Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Brandon Nakashima
Brisbane | Hard | Semifinals
10 Ene 2026, 07:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Brandon Nakashima
Aleksandar …: 40,6% Brandon …: 59,4%
¿Por qué Brandon Nakashima?
UTR 14,80 vs 15,41 (-0,85) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Aleksandar … Brandon … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,30 1,62 43,5%
Gamdom 3,15 1,36 31,7%
IA Fair Odds 2,46 1,68 40,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Aleksandar …: -0,7% Brandon …: +0,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Ranking #56
UTR Rating 14,80 Pro
UTR Ranking #127
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 24/46 = 52,2%
Brandon Nakashima
Ranking #30
UTR Rating 15,41 Pro
UTR Ranking #33
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 21/39 = 53,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -25,0000
rank_ratio 0,5690
log_rank_ratio -0,5639
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -503,0000
best_rank_diff -29,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -1,6722
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -1,4884
surface_matches_ratio 1,1795
surface_tournaments_won_diff 2,0000
surface_wr_p1 52,1739
surface_wr_p2 53,8462
surface_wr_p1_stable 52,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 53,4884
p1_surface_matches 46,0000
p2_surface_matches 39,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0435
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -0,5478
first_serve_won_diff 0,6371
second_serve_won_diff 0,5866
bp_saved_diff -5,6612
bp_converted_diff -1,2712
aces_per_match_diff -0,5212
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 90,0000
momentum_p2 90,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6667
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9762
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4500
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4000
serve_consistency_p1 10,0473
serve_consistency_p2 7,0188
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,9430
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0467
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0135
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,8500
utr_p1 0,7776
utr_p2 0,8776
utr_advantage -5,6535
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22008
API ID 15298535
Gamdom ID 563264
Torneo Brisbane
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22008,
    "api_id": 15298535,
    "gamdom_id": 563264,
    "player1": "Aleksandar Kovacevic",
    "player2": "Brandon Nakashima",
    "tournament": "Brisbane",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2026-01-10T03:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.3,
      "p2": 1.62
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.15,
      "p2": 1.36
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.11,
      "p2": 1.36
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4061,
    "prob_p2": 0.5939,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5939,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 56,
      "utr_singles": 14.8,
      "utr_ranking": 127,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 52.17391304347826,
      "wr_surface_wins": 24,
      "wr_surface_total": 46,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 30,
      "utr_singles": 15.41,
      "utr_ranking": 33,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 39,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.8,
      "ranking": 127,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.41,
      "ranking": 33,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7776470588235294,
    "utr_p2": 0.8776470588235296,
    "utr_diff": -0.8500000000000014,
    "rank_ratio": 0.5689655172413793,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 89.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": -503,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -5.661204013377926,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 52.17391304347826,
    "surface_wr_p2": 53.84615384615385,
    "utr_advantage": -5.653475224476232,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -29,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.5639354490799391,
    "rank_advantage": -25,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.45,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -1.6722408026755886,
    "bp_converted_diff": -1.2712374581939798,
    "p1_surface_matches": 46,
    "p2_surface_matches": 39,
    "serve_quality_diff": -0.5478149386845104,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9761904761904762,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.5211817168338913,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.6371237458193946,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.043478260869565216,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.047330767541233,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.018825773089182,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.9430358680266558,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.48837209302325,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.5866220735785959,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.1794871794871795,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.046739130434782616,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.013461538461538414,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.4883720930232514,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}