Alexandra Eala vs Xinyu Wang
Auckland | Hard | Semifinals
10 Ene 2026, 08:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexandra Eala
Alexandra …: 65,1% Xinyu …: 34,9%
¿Por qué Alexandra Eala?
UTR 12,18 vs 12,25 (-0,04) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alexandra … Xinyu … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,73 2,10 57,8%
Gamdom 1,51 2,55 66,2%
IA Fair Odds 1,54 2,86 65,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Alexandra …: +10,2% Xinyu …: -10,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexandra Eala
Ranking #49
UTR Rating 12,18 Pro
UTR Ranking #59
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 17/26 = 65,4%
Xinyu Wang
Ranking #46
UTR Rating 12,25 Pro
UTR Ranking #54
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 12/27 = 44,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 4,0000
rank_ratio 1,0755
log_rank_ratio 0,0728
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 20,0000
best_rank_diff -18,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 20,9402
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 16,0520
surface_matches_ratio 0,9630
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 65,3846
surface_wr_p2 44,4444
surface_wr_p1_stable 63,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 45,1613
p1_surface_matches 26,0000
p2_surface_matches 27,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3077
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8667
p2_confidence 0,9000
combined_confidence 0,8833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -3,9787
first_serve_won_diff -2,0778
second_serve_won_diff 2,4704
bp_saved_diff 0,6111
bp_converted_diff -0,4481
aces_per_match_diff -1,8405
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 92,0000
momentum_p2 90,0000
momentum_diff 2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,1837
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7416
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6250
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,2500
serve_consistency_p1 2,4605
serve_consistency_p2 7,0661
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 1,5236
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1498
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0516
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,0400
utr_p1 0,4871
utr_p2 0,4918
utr_advantage -0,3289
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21997
API ID 15302243
Gamdom ID 564746
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21997,
    "api_id": 15302243,
    "gamdom_id": 564746,
    "player1": "Alexandra Eala",
    "player2": "Xinyu Wang",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2026-01-10T04:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.73,
      "p2": 2.1
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.51,
      "p2": 2.55
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.51,
      "p2": 2.52
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6508,
    "prob_p2": 0.3492,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6508,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 49,
      "utr_singles": 12.18,
      "utr_ranking": 59,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 65.38461538461539,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 46,
      "utr_singles": 12.25,
      "utr_ranking": 54,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 44.44444444444444,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 27,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.18,
      "ranking": 59,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.25,
      "ranking": 54,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4870588235294118,
    "utr_p2": 0.4917647058823529,
    "utr_diff": -0.03999999999999915,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0754716981132075,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 92.0,
    "momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 20,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.6111111111111143,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 2.000000000000014,
    "p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9,
    "surface_wr_p1": 65.38461538461539,
    "surface_wr_p2": 44.44444444444444,
    "utr_advantage": -0.3289473684210456,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -18,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0727593542824283,
    "rank_advantage": 4,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.625,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.25,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 20.940170940170944,
    "bp_converted_diff": -0.4481481481481353,
    "p1_surface_matches": 26,
    "p2_surface_matches": 27,
    "serve_quality_diff": -3.978689458689473,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.183673469387755,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7415730337078652,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.8404558404558407,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8833333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.077777777777783,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.3076923076923077,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 2.4605140840457516,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.06605339685498,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 1.5235933161705075,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 63.33333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 45.16129032258064,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.470370370370354,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.9629629629629629,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.14984615384615385,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.05155555555555558,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 16.051971326164875,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}