Elina Svitolina vs Iva Jovic
Auckland | Hard | Semifinals
10 Ene 2026, 11:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Elina Svitolina
Elina …: 68,7% Iva …: 31,3%
¿Por qué Elina Svitolina?
UTR 12,66 vs 12,41 (+0,36) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Elina … Iva … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,40 3,00 71,4%
Gamdom 1,34 3,30 74,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,46 3,20 68,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Elina …: +0,5% Iva …: -0,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Elina Svitolina
Ranking #12
UTR Rating 12,66 Pro
UTR Ranking #9
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 17/27 = 63,0%
Iva Jovic
Ranking #27
UTR Rating 12,41 Pro
UTR Ranking #39
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 12/19 = 63,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 22,0000
rank_ratio 2,6923
log_rank_ratio 0,9904
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 1183,0000
best_rank_diff 30,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -0,1949
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,3226
surface_matches_ratio 1,4211
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 62,9630
surface_wr_p2 63,1579
surface_wr_p1_stable 61,2903
surface_wr_p2_stable 60,8696
p1_surface_matches 27,0000
p2_surface_matches 19,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2593
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9000
p2_confidence 0,6333
combined_confidence 0,7667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 6,3509
first_serve_won_diff 8,7741
second_serve_won_diff -4,5000
bp_saved_diff -6,5889
bp_converted_diff -4,6741
aces_per_match_diff 1,6569
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 90,0000
momentum_p2 92,0000
momentum_diff -2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,9645
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7778
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,1667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6000
serve_consistency_p1 8,1800
serve_consistency_p2 7,8607
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,1931
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1076
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1536
elite_surface_amplifier -0,1949
UTR
utr_diff 0,3600
utr_p1 0,5518
utr_p2 0,5094
utr_advantage 2,8777
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22010
API ID 15302240
Gamdom ID 564743
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22010,
    "api_id": 15302240,
    "gamdom_id": 564743,
    "player1": "Elina Svitolina",
    "player2": "Iva Jovic",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2026-01-10T07:35:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.4,
      "p2": 3.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.34,
      "p2": 3.3
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.34,
      "p2": 3.27
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6872,
    "prob_p2": 0.3128,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6872,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 12,
      "utr_singles": 12.66,
      "utr_ranking": 9,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 62.96296296296296,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 27,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 27,
      "utr_singles": 12.41,
      "utr_ranking": 39,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 63.1578947368421,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 19,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.66,
      "ranking": 9,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.41,
      "ranking": 39,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5517647058823529,
    "utr_p2": 0.5094117647058823,
    "utr_diff": 0.35999999999999943,
    "rank_ratio": 2.6923076923076925,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 89.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 92.0,
    "points_diff": 1183,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -6.588888888888889,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": -2.000000000000014,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9,
    "p2_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 62.96296296296296,
    "surface_wr_p2": 63.1578947368421,
    "utr_advantage": 2.877697841726614,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 30,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.990398704027877,
    "rank_advantage": 22,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.16666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -0.19493177387914074,
    "bp_converted_diff": -4.674074074074078,
    "p1_surface_matches": 27,
    "p2_surface_matches": 19,
    "serve_quality_diff": 6.350877192982466,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9645390070921985,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7777777777777778,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.6569200779727096,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 8.774074074074079,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.25925925925925924,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.180048378676744,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.860725799411923,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.19306017622375615,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.29032258064516,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 60.86956521739131,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -4.499999999999993,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.4210526315789473,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -0.19493177387914074,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10762962962962963,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.15357894736842104,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.3225806451612837,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}