Daria Snigur vs Joanna Garland
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Semifinals
09 Ene 2026, 03:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Daria Snigur
Daria …: 58,7% Joanna …: 41,3%
¿Por qué Daria Snigur?
UTR 11,96 vs 11,86 (+0,24) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Daria … Joanna … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,53 2,50 65,4%
Gamdom 1,57 2,49 63,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,70 2,42 58,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Daria …: -3,3% Joanna …: +3,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Daria Snigur
Ranking #136
UTR Rating 11,96 Pro
UTR Ranking #117
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 7/13 = 53,8%
Joanna Garland
Ranking #117
UTR Rating 11,86 Pro
UTR Ranking #143
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 3/7 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -20,0000
rank_ratio 0,8658
log_rank_ratio -0,1441
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -76,0000
best_rank_diff 15,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 10,9890
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 1,2089
surface_matches_ratio 1,8571
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 53,8462
surface_wr_p2 42,8571
surface_wr_p1_stable 52,9412
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,1515
p1_surface_matches 13,0000
p2_surface_matches 7,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0769
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4733
p2_confidence 0,3933
combined_confidence 0,4333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -7,4862
first_serve_won_diff -4,1077
second_serve_won_diff -2,7231
bp_saved_diff 15,5385
bp_converted_diff -8,8462
aces_per_match_diff -2,3077
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 90,0000
momentum_p2 92,0000
momentum_diff -2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 1,3800
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 5,9499
serve_consistency_p2 6,7137
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,5839
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0585
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0914
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,2400
utr_p1 0,4600
utr_p2 0,4318
utr_advantage 2,0356
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21945
API ID 15302441
Gamdom ID 564781
Torneo Canberra, Australia
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21945,
    "api_id": 15302441,
    "gamdom_id": 564781,
    "player1": "Daria Snigur",
    "player2": "Joanna Garland",
    "tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2026-01-08T23:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.53,
      "p2": 2.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.57,
      "p2": 2.49
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.54,
      "p2": 2.41
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5874,
    "prob_p2": 0.4126,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5874,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 136,
      "utr_singles": 11.96,
      "utr_ranking": 117,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 13,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 117,
      "utr_singles": 11.86,
      "utr_ranking": 143,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 7,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.96,
      "ranking": 117,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.86,
      "ranking": 143,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.46,
    "utr_p2": 0.43176470588235294,
    "utr_diff": 0.2400000000000002,
    "rank_ratio": 0.8657718120805369,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 89.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 92.0,
    "points_diff": -76,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 15.53846153846154,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": -2.000000000000014,
    "p1_confidence": 0.47333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 53.84615384615385,
    "surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
    "utr_advantage": 2.035623409669213,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 15,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.14413390158378706,
    "rank_advantage": -20,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 10.989010989010993,
    "bp_converted_diff": -8.846153846153847,
    "p1_surface_matches": 13,
    "p2_surface_matches": 7,
    "serve_quality_diff": -7.48615384615384,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.3076923076923075,
    "combined_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -4.107692307692304,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.07692307692307693,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.949867209300852,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.713679909211545,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.583889028393265,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.94117647058824,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.151515151515156,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.723076923076924,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.8571428571428572,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 1.3799999999999955,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.058461538461538454,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.09142857142857147,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.2088532382650028,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}