Magda Linette vs Alexandra Eala
Auckland | Hard | Quarterfinals
09 Ene 2026, 04:30
09 Ene 2026, 04:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexandra Eala
Magda …: 38,9%
Alexandra …: 61,1%
¿Por qué Alexandra Eala?
UTR 12,11 vs 12,18
(-0,01)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Magda … | Alexandra … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,30 | 1,62 | 43,5% |
| Gamdom | 2,60 | 1,51 | 38,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,57 | 1,64 | 38,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Magda …: -2,4%
Alexandra …: +2,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Magda Linette
Ranking
#50
UTR Rating
12,11 Pro
UTR Ranking
#75
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
15/31 = 48,4%
Alexandra Eala
Ranking
#49
UTR Rating
12,18 Pro
UTR Ranking
#59
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
17/26 = 65,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0192 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0190 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 13,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 31,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -16,9975 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -13,7778 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,1923 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 48,3871 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 65,3846 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 48,5714 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 63,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0323 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 5,3775 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,7903 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4,8355 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,1355 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -5,8581 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,4665 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -10,8040 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8451 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1837 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,8333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6250 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,8175 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3,8917 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,3238 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0171 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1548 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4859 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4871 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,0824 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21949
API ID
15302245
Gamdom ID
564740
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21949,
"api_id": 15302245,
"gamdom_id": 564740,
"player1": "Magda Linette",
"player2": "Alexandra Eala",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2026-01-09T00:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.3,
"p2": 1.62
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.6,
"p2": 1.51
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.5,
"p2": 1.52
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3894,
"prob_p2": 0.6106,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6106,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
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"utr_singles": 12.11,
"utr_ranking": 75,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.38709677419355,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 49,
"utr_singles": 12.18,
"utr_ranking": 59,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 65.38461538461539,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 75,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 59,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": -0.009999999999999787,
"rank_ratio": 1.0192307692307692,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 13,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.1354838709677466,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -7.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 48.38709677419355,
"surface_wr_p2": 65.38461538461539,
"utr_advantage": -0.08240626287597681,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 31,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.01904819497069441,
"rank_advantage": 1,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8333333333333334,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.625,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -16.997518610421835,
"bp_converted_diff": -5.8580645161290406,
"p1_surface_matches": 31,
"p2_surface_matches": 26,
"serve_quality_diff": 5.377518610421838,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8450704225352113,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.183673469387755,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.4665012406947895,
"combined_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.7903225806451672,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.03225806451612903,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.81754273918323,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.8917265786175763,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.32377204850932184,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.57142857142857,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 63.33333333333333,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.835483870967735,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.1923076923076923,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -10.804000000000002,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.017129032258064503,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.15484615384615386,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -13.777777777777775,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}