Joanna Garland vs Polina Kudermetova
Canberra, Australia | Hard | Final
10 Ene 2026, 07:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Polina Kudermetova
Joanna …: 46,9% Polina …: 53,1%
¿Por qué Polina Kudermetova?
UTR 11,86 vs 11,71 (+0,09) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Joanna … Polina … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,10 1,73 47,6%
Gamdom 3,30 1,36 30,3%
IA Fair Odds 2,13 1,88 46,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Joanna …: +1,7% Polina …: -1,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Joanna Garland
Ranking #117
UTR Rating 11,86 Pro
UTR Ranking #143
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 3/7 = 42,9%
Polina Kudermetova
Ranking #150
UTR Rating 11,71 Pro
UTR Ranking #182
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 17/35 = 48,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 38,0000
rank_ratio 1,2946
log_rank_ratio 0,2582
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 145,0000
best_rank_diff -66,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -5,7143
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,9987
surface_matches_ratio 0,2000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 42,8571
surface_wr_p2 48,5714
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,1515
surface_wr_p2_stable 48,7179
p1_surface_matches 7,0000
p2_surface_matches 35,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1429
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3933
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,6967
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,1646
first_serve_won_diff -0,2657
second_serve_won_diff 4,9914
bp_saved_diff -13,8771
bp_converted_diff 2,6314
aces_per_match_diff -0,6000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 98,0000
momentum_p2 98,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7468
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6000
serve_consistency_p1 7,0057
serve_consistency_p2 12,5179
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,4753
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1094
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0237
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0900
utr_p1 0,4318
utr_p2 0,4212
utr_advantage 0,7742
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 21998
API ID 15302434
Gamdom ID 564782
Torneo Canberra, Australia
Superficie Hard
Ronda Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 21998,
    "api_id": 15302434,
    "gamdom_id": 564782,
    "player1": "Joanna Garland",
    "player2": "Polina Kudermetova",
    "tournament": "Canberra, Australia",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Final",
    "date": "2026-01-10T03:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.1,
      "p2": 1.73
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.3,
      "p2": 1.36
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.13,
      "p2": 1.35
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4687,
    "prob_p2": 0.5313,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5313,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 117,
      "utr_singles": 11.86,
      "utr_ranking": 143,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 7,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 150,
      "utr_singles": 11.71,
      "utr_ranking": 182,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.57142857142857,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 35,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.86,
      "ranking": 143,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.71,
      "ranking": 182,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.43176470588235294,
    "utr_p2": 0.4211764705882353,
    "utr_diff": 0.08999999999999986,
    "rank_ratio": 1.2945736434108528,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 145,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -13.877142857142857,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 42.857142857142854,
    "surface_wr_p2": 48.57142857142857,
    "utr_advantage": 0.7741935483870955,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -66,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.25818140805508305,
    "rank_advantage": 38,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -5.714285714285715,
    "bp_converted_diff": 2.6314285714285717,
    "p1_surface_matches": 7,
    "p2_surface_matches": 35,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.1645714285714277,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7468354430379747,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.6000000000000001,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6966666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.2657142857142816,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.14285714285714285,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.005729903440463,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 12.517942552356683,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.475322331743332,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.151515151515156,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.717948717948715,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 4.991428571428571,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.2,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.10942857142857149,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.023714285714285743,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.9987179487179535,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}