Polina Kudermetova vs Himeno Sakatsume
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Semifinals
09 Ene 2026, 05:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Himeno Sakatsume
Polina …: 37,6% Himeno …: 62,4%
¿Por qué Himeno Sakatsume?
UTR 11,71 vs 12,04 (-0,16) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Polina … Himeno … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,73 2,10 57,8%
Gamdom 1,58 2,46 63,3%
IA Fair Odds 2,66 1,60 37,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Polina …: -17,2% Himeno …: +17,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Polina Kudermetova
Ranking #150
UTR Rating 11,71 Pro
UTR Ranking #182
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 17/35 = 48,6%
Himeno Sakatsume
Ranking #140
UTR Rating 12,04 Pro
UTR Ranking #94
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 4/7 = 57,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -16,0000
rank_ratio 0,9042
log_rank_ratio -0,1007
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -52,0000
best_rank_diff 97,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -8,5714
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -4,6027
surface_matches_ratio 5,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 48,5714
surface_wr_p2 57,1429
surface_wr_p1_stable 48,7179
surface_wr_p2_stable 55,3247
p1_surface_matches 35,0000
p2_surface_matches 7,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0286
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,3933
combined_confidence 0,6967
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -0,3960
first_serve_won_diff -7,0343
second_serve_won_diff 8,3086
bp_saved_diff 8,1771
bp_converted_diff -1,7314
aces_per_match_diff 0,3143
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 92,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff -8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -2,3800
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7468
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 12,8369
serve_consistency_p2 6,4692
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,8633
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0017
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0554
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1600
utr_p1 0,4212
utr_p2 0,4400
utr_advantage -1,3722
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21950
API ID 15302429
Gamdom ID 564780
Torneo Canberra, Australia
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21950,
    "api_id": 15302429,
    "gamdom_id": 564780,
    "player1": "Polina Kudermetova",
    "player2": "Himeno Sakatsume",
    "tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2026-01-09T01:35:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.73,
      "p2": 2.1
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.58,
      "p2": 2.46
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.54,
      "p2": 2.39
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.376,
    "prob_p2": 0.624,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.624,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 150,
      "utr_singles": 11.71,
      "utr_ranking": 182,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.57142857142857,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 35,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 140,
      "utr_singles": 12.04,
      "utr_ranking": 94,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 7,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.71,
      "ranking": 182,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.04,
      "ranking": 94,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4211764705882353,
    "utr_p2": 0.44,
    "utr_diff": -0.16000000000000014,
    "rank_ratio": 0.9041916167664671,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 92.0,
    "momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": -52,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 8.177142857142854,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": -7.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 48.57142857142857,
    "surface_wr_p2": 57.14285714285714,
    "utr_advantage": -1.3722126929674112,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 97,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.10071397560183075,
    "rank_advantage": -16,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -8.57142857142857,
    "bp_converted_diff": -1.731428571428573,
    "p1_surface_matches": 35,
    "p2_surface_matches": 7,
    "serve_quality_diff": -0.3959999999999937,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7468354430379747,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.3142857142857145,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6966666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -7.034285714285716,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.02857142857142857,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 12.836903918106263,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.469163122716982,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.863262648015692,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.717948717948715,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.32467532467532,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 8.308571428571433,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 5.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -2.3799999999999955,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0017142857142857237,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.05542857142857138,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -4.6026862026862005,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}