Polina Kudermetova vs Himeno Sakatsume
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Semifinals
09 Ene 2026, 05:35
09 Ene 2026, 05:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Himeno Sakatsume
Polina …: 37,6%
Himeno …: 62,4%
¿Por qué Himeno Sakatsume?
UTR 11,71 vs 12,04
(-0,16)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Polina … | Himeno … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,73 | 2,10 | 57,8% |
| Gamdom | 1,58 | 2,46 | 63,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,66 | 1,60 | 37,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Polina …: -17,2%
Himeno …: +17,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Polina Kudermetova
Ranking
#150
UTR Rating
11,71 Pro
UTR Ranking
#182
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
17/35 = 48,6%
Himeno Sakatsume
Ranking
#140
UTR Rating
12,04 Pro
UTR Ranking
#94
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
4/7 = 57,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -16,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,9042 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1007 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -52,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 97,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -8,5714 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -4,6027 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 5,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 48,5714 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 57,1429 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 48,7179 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55,3247 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 35,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 7,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0286 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3933 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6967 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0,3960 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -7,0343 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 8,3086 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 8,1771 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1,7314 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,3143 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -2,3800 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7468 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12,8369 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,4692 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,8633 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0017 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0554 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4212 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4400 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,3722 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21950
API ID
15302429
Gamdom ID
564780
Torneo
Canberra, Australia
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21950,
"api_id": 15302429,
"gamdom_id": 564780,
"player1": "Polina Kudermetova",
"player2": "Himeno Sakatsume",
"tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2026-01-09T01:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.73,
"p2": 2.1
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.58,
"p2": 2.46
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.54,
"p2": 2.39
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.376,
"prob_p2": 0.624,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.624,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 150,
"utr_singles": 11.71,
"utr_ranking": 182,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.57142857142857,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 140,
"utr_singles": 12.04,
"utr_ranking": 94,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.71,
"ranking": 182,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.04,
"ranking": 94,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.44,
"utr_diff": -0.16000000000000014,
"rank_ratio": 0.9041916167664671,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 92.0,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -52,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 8.177142857142854,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"momentum_diff": -7.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 48.57142857142857,
"surface_wr_p2": 57.14285714285714,
"utr_advantage": -1.3722126929674112,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 97,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.10071397560183075,
"rank_advantage": -16,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": -8.57142857142857,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.731428571428573,
"p1_surface_matches": 35,
"p2_surface_matches": 7,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.3959999999999937,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7468354430379747,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.3142857142857145,
"combined_confidence": 0.6966666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -7.034285714285716,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.02857142857142857,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.836903918106263,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.469163122716982,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.863262648015692,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.717948717948715,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.32467532467532,
"second_serve_won_diff": 8.308571428571433,
"surface_matches_ratio": 5.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -2.3799999999999955,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0017142857142857237,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.05542857142857138,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -4.6026862026862005,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}