 68.0,
"momentum_p2": 80.0,
"points_diff": 1390,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.5095970695970777,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -12.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 56.41025641025641,
"surface_wr_p2": 51.42857142857142,
"utr_advantage": 2.4002594875121583,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 25,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.0340737675305385,
"rank_advantage": 29,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 4.981684981684985,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.028937728937727,
"p1_surface_matches": 39,
"p2_surface_matches": 35,
"serve_quality_diff": 10.505670329670316,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1879194630872483,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7192982456140351,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.4131868131868135,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 6.328131868131848,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.1282051282051282,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.132916161231218,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.014977287057182,
"surface_rank_synergy": 5.151429757661294,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.81395348837209,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.28205128205128,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.717435897435891,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.1142857142857143,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -11.029999999999987,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 4.981684981684985,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.03510256410256407,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.04328571428571426,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.531902206320815,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}