Enzo Aguiard vs Luca Connaughton
UTR PTT Wagga Wagga Men 01 | Hard | Semifinals
10 Ene 2026, 02:05
10 Ene 2026, 02:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Enzo Aguiard
Enzo …: 72,8%
Luca …: 27,2%
¿Por qué Enzo Aguiard?
UTR 13,31 vs 12,00
(+1,24)
— Ligera ventaja
Enzo …
Sin datos
Luca …
W40-L34
54% WR
vs UTR 11,0
W2
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Enzo … | Luca … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,06 | 8,00 | 94,1% |
| Gamdom | 1,03 | 7,40 | 97,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,37 | 3,68 | 72,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Enzo …: -15,4%
Luca …: +15,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Enzo Aguiard
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,31 Pro
UTR Ranking
#837
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Luca Connaughton
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,00 General
UTR Ranking
#3468
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
78% (9p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Enzo Aguiard
Sin datos UTR v4
Luca Connaughton
Record 2025
40W - 34L (54%)
Racha
2W
UTR Oponentes
11,0
Últimos 5:
W
W
L
W
W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 1,5000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 9,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 5,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,9395 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 16,6853 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,2400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,6165 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4706 | |
| utr_advantage | 9,8257 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22006
API ID
15334706
Gamdom ID
583461
Torneo
UTR PTT Wagga Wagga Men 01
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22006,
"api_id": 15334706,
"gamdom_id": 583461,
"player1": "Enzo Aguiard",
"player2": "Luca Connaughton",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Wagga Wagga Men 01",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2026-01-09T22:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.0625,
"p2": 8.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.03,
"p2": 7.4
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.05,
"p2": 9.23
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7283,
"prob_p2": 0.2717,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7283,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.31,
"utr_ranking": 837,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 3468,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 40,
"utr_v4_losses": 34,
"utr_v4_wr": 54.054054054054056,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 2,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.04,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Ethan DOMINGO"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Evan VASILIADIS"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Aryan KARNANI"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Sehun PARK"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Heaton PANN"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:24.221248+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 77.77777777777779,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 9
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.31,
"ranking": 837,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.0,
"ranking": 3468,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.6164705882352941,
"utr_p2": 0.47058823529411764,
"utr_diff": 1.2400000000000002,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 9,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": 2.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 9.825673534072902,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": 5,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.939504692705192,
"serve_consistency_p2": 16.68531458410821,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 1.5,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}