Marcos Giron vs Michael Mmoh
Hong Kong Men Singles | Hard | Quarterfinals
09 Ene 2026, 15:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Marcos Giron
Marcos …: 60,3% Michael …: 39,7%
¿Por qué Marcos Giron?
UTR 15,30 vs 14,54 (+1,01) — Ligera ventaja
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Marcos … Michael … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,57 2,38 63,7%
Gamdom 1,58 2,39 63,3%
IA Fair Odds 1,66 2,52 60,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Marcos …: +0,0% Michael …: 0,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Marcos Giron
Ranking #51
UTR Rating 15,30 Pro
UTR Ranking #54
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 12/28 = 42,9%
Michael Mmoh
Ranking #228
UTR Rating 14,54 Pro
UTR Ranking #190
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 13/24 = 54,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 221,0000
rank_ratio 4,4531
log_rank_ratio 1,4936
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 661,0000
best_rank_diff 44,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -11,3095
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -8,5119
surface_matches_ratio 1,1667
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 42,8571
surface_wr_p2 54,1667
surface_wr_p1_stable 43,7500
surface_wr_p2_stable 53,5714
p1_surface_matches 28,0000
p2_surface_matches 24,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1429
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9333
p2_confidence 0,8000
combined_confidence 0,8667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 2,8698
first_serve_won_diff 5,4143
second_serve_won_diff -0,0929
bp_saved_diff 2,4571
bp_converted_diff -4,6857
aces_per_match_diff 0,0952
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 80,0000
momentum_p2 98,0000
momentum_diff -18,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -0,8200
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,9215
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 4,9596
serve_consistency_p2 7,3578
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -16,8920
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2924
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2627
elite_surface_amplifier -22,6190
UTR
utr_diff 1,0100
utr_p1 0,8647
utr_p2 0,7459
utr_advantage 6,8036
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21959
API ID 15298425
Gamdom ID 563174
Torneo Hong Kong Men Singles
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21959,
    "api_id": 15298425,
    "gamdom_id": 563174,
    "player1": "Marcos Giron",
    "player2": "Michael Mmoh",
    "tournament": "Hong Kong Men Singles",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2026-01-09T11:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5699999999999998,
      "p2": 2.38
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.58,
      "p2": 2.39
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.57,
      "p2": 2.38
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6029,
    "prob_p2": 0.3971,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6029,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 51,
      "utr_singles": 15.3,
      "utr_ranking": 54,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 28,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 228,
      "utr_singles": 14.54,
      "utr_ranking": 190,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 54.166666666666664,
      "wr_surface_wins": 13,
      "wr_surface_total": 24,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.3,
      "ranking": 54,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.54,
      "ranking": 190,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8647058823529411,
    "utr_p2": 0.7458823529411764,
    "utr_diff": 1.0099999999999998,
    "rank_ratio": 4.453125,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 80.0,
    "momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 661,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 2.4571428571428484,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -17.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8,
    "surface_wr_p1": 42.857142857142854,
    "surface_wr_p2": 54.166666666666664,
    "utr_advantage": 6.803637588413607,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 44,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.4936060969089786,
    "rank_advantage": 221,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -11.30952380952381,
    "bp_converted_diff": -4.6857142857142975,
    "p1_surface_matches": 28,
    "p2_surface_matches": 24,
    "serve_quality_diff": 2.8697619047619014,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9214659685863874,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.09523809523809579,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 5.414285714285697,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.14285714285714285,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.959618173078258,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.357841465302293,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -16.89197371504202,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.75,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.57142857142857,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.09285714285712743,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.1666666666666667,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -0.8199999999999932,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -22.61904761904762,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.2924285714285714,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2626666666666666,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -8.511904761904761,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}