Daria Snigur vs Joanna Garland
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Semifinals
09 Ene 2026, 03:30
09 Ene 2026, 03:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Daria Snigur
Daria …: 58,7%
Joanna …: 41,3%
¿Por qué Daria Snigur?
UTR 11,96 vs 11,86
(+0,24)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Daria … | Joanna … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,53 | 2,50 | 65,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,57 | 2,49 | 63,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,70 | 2,42 | 58,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Daria …: -3,3%
Joanna …: +3,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Daria Snigur
Ranking
#136
UTR Rating
11,96 Pro
UTR Ranking
#117
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
7/13 = 53,8%
Joanna Garland
Ranking
#117
UTR Rating
11,86 Pro
UTR Ranking
#143
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
3/7 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -20,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8658 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1441 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -76,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 15,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 10,9890 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1,2089 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,8571 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 53,8462 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 52,9412 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,1515 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 13,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 7,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0769 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4733 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3933 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -7,4862 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4,1077 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,7231 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 15,5385 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -8,8462 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,3077 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 90,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 1,3800 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,9499 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,7137 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,5839 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0585 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0914 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4600 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4318 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,0356 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21945
API ID
15302441
Gamdom ID
564781
Torneo
Canberra, Australia
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21945,
"api_id": 15302441,
"gamdom_id": 564781,
"player1": "Daria Snigur",
"player2": "Joanna Garland",
"tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2026-01-08T23:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.53,
"p2": 2.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.57,
"p2": 2.49
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.54,
"p2": 2.41
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5874,
"prob_p2": 0.4126,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5874,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 136,
"utr_singles": 11.96,
"utr_ranking": 117,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 13,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 117,
"utr_singles": 11.86,
"utr_ranking": 143,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.96,
"ranking": 117,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.86,
"ranking": 143,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.46,
"utr_p2": 0.43176470588235294,
"utr_diff": 0.2400000000000002,
"rank_ratio": 0.8657718120805369,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 89.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 92.0,
"points_diff": -76,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 15.53846153846154,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -2.000000000000014,
"p1_confidence": 0.47333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 53.84615384615385,
"surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
"utr_advantage": 2.035623409669213,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 15,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.14413390158378706,
"rank_advantage": -20,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 10.989010989010993,
"bp_converted_diff": -8.846153846153847,
"p1_surface_matches": 13,
"p2_surface_matches": 7,
"serve_quality_diff": -7.48615384615384,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.3076923076923075,
"combined_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.107692307692304,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.07692307692307693,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.949867209300852,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.713679909211545,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.583889028393265,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.94117647058824,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.151515151515156,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.723076923076924,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.8571428571428572,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 1.3799999999999955,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.058461538461538454,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.09142857142857147,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.2088532382650028,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}