Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Brisbane | Hard | Quarterfinals
09 Ene 2026, 06:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Aleksandar …: 51,6% Giovanni …: 48,4%
¿Por qué Aleksandar Kovacevic?
UTR 14,80 vs 15,16 (-0,66) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Aleksandar … Giovanni … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,10 1,73 47,6%
Gamdom 2,29 1,63 43,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,94 2,07 51,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Aleksandar …: +6,4% Giovanni …: -6,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Ranking #56
UTR Rating 14,80 Pro
UTR Ranking #127
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 24/46 = 52,2%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Ranking #61
UTR Rating 15,16 Pro
UTR Ranking #71
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 12/28 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 9,0000
rank_ratio 1,1552
log_rank_ratio 0,1442
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 52,0000
best_rank_diff -29,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 9,3168
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 7,9750
surface_matches_ratio 1,6429
surface_tournaments_won_diff 2,0000
surface_wr_p1 52,1739
surface_wr_p2 42,8571
surface_wr_p1_stable 52,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 43,7500
p1_surface_matches 46,0000
p2_surface_matches 28,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0435
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,9333
combined_confidence 0,9667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -9,2082
first_serve_won_diff -1,8033
second_serve_won_diff -7,7612
bp_saved_diff -5,5876
bp_converted_diff 9,8648
aces_per_match_diff -2,9891
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 70,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -0,0550
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6667
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,0412
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4500
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4737
serve_consistency_p1 9,3628
serve_consistency_p2 5,8098
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 1,3439
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0127
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0624
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,6600
utr_p1 0,7776
utr_p2 0,8553
utr_advantage -4,4177
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21947
API ID 15298527
Gamdom ID 563250
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21947,
    "api_id": 15298527,
    "gamdom_id": 563250,
    "player1": "Aleksandar Kovacevic",
    "player2": "Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2026-01-09T02:50:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.1,
      "p2": 1.73
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.29,
      "p2": 1.63
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.24,
      "p2": 1.63
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5159,
    "prob_p2": 0.4841,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5159,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 56,
      "utr_singles": 14.8,
      "utr_ranking": 127,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 52.17391304347826,
      "wr_surface_wins": 24,
      "wr_surface_total": 46,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 61,
      "utr_singles": 15.16,
      "utr_ranking": 71,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 28,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.8,
      "ranking": 127,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.16,
      "ranking": 71,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7776470588235294,
    "utr_p2": 0.8552941176470588,
    "utr_diff": -0.6600000000000001,
    "rank_ratio": 1.1551724137931034,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "points_diff": 52,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -5.587577639751558,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 52.17391304347826,
    "surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
    "utr_advantage": -4.4176706827309244,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -29,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.1442496088445467,
    "rank_advantage": 9,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.45,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.47368421052631576,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 9.316770186335404,
    "bp_converted_diff": 9.864751552795031,
    "p1_surface_matches": 46,
    "p2_surface_matches": 28,
    "serve_quality_diff": -9.208245341614898,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.041237113402062,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.9891304347826084,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -1.8032608695652215,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.043478260869565216,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.362808894507252,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.8097632037122455,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 1.3439404550734166,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.75,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -7.7611801242236,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.6428571428571428,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -0.05500000000000682,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.012739130434782586,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.062428571428571444,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 7.975,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}