Magda Linette vs Alexandra Eala
Auckland | Hard | Quarterfinals
09 Ene 2026, 04:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexandra Eala
Magda …: 38,9% Alexandra …: 61,1%
¿Por qué Alexandra Eala?
UTR 12,11 vs 12,18 (-0,01) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Magda … Alexandra … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,30 1,62 43,5%
Gamdom 2,60 1,51 38,5%
IA Fair Odds 2,57 1,64 38,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Magda …: -2,4% Alexandra …: +2,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Magda Linette
Ranking #50
UTR Rating 12,11 Pro
UTR Ranking #75
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 15/31 = 48,4%
Alexandra Eala
Ranking #49
UTR Rating 12,18 Pro
UTR Ranking #59
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 17/26 = 65,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 1,0000
rank_ratio 1,0192
log_rank_ratio 0,0190
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 13,0000
best_rank_diff 31,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -16,9975
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -13,7778
surface_matches_ratio 1,1923
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 48,3871
surface_wr_p2 65,3846
surface_wr_p1_stable 48,5714
surface_wr_p2_stable 63,3333
p1_surface_matches 31,0000
p2_surface_matches 26,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0323
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,8667
combined_confidence 0,9333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 5,3775
first_serve_won_diff 3,7903
second_serve_won_diff -4,8355
bp_saved_diff 2,1355
bp_converted_diff -5,8581
aces_per_match_diff 2,4665
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 78,0000
momentum_diff -8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -10,8040
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8451
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,1837
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,8333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6250
serve_consistency_p1 4,8175
serve_consistency_p2 3,8917
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,3238
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0171
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1548
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,0100
utr_p1 0,4859
utr_p2 0,4871
utr_advantage -0,0824
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21949
API ID 15302245
Gamdom ID 564740
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21949,
    "api_id": 15302245,
    "gamdom_id": 564740,
    "player1": "Magda Linette",
    "player2": "Alexandra Eala",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2026-01-09T00:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.3,
      "p2": 1.62
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.6,
      "p2": 1.51
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.5,
      "p2": 1.52
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3894,
    "prob_p2": 0.6106,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6106,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 50,
      "utr_singles": 12.11,
      "utr_ranking": 75,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.38709677419355,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 31,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 49,
      "utr_singles": 12.18,
      "utr_ranking": 59,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 65.38461538461539,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.11,
      "ranking": 75,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.18,
      "ranking": 59,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.48588235294117654,
    "utr_p2": 0.4870588235294118,
    "utr_diff": -0.009999999999999787,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0192307692307692,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 13,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 2.1354838709677466,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -7.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 48.38709677419355,
    "surface_wr_p2": 65.38461538461539,
    "utr_advantage": -0.08240626287597681,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 31,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.01904819497069441,
    "rank_advantage": 1,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8333333333333334,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.625,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -16.997518610421835,
    "bp_converted_diff": -5.8580645161290406,
    "p1_surface_matches": 31,
    "p2_surface_matches": 26,
    "serve_quality_diff": 5.377518610421838,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8450704225352113,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.183673469387755,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.4665012406947895,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.7903225806451672,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.03225806451612903,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.81754273918323,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.8917265786175763,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.32377204850932184,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.57142857142857,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 63.33333333333333,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -4.835483870967735,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.1923076923076923,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -10.804000000000002,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.017129032258064503,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.15484615384615386,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -13.777777777777775,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}