Rebecca Sramkova vs Beatriz Haddad Maia
Merida | Hard | Round of 16
27 Feb 2025, 22:25
27 Feb 2025, 22:25
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Rebecca … | Beatriz … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Rebecca Sramkova
Ranking
#72
UTR Rating
11.99 Pro
UTR Ranking
#103
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
41/74 = 55.4%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
Ranking
#57
UTR Rating
12.15 Pro
UTR Ranking
#69
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
33% (6p)
WR Hard
32/65 = 49.2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -15.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.7917 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.2336 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | -138.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -23.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 12.4625 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 5.8528 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.1385 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 49.6930 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 37.2304 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 55.1282 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 49.2754 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 74.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 65.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.1081 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1.5664 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2.2386 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0.1571 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -4.4947 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -2.2178 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1.3193 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 10.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 40.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 39.8650 | |
| current_streak_diff | 4.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 10.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.4038 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.8118 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 2.8788 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 12.0378 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -2.9114 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0119 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.1427 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.1600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4694 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4882 | |
| utr_advantage | -1.3256 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
2200
API ID
13499173
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Merida
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 2200,
"api_id": 13499173,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Rebecca Sramkova",
"player2": "Beatriz Haddad Maia",
"tournament": "Merida",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-02-27T22:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 11.99,
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"wr_surface": 55.4054054054054,
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"wr_surface_total": 74,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 12.15,
"utr_ranking": 69,
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"wr_surface_wins": 32,
"wr_surface_total": 65,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
}
},
"utr": {
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"p2": {
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"features": {
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"best_rank_diff": -23,
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"p1_surface_matches": 74,
"p2_surface_matches": 65,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.10810810810810811,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.5664421571900107,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.2385953785097,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.15713215385185464,
"bp_saved_diff": -4.494733874856287,
"bp_converted_diff": -2.2178320537072054,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.3193001001446532,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 10.0,
"momentum_diff": 40.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 39.865000000000016,
"current_streak_diff": 4,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 10,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.40384615384615385,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8117977528089888,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 2.8788210546869775,
"serve_consistency_p2": 12.037785409695461,
"surface_rank_synergy": -2.911434072701819,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.011929824561403513,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.1426955602536999,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.16000000000000014,
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"utr_advantage": -1.3256006628003325,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
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"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
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"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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}