Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Brandon Nakashima
Brisbane | Hard | Semifinals
10 Ene 2026, 07:00
10 Ene 2026, 07:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Brandon Nakashima
Aleksandar …: 40,6%
Brandon …: 59,4%
¿Por qué Brandon Nakashima?
UTR 14,80 vs 15,41
(-0,85)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Aleksandar … | Brandon … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,30 | 1,62 | 43,5% |
| Gamdom | 3,15 | 1,36 | 31,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,46 | 1,68 | 40,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Aleksandar …: -0,7%
Brandon …: +0,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Ranking
#56
UTR Rating
14,80 Pro
UTR Ranking
#127
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
24/46 = 52,2%
Brandon Nakashima
Ranking
#30
UTR Rating
15,41 Pro
UTR Ranking
#33
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
21/39 = 53,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -25,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,5690 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,5639 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -503,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -29,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -1,6722 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -1,4884 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,1795 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 52,1739 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 53,8462 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 52,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 53,4884 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 46,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 39,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0435 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0,5478 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,6371 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,5866 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -5,6612 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1,2712 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,5212 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 90,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 90,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9762 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0473 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,0188 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,9430 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0467 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0135 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,8500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7776 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8776 | |
| utr_advantage | -5,6535 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22008
API ID
15298535
Gamdom ID
563264
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22008,
"api_id": 15298535,
"gamdom_id": 563264,
"player1": "Aleksandar Kovacevic",
"player2": "Brandon Nakashima",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2026-01-10T03:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.3,
"p2": 1.62
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 3.15,
"p2": 1.36
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.11,
"p2": 1.36
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4061,
"prob_p2": 0.5939,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5939,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 56,
"utr_singles": 14.8,
"utr_ranking": 127,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 52.17391304347826,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 46,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 30,
"utr_singles": 15.41,
"utr_ranking": 33,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 39,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.8,
"ranking": 127,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.41,
"ranking": 33,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7776470588235294,
"utr_p2": 0.8776470588235296,
"utr_diff": -0.8500000000000014,
"rank_ratio": 0.5689655172413793,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 89.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -503,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -5.661204013377926,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 52.17391304347826,
"surface_wr_p2": 53.84615384615385,
"utr_advantage": -5.653475224476232,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -29,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.5639354490799391,
"rank_advantage": -25,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.45,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -1.6722408026755886,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.2712374581939798,
"p1_surface_matches": 46,
"p2_surface_matches": 39,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.5478149386845104,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9761904761904762,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.5211817168338913,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.6371237458193946,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.043478260869565216,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.047330767541233,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.018825773089182,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.9430358680266558,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.48837209302325,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.5866220735785959,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.1794871794871795,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.046739130434782616,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.013461538461538414,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.4883720930232514,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}