Mattia Bellucci vs Roberto Bautista Agut
Auckland | Hard |
10 Ene 2026, 04:20
10 Ene 2026, 04:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Mattia Bellucci
Mattia …: 62,3%
Roberto …: 37,7%
¿Por qué Mattia Bellucci?
UTR 14,75 vs 15,32
(-0,63)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Mattia … | Roberto … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gamdom | 1,65 | 2,10 | 60,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,61 | 2,65 | 62,3% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mattia Bellucci
Ranking
#76
UTR Rating
14,75 Pro
UTR Ranking
#122
Forma L5
0% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
12/29 = 41,4%
Roberto Bautista Agut
Ranking
#91
UTR Rating
15,32 Pro
UTR Ranking
#47
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
4/14 = 28,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 17,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,2329 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,2094 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 88,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -54,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 12,8079 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 6,6061 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,0714 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 41,3793 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 28,5714 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 42,4242 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 33,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 29,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 14,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1724 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4867 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7267 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 7,0325 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,9653 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3,8936 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,7404 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2,2433 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,4409 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -22,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -17,6640 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 7,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 136,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5059 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5672 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3750 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,2887 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,8405 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 2,6813 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1032 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1973 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,6300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8012 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8753 | |
| utr_advantage | -4,1653 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22016
API ID
15335387
Gamdom ID
583768
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
cancelled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22016,
"api_id": 15335387,
"gamdom_id": 583768,
"player1": "Mattia Bellucci",
"player2": "Roberto Bautista Agut",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-10T00:20:00+00:00",
"status": "cancelled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.65,
"p2": 2.1
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.68,
"p2": 2.14
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6226,
"prob_p2": 0.3774,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6226,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 76,
"utr_singles": 14.75,
"utr_ranking": 122,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 41.37931034482759,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 91,
"utr_singles": 15.32,
"utr_ranking": 47,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 28.57142857142857,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 14,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.75,
"ranking": 122,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.32,
"ranking": 47,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.8011764705882354,
"utr_p2": 0.8752941176470588,
"utr_diff": -0.629999999999999,
"rank_ratio": 1.2328767123287672,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 22.0,
"points_diff": 88,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.7403940886699587,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -22.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 41.37931034482759,
"surface_wr_p2": 28.57142857142857,
"utr_advantage": -4.165289256198341,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -54,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.20935022918187396,
"rank_advantage": 17,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.375,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 12.807881773399018,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.2433497536945843,
"p1_surface_matches": 29,
"p2_surface_matches": 14,
"serve_quality_diff": 7.0324876847290625,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5058823529411764,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5671641791044776,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.440886699507389,
"combined_confidence": 0.7266666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.9652709359605893,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.1724137931034483,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.288719838507864,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.840537111240176,
"surface_rank_synergy": 2.681332984595431,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 42.42424242424242,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 33.33333333333333,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.8935960591133068,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.0714285714285716,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -17.664,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 136,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.10320689655172416,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.1972857142857143,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.606060606060608,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}