Marcos Giron vs Michael Mmoh
Hong Kong Men Singles | Hard | Quarterfinals
09 Ene 2026, 15:40
09 Ene 2026, 15:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Marcos Giron
Marcos …: 60,3%
Michael …: 39,7%
¿Por qué Marcos Giron?
UTR 15,30 vs 14,54
(+1,01)
— Ligera ventaja
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Marcos … | Michael … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,57 | 2,38 | 63,7% |
| Gamdom | 1,58 | 2,39 | 63,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,66 | 2,52 | 60,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Marcos …: +0,0%
Michael …: 0,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Marcos Giron
Ranking
#51
UTR Rating
15,30 Pro
UTR Ranking
#54
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
12/28 = 42,9%
Michael Mmoh
Ranking
#228
UTR Rating
14,54 Pro
UTR Ranking
#190
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
13/24 = 54,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 221,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 4,4531 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,4936 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 661,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 44,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -11,3095 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -8,5119 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,1667 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 54,1667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 43,7500 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 53,5714 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 28,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 24,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1429 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 2,8698 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 5,4143 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,0929 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,4571 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -4,6857 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0952 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -18,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -0,8200 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9215 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,9596 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,3578 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -16,8920 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2924 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2627 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -22,6190 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,0100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8647 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7459 | |
| utr_advantage | 6,8036 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21959
API ID
15298425
Gamdom ID
563174
Torneo
Hong Kong Men Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21959,
"api_id": 15298425,
"gamdom_id": 563174,
"player1": "Marcos Giron",
"player2": "Michael Mmoh",
"tournament": "Hong Kong Men Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2026-01-09T11:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5699999999999998,
"p2": 2.38
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.58,
"p2": 2.39
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.57,
"p2": 2.38
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6029,
"prob_p2": 0.3971,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6029,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 51,
"utr_singles": 15.3,
"utr_ranking": 54,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 28,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 228,
"utr_singles": 14.54,
"utr_ranking": 190,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 54.166666666666664,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 24,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 54,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 190,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.7458823529411764,
"utr_diff": 1.0099999999999998,
"rank_ratio": 4.453125,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 661,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.4571428571428484,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": -17.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.8,
"surface_wr_p1": 42.857142857142854,
"surface_wr_p2": 54.166666666666664,
"utr_advantage": 6.803637588413607,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 44,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.4936060969089786,
"rank_advantage": 221,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": -11.30952380952381,
"bp_converted_diff": -4.6857142857142975,
"p1_surface_matches": 28,
"p2_surface_matches": 24,
"serve_quality_diff": 2.8697619047619014,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9214659685863874,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.09523809523809579,
"combined_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 5.414285714285697,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.14285714285714285,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.959618173078258,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.357841465302293,
"surface_rank_synergy": -16.89197371504202,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.75,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.57142857142857,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.09285714285712743,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.1666666666666667,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -0.8199999999999932,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -22.61904761904762,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.2924285714285714,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2626666666666666,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -8.511904761904761,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}