Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Brisbane | Hard | Quarterfinals
09 Ene 2026, 06:50
09 Ene 2026, 06:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Aleksandar …: 51,6%
Giovanni …: 48,4%
¿Por qué Aleksandar Kovacevic?
UTR 14,80 vs 15,16
(-0,66)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Aleksandar … | Giovanni … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,10 | 1,73 | 47,6% |
| Gamdom | 2,29 | 1,63 | 43,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,94 | 2,07 | 51,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Aleksandar …: +6,4%
Giovanni …: -6,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Ranking
#56
UTR Rating
14,80 Pro
UTR Ranking
#127
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
24/46 = 52,2%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Ranking
#61
UTR Rating
15,16 Pro
UTR Ranking
#71
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
12/28 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 9,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,1552 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,1442 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 52,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -29,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 9,3168 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 7,9750 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,6429 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 52,1739 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 52,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 43,7500 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 46,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 28,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0435 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -9,2082 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1,8033 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -7,7612 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -5,5876 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 9,8648 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,9891 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -0,0550 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0412 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4737 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,3628 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,8098 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1,3439 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0127 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0624 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,6600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7776 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8553 | |
| utr_advantage | -4,4177 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21947
API ID
15298527
Gamdom ID
563250
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21947,
"api_id": 15298527,
"gamdom_id": 563250,
"player1": "Aleksandar Kovacevic",
"player2": "Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2026-01-09T02:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.1,
"p2": 1.73
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.29,
"p2": 1.63
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.24,
"p2": 1.63
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5159,
"prob_p2": 0.4841,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5159,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 56,
"utr_singles": 14.8,
"utr_ranking": 127,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 52.17391304347826,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 46,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 61,
"utr_singles": 15.16,
"utr_ranking": 71,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 28,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.8,
"ranking": 127,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.16,
"ranking": 71,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7776470588235294,
"utr_p2": 0.8552941176470588,
"utr_diff": -0.6600000000000001,
"rank_ratio": 1.1551724137931034,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"points_diff": 52,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -5.587577639751558,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 52.17391304347826,
"surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
"utr_advantage": -4.4176706827309244,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -29,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.1442496088445467,
"rank_advantage": 9,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.45,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.47368421052631576,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 9.316770186335404,
"bp_converted_diff": 9.864751552795031,
"p1_surface_matches": 46,
"p2_surface_matches": 28,
"serve_quality_diff": -9.208245341614898,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.041237113402062,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.9891304347826084,
"combined_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.8032608695652215,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.043478260869565216,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.362808894507252,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.8097632037122455,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.3439404550734166,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.75,
"second_serve_won_diff": -7.7611801242236,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.6428571428571428,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -0.05500000000000682,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.012739130434782586,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.062428571428571444,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 7.975,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}