Cristian Garin vs Eliot Spizzirri
Auckland | Hard |
10 Ene 2026, 05:05
10 Ene 2026, 05:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Eliot Spizzirri
Cristian …: 37,3%
Eliot …: 62,7%
¿Por qué Eliot Spizzirri?
UTR 14,86 vs 15,16
(-0,23)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Cristian … | Eliot … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,38 | 1,53 | 42,1% |
| Gamdom | 2,16 | 1,62 | 46,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,68 | 1,59 | 37,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Cristian …: -2,0%
Eliot …: +2,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Cristian Garin
Ranking
#82
UTR Rating
14,86 Pro
UTR Ranking
#103
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Hard
6/11 = 54,5%
Eliot Spizzirri
Ranking
#85
UTR Rating
15,16 Pro
UTR Ranking
#70
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
27/44 = 61,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 11,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,1410 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,1319 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 54,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 70,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -6,8182 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -5,1236 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,2500 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 54,5455 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 61,3636 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 53,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 60,4167 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 11,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 44,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0909 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4467 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7233 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -3,1241 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,3432 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,4477 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5,5591 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 6,5750 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,9091 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 30,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 20,9200 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5400 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9677 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7391 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,9840 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,7097 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,8995 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0345 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1246 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,2300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8129 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8400 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,5308 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22014
API ID
15335385
Gamdom ID
583765
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22014,
"api_id": 15335385,
"gamdom_id": 583765,
"player1": "Cristian Garin",
"player2": "Eliot Spizzirri",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-10T01:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.375,
"p2": 1.5333333333333332
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.16,
"p2": 1.62
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.21,
"p2": 1.63
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3726,
"prob_p2": 0.6274,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6274,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 82,
"utr_singles": 14.86,
"utr_ranking": 103,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 54.54545454545454,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 11,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 85,
"utr_singles": 15.16,
"utr_ranking": 70,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 61.36363636363637,
"wr_surface_wins": 27,
"wr_surface_total": 44,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.86,
"ranking": 103,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.16,
"ranking": 70,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.8129411764705883,
"utr_p2": 0.8400000000000001,
"utr_diff": -0.23000000000000043,
"rank_ratio": 1.141025641025641,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 60.0,
"momentum_p2": 30.000000000000004,
"points_diff": 54,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.559090909090912,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 29.999999999999996,
"p1_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 54.54545454545454,
"surface_wr_p2": 61.36363636363637,
"utr_advantage": -1.530782029950086,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 70,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.13192754304254806,
"rank_advantage": 11,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7391304347826086,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -6.818181818181827,
"bp_converted_diff": 6.575000000000003,
"p1_surface_matches": 11,
"p2_surface_matches": 44,
"serve_quality_diff": -3.124090909090917,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.54,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.967741935483871,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.9090909090909092,
"combined_confidence": 0.7233333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.3431818181818187,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.09090909090909091,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.983972855138626,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.709676039801328,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.8995059752901016,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 60.416666666666664,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.44772727272727764,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.25,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 20.92,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.034454545454545404,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.12463636363636366,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.123611111111108,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}