Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyuk
Brisbane | Hard | Quarterfinals
09 Ene 2026, 12:30
09 Ene 2026, 12:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Mirra Andreeva
Mirra …: 74,6%
Marta …: 25,4%
¿Por qué Mirra Andreeva?
UTR 12,64 vs 12,61
(+0,13)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Mirra … | Marta … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,44 | 2,75 | 69,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,75 | 2,13 | 57,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,34 | 3,93 | 74,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Mirra …: +8,9%
Marta …: -8,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mirra Andreeva
Ranking
#7
UTR Rating
12,64 Pro
UTR Ranking
#10
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
24/32 = 75,0%
Marta Kostyuk
Ranking
#20
UTR Rating
12,61 Pro
UTR Ranking
#14
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
22/35 = 62,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 17,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,8889 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,0609 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 2466,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 11,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 12,1429 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 10,6838 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9143 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 75,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 62,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 72,2222 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 61,5385 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 35,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,5000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,9824 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,4857 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,5486 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -6,0257 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3,6971 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,2304 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 72,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -11,5010 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7446 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7569 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7143 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,6550 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,9351 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 12,8820 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2330 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1456 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 24,2857 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5482 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5329 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,0322 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21966
API ID
15302216
Gamdom ID
564716
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21966,
"api_id": 15302216,
"gamdom_id": 564716,
"player1": "Mirra Andreeva",
"player2": "Marta Kostyuk",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2026-01-09T08:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.44,
"p2": 2.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.75,
"p2": 2.13
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.77,
"p2": 2.04
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7458,
"prob_p2": 0.2542,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7458,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 7,
"utr_singles": 12.64,
"utr_ranking": 10,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 75.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 20,
"utr_singles": 12.61,
"utr_ranking": 14,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 22,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.64,
"ranking": 10,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.61,
"ranking": 14,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.5329411764705881,
"utr_diff": 0.13000000000000078,
"rank_ratio": 2.888888888888889,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 72.0,
"points_diff": 2466,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -6.025714285714287,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -2.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 75.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 62.857142857142854,
"utr_advantage": 1.032155617308462,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 11,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.0608719606852626,
"rank_advantage": 17,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7142857142857143,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 12.142857142857146,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.6971428571428575,
"p1_surface_matches": 32,
"p2_surface_matches": 35,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.982428571428585,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7445652173913043,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7568627450980392,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.2303571428571427,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.4857142857142662,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.654974791903266,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.93509211749096,
"surface_rank_synergy": 12.882016665463906,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 72.22222222222221,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.53846153846154,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.548571428571428,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9142857142857143,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -11.50099999999999,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 24.285714285714292,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.23299999999999998,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.14557142857142857,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 10.683760683760674,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}