Mariano Navone vs Emilio Nava
Auckland | Hard |
10 Ene 2026, 04:20
10 Ene 2026, 04:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Emilio Nava
Mariano …: 26,6%
Emilio …: 73,4%
¿Por qué Emilio Nava?
UTR 14,85 vs 14,99
(+0,20)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Mariano … | Emilio … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gamdom | 2,19 | 1,61 | 45,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,76 | 1,36 | 26,6% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mariano Navone
Ranking
#74
UTR Rating
14,85 Pro
UTR Ranking
#104
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
5/17 = 29,4%
Emilio Nava
Ranking
#89
UTR Rating
14,99 Pro
UTR Ranking
#92
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
8/15 = 53,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 16,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,2222 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,2007 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 83,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 59,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -23,9216 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -10,2924 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,1333 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 29,4118 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 53,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 52,6316 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 17,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 15,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,4118 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,5667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -12,7176 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -7,4000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 5,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -13,8000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -2,1000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -5,2588 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 38,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -8,3610 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7238 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6585 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7143 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,3398 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,6896 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -4,8004 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2219 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0493 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8353 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8118 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,3333 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22015
API ID
15335392
Gamdom ID
583769
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
cancelled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22015,
"api_id": 15335392,
"gamdom_id": 583769,
"player1": "Mariano Navone",
"player2": "Emilio Nava",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-10T00:20:00+00:00",
"status": "cancelled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.19,
"p2": 1.61
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.19,
"p2": 1.65
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.266,
"prob_p2": 0.734,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.734,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 74,
"utr_singles": 14.85,
"utr_ranking": 104,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 29.411764705882355,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 17,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 89,
"utr_singles": 14.99,
"utr_ranking": 92,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.333333333333336,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 15,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.85,
"ranking": 104,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.99,
"ranking": 92,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.8352941176470587,
"utr_p2": 0.8117647058823529,
"utr_diff": 0.1999999999999993,
"rank_ratio": 1.2222222222222223,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 38.0,
"points_diff": 83,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -13.799999999999997,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -9.999999999999996,
"p1_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.5,
"surface_wr_p1": 29.411764705882355,
"surface_wr_p2": 53.333333333333336,
"utr_advantage": 1.3333333333333286,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 59,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.20067069546215124,
"rank_advantage": 16,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7142857142857143,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": -23.92156862745098,
"bp_converted_diff": -2.1000000000000014,
"p1_surface_matches": 17,
"p2_surface_matches": 15,
"serve_quality_diff": -12.717647058823523,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7238095238095238,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6585365853658537,
"aces_per_match_diff": -5.258823529411764,
"combined_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -7.400000000000006,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.4117647058823529,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.33983159409705,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.689592699018506,
"surface_rank_synergy": -4.800357813016167,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 33.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.63157894736842,
"second_serve_won_diff": 5.0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.1333333333333333,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -8.360999999999997,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.22188235294117648,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.04933333333333334,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -10.292397660818715,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}