Mariano Navone vs Emilio Nava
Auckland | Hard |
10 Ene 2026, 04:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Emilio Nava
Mariano …: 26,6% Emilio …: 73,4%
¿Por qué Emilio Nava?
UTR 14,85 vs 14,99 (+0,20) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Mariano … Emilio … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 2,19 1,61 45,7%
IA Fair Odds 3,76 1,36 26,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mariano Navone
Ranking #74
UTR Rating 14,85 Pro
UTR Ranking #104
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 5/17 = 29,4%
Emilio Nava
Ranking #89
UTR Rating 14,99 Pro
UTR Ranking #92
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 8/15 = 53,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 16,0000
rank_ratio 1,2222
log_rank_ratio 0,2007
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 83,0000
best_rank_diff 59,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -23,9216
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -10,2924
surface_matches_ratio 1,1333
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 29,4118
surface_wr_p2 53,3333
surface_wr_p1_stable 33,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 52,6316
p1_surface_matches 17,0000
p2_surface_matches 15,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,4118
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5667
p2_confidence 0,5000
combined_confidence 0,5333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -12,7176
first_serve_won_diff -7,4000
second_serve_won_diff 5,0000
bp_saved_diff -13,8000
bp_converted_diff -2,1000
aces_per_match_diff -5,2588
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 28,0000
momentum_p2 38,0000
momentum_diff -10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -8,3610
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 4,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7238
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6585
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,7143
serve_consistency_p1 4,3398
serve_consistency_p2 8,6896
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -4,8004
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2219
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0493
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,2000
utr_p1 0,8353
utr_p2 0,8118
utr_advantage 1,3333
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22015
API ID 15335392
Gamdom ID 583769
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status cancelled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22015,
    "api_id": 15335392,
    "gamdom_id": 583769,
    "player1": "Mariano Navone",
    "player2": "Emilio Nava",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-10T00:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "cancelled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.19,
      "p2": 1.61
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.19,
      "p2": 1.65
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.266,
    "prob_p2": 0.734,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.734,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 74,
      "utr_singles": 14.85,
      "utr_ranking": 104,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 29.411764705882355,
      "wr_surface_wins": 5,
      "wr_surface_total": 17,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 89,
      "utr_singles": 14.99,
      "utr_ranking": 92,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.333333333333336,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 15,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.85,
      "ranking": 104,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.99,
      "ranking": 92,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8352941176470587,
    "utr_p2": 0.8117647058823529,
    "utr_diff": 0.1999999999999993,
    "rank_ratio": 1.2222222222222223,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 38.0,
    "points_diff": 83,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -13.799999999999997,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -9.999999999999996,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_p1": 29.411764705882355,
    "surface_wr_p2": 53.333333333333336,
    "utr_advantage": 1.3333333333333286,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 59,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.20067069546215124,
    "rank_advantage": 16,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7142857142857143,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -23.92156862745098,
    "bp_converted_diff": -2.1000000000000014,
    "p1_surface_matches": 17,
    "p2_surface_matches": 15,
    "serve_quality_diff": -12.717647058823523,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7238095238095238,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6585365853658537,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -5.258823529411764,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -7.400000000000006,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.4117647058823529,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.33983159409705,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.689592699018506,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -4.800357813016167,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 33.33333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.63157894736842,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 5.0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.1333333333333333,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -8.360999999999997,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.22188235294117648,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.04933333333333334,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -10.292397660818715,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}