Anton Shepp vs Jan-Lennard Struff
Auckland | Hard |
10 Ene 2026, 05:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jan-Lennard Struff
Anton …: 17,3% Jan-Lennard …: 82,7%
¿Por qué Jan-Lennard Struff?
UTR 13,39 vs 15,12 — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Anton … Jan-Lennard … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 17,00 1,03 5,9%
Gamdom 12,00 1,01 8,3%
IA Fair Odds 5,78 1,21 17,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Anton …: +11,6% Jan-Lennard …: -11,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Anton Shepp
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,39 Pro
UTR Ranking #776
Forma L5 50% (0p)
Forma L10 50% (0p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Jan-Lennard Struff
Ranking #86
UTR Rating 15,12 Pro
UTR Ranking #76
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 11/26 = 42,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -418,0000
rank_ratio 0,1640
log_rank_ratio -1,8079
rank_tier_advantage -2,0000
points_diff -711,0000
best_rank_diff -479,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -42,3077
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 3,8889
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 42,3077
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 43,3333
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 26,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,8667
combined_confidence 0,5833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -70,6731
first_serve_won_diff -73,5192
second_serve_won_diff -54,3269
bp_saved_diff -55,3500
bp_converted_diff -30,9577
aces_per_match_diff -8,8077
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,1000
last3_wr_diff -0,1667
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 52,0000
momentum_diff -2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -18,8760
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 30,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 3,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,0606
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 10,0000
serve_consistency_p2 9,9763
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 76,4876
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0820
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,4949
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,8400
utr_p2 0,8400
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22017
API ID 15335390
Gamdom ID 583775
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22017,
    "api_id": 15335390,
    "gamdom_id": 583775,
    "player1": "Anton Shepp",
    "player2": "Jan-Lennard Struff",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-10T01:35:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 17.0,
      "p2": 1.025
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 12.0,
      "p2": 1.01
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 13.83,
      "p2": 1.03
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.173,
    "prob_p2": 0.827,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.827,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.39,
      "utr_ranking": 776,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50,
      "form_l10_wr": 50,
      "form_l5_matches": 0,
      "form_l10_matches": 0
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 86,
      "utr_singles": 15.12,
      "utr_ranking": 76,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.30769230769231,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.39,
      "ranking": 776,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.12,
      "ranking": 76,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8400000000000001,
    "utr_p2": 0.8400000000000001,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.164,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 52.0,
    "points_diff": -711,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -55.349999999999994,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666663,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.09999999999999998,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": -2.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 42.30769230769231,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -479,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.8078888511579385,
    "rank_advantage": -418,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -3,
    "surface_wr_diff": -42.30769230769231,
    "bp_converted_diff": -30.957692307692305,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 26,
    "serve_quality_diff": -70.67307692307692,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0606060606060606,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -8.807692307692308,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5833333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -73.51923076923077,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.976324372971257,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 76.4876052412974,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.333333333333336,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -54.32692307692308,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -18.876000000000005,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.08199999999999996,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.49492307692307697,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.888888888888888,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}