Alexandra Eala vs Xinyu Wang
Auckland | Hard | Semifinals
10 Ene 2026, 08:30
10 Ene 2026, 08:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexandra Eala
Alexandra …: 65,1%
Xinyu …: 34,9%
¿Por qué Alexandra Eala?
UTR 12,18 vs 12,25
(-0,04)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alexandra … | Xinyu … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,73 | 2,10 | 57,8% |
| Gamdom | 1,51 | 2,55 | 66,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,54 | 2,86 | 65,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Alexandra …: +10,2%
Xinyu …: -10,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexandra Eala
Ranking
#49
UTR Rating
12,18 Pro
UTR Ranking
#59
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
17/26 = 65,4%
Xinyu Wang
Ranking
#46
UTR Rating
12,25 Pro
UTR Ranking
#54
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
12/27 = 44,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 4,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0755 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0728 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 20,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -18,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 20,9402 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 16,0520 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9630 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 65,3846 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 44,4444 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 63,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 45,1613 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 27,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3077 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -3,9787 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,0778 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,4704 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,6111 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0,4481 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,8405 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 90,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,1837 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7416 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6250 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,2500 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 2,4605 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,0661 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1,5236 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1498 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0516 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4871 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4918 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,3289 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21997
API ID
15302243
Gamdom ID
564746
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21997,
"api_id": 15302243,
"gamdom_id": 564746,
"player1": "Alexandra Eala",
"player2": "Xinyu Wang",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2026-01-10T04:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.73,
"p2": 2.1
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.51,
"p2": 2.55
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.51,
"p2": 2.52
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6508,
"prob_p2": 0.3492,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6508,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 49,
"utr_singles": 12.18,
"utr_ranking": 59,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 65.38461538461539,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 46,
"utr_singles": 12.25,
"utr_ranking": 54,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 44.44444444444444,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 27,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.18,
"ranking": 59,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.25,
"ranking": 54,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4870588235294118,
"utr_p2": 0.4917647058823529,
"utr_diff": -0.03999999999999915,
"rank_ratio": 1.0754716981132075,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 92.0,
"momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 20,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.6111111111111143,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 2.000000000000014,
"p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.9,
"surface_wr_p1": 65.38461538461539,
"surface_wr_p2": 44.44444444444444,
"utr_advantage": -0.3289473684210456,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -18,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0727593542824283,
"rank_advantage": 4,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.625,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.25,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 20.940170940170944,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.4481481481481353,
"p1_surface_matches": 26,
"p2_surface_matches": 27,
"serve_quality_diff": -3.978689458689473,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.183673469387755,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7415730337078652,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.8404558404558407,
"combined_confidence": 0.8833333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.077777777777783,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3076923076923077,
"serve_consistency_p1": 2.4605140840457516,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.06605339685498,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.5235933161705075,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 63.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 45.16129032258064,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.470370370370354,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9629629629629629,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.14984615384615385,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.05155555555555558,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 16.051971326164875,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}