Cristian Garin vs Eliot Spizzirri
Auckland | Hard |
10 Ene 2026, 05:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Eliot Spizzirri
Cristian …: 37,3% Eliot …: 62,7%
¿Por qué Eliot Spizzirri?
UTR 14,86 vs 15,16 (-0,23) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Cristian … Eliot … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,38 1,53 42,1%
Gamdom 2,16 1,62 46,3%
IA Fair Odds 2,68 1,59 37,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Cristian …: -2,0% Eliot …: +2,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Cristian Garin
Ranking #82
UTR Rating 14,86 Pro
UTR Ranking #103
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 90% (10p)
WR Hard 6/11 = 54,5%
Eliot Spizzirri
Ranking #85
UTR Rating 15,16 Pro
UTR Ranking #70
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 27/44 = 61,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 11,0000
rank_ratio 1,1410
log_rank_ratio 0,1319
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 54,0000
best_rank_diff 70,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -6,8182
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -5,1236
surface_matches_ratio 0,2500
surface_tournaments_won_diff -2,0000
surface_wr_p1 54,5455
surface_wr_p2 61,3636
surface_wr_p1_stable 53,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 60,4167
p1_surface_matches 11,0000
p2_surface_matches 44,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0909
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4467
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,7233
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -3,1241
first_serve_won_diff -2,3432
second_serve_won_diff -0,4477
bp_saved_diff 5,5591
bp_converted_diff 6,5750
aces_per_match_diff -0,9091
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 60,0000
momentum_p2 30,0000
momentum_diff 30,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 20,9200
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 5,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 6,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5400
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9677
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,7391
serve_consistency_p1 7,9840
serve_consistency_p2 7,7097
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,8995
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0345
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1246
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,2300
utr_p1 0,8129
utr_p2 0,8400
utr_advantage -1,5308
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22014
API ID 15335385
Gamdom ID 583765
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22014,
    "api_id": 15335385,
    "gamdom_id": 583765,
    "player1": "Cristian Garin",
    "player2": "Eliot Spizzirri",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-10T01:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.375,
      "p2": 1.5333333333333332
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.16,
      "p2": 1.62
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.21,
      "p2": 1.63
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3726,
    "prob_p2": 0.6274,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6274,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 82,
      "utr_singles": 14.86,
      "utr_ranking": 103,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 54.54545454545454,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 11,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 90.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 85,
      "utr_singles": 15.16,
      "utr_ranking": 70,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 61.36363636363637,
      "wr_surface_wins": 27,
      "wr_surface_total": 44,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.86,
      "ranking": 103,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.16,
      "ranking": 70,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8129411764705883,
    "utr_p2": 0.8400000000000001,
    "utr_diff": -0.23000000000000043,
    "rank_ratio": 1.141025641025641,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 60.0,
    "momentum_p2": 30.000000000000004,
    "points_diff": 54,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 5.559090909090912,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 29.999999999999996,
    "p1_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 54.54545454545454,
    "surface_wr_p2": 61.36363636363637,
    "utr_advantage": -1.530782029950086,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 70,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.13192754304254806,
    "rank_advantage": 11,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7391304347826086,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -6.818181818181827,
    "bp_converted_diff": 6.575000000000003,
    "p1_surface_matches": 11,
    "p2_surface_matches": 44,
    "serve_quality_diff": -3.124090909090917,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.54,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.967741935483871,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.9090909090909092,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7233333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.3431818181818187,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.09090909090909091,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.983972855138626,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.709676039801328,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.8995059752901016,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 60.416666666666664,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.44772727272727764,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.25,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 20.92,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.034454545454545404,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.12463636363636366,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.123611111111108,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}