Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges
Hong Kong Men Singles | Hard | Quarterfinals
09 Ene 2026, 11:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Andrey Rublev
Andrey …: 53,6% Nuno …: 46,4%
¿Por qué Andrey Rublev?
UTR 15,53 vs 15,18 (+0,37) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Andrey … Nuno … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,44 2,75 69,4%
Gamdom 1,48 2,70 67,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,87 2,15 53,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Andrey …: -12,1% Nuno …: +12,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Andrey Rublev
Ranking #15
UTR Rating 15,53 Pro
UTR Ranking #27
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 22/39 = 56,4%
Nuno Borges
Ranking #46
UTR Rating 15,18 Pro
UTR Ranking #64
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 18/35 = 51,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 29,0000
rank_ratio 2,8125
log_rank_ratio 1,0341
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 1390,0000
best_rank_diff 25,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 4,9817
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 4,5319
surface_matches_ratio 1,1143
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 56,4103
surface_wr_p2 51,4286
surface_wr_p1_stable 55,8140
surface_wr_p2_stable 51,2821
p1_surface_matches 39,0000
p2_surface_matches 35,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1282
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 10,5057
first_serve_won_diff 6,3281
second_serve_won_diff 1,7174
bp_saved_diff 1,5096
bp_converted_diff 1,0289
aces_per_match_diff 3,4132
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 68,0000
momentum_p2 80,0000
momentum_diff -12,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -11,0300
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 1,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,1879
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7193
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4706
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 8,1329
serve_consistency_p2 9,0150
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 5,1514
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0351
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0433
elite_surface_amplifier 4,9817
UTR
utr_diff 0,3700
utr_p1 0,8941
utr_p2 0,8506
utr_advantage 2,4003
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21924
API ID 15298433
Gamdom ID 563186
Torneo Hong Kong Men Singles
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21924,
    "api_id": 15298433,
    "gamdom_id": 563186,
    "player1": "Andrey Rublev",
    "player2": "Nuno Borges",
    "tournament": "Hong Kong Men Singles",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2026-01-09T07:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.44,
      "p2": 2.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.48,
      "p2": 2.7
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.47,
      "p2": 2.64
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5356,
    "prob_p2": 0.4644,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5356,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 15,
      "utr_singles": 15.53,
      "utr_ranking": 27,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.41025641025641,
      "wr_surface_wins": 22,
      "wr_surface_total": 39,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 46,
      "utr_singles": 15.18,
      "utr_ranking": 64,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.42857142857142,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 35,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.53,
      "ranking": 27,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.18,
      "ranking": 64,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8941176470588235,
    "utr_p2": 0.8505882352941176,
    "utr_diff": 0.3699999999999992,
    "rank_ratio": 2.8125,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 68.0,
    "momentum_p2": 80.0,
    "points_diff": 1390,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.5095970695970777,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -12.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 56.41025641025641,
    "surface_wr_p2": 51.42857142857142,
    "utr_advantage": 2.4002594875121583,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 25,
    "h2h_on_surface": 1,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.0340737675305385,
    "rank_advantage": 29,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 4.981684981684985,
    "bp_converted_diff": 1.028937728937727,
    "p1_surface_matches": 39,
    "p2_surface_matches": 35,
    "serve_quality_diff": 10.505670329670316,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1879194630872483,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7192982456140351,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.4131868131868135,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 6.328131868131848,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.1282051282051282,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.132916161231218,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.014977287057182,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 5.151429757661294,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.81395348837209,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.28205128205128,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.717435897435891,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.1142857142857143,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -11.029999999999987,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 4.981684981684985,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.03510256410256407,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.04328571428571426,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.531902206320815,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}