Joanna Garland vs Polina Kudermetova
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Final
10 Ene 2026, 07:00
10 Ene 2026, 07:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Polina Kudermetova
Joanna …: 46,9%
Polina …: 53,1%
¿Por qué Polina Kudermetova?
UTR 11,86 vs 11,71
(+0,09)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Joanna … | Polina … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,10 | 1,73 | 47,6% |
| Gamdom | 3,30 | 1,36 | 30,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,13 | 1,88 | 46,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Joanna …: +1,7%
Polina …: -1,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Joanna Garland
Ranking
#117
UTR Rating
11,86 Pro
UTR Ranking
#143
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
3/7 = 42,9%
Polina Kudermetova
Ranking
#150
UTR Rating
11,71 Pro
UTR Ranking
#182
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
17/35 = 48,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 38,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,2946 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,2582 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 145,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -66,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -5,7143 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,9987 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,2000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 48,5714 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,1515 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 48,7179 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 7,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 35,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1429 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3933 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6967 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,1646 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,2657 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 4,9914 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -13,8771 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2,6314 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,6000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7468 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,0057 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 12,5179 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,4753 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1094 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0237 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4318 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4212 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,7742 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
21998
API ID
15302434
Gamdom ID
564782
Torneo
Canberra, Australia
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 21998,
"api_id": 15302434,
"gamdom_id": 564782,
"player1": "Joanna Garland",
"player2": "Polina Kudermetova",
"tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Final",
"date": "2026-01-10T03:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.1,
"p2": 1.73
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 3.3,
"p2": 1.36
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.13,
"p2": 1.35
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4687,
"prob_p2": 0.5313,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5313,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 117,
"utr_singles": 11.86,
"utr_ranking": 143,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 150,
"utr_singles": 11.71,
"utr_ranking": 182,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.57142857142857,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.86,
"ranking": 143,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.71,
"ranking": 182,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.43176470588235294,
"utr_p2": 0.4211764705882353,
"utr_diff": 0.08999999999999986,
"rank_ratio": 1.2945736434108528,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 145,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -13.877142857142857,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 42.857142857142854,
"surface_wr_p2": 48.57142857142857,
"utr_advantage": 0.7741935483870955,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -66,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.25818140805508305,
"rank_advantage": 38,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -5.714285714285715,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.6314285714285717,
"p1_surface_matches": 7,
"p2_surface_matches": 35,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.1645714285714277,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7468354430379747,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.6000000000000001,
"combined_confidence": 0.6966666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.2657142857142816,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.14285714285714285,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.005729903440463,
"serve_consistency_p2": 12.517942552356683,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.475322331743332,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.151515151515156,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.717948717948715,
"second_serve_won_diff": 4.991428571428571,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.2,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.10942857142857149,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.023714285714285743,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.9987179487179535,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}