Anton Shepp vs Jan-Lennard Struff
Auckland | Hard |
10 Ene 2026, 05:35
10 Ene 2026, 05:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jan-Lennard Struff
Anton …: 17,3%
Jan-Lennard …: 82,7%
¿Por qué Jan-Lennard Struff?
UTR 13,39 vs 15,12
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Anton … | Jan-Lennard … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 17,00 | 1,03 | 5,9% |
| Gamdom | 12,00 | 1,01 | 8,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 5,78 | 1,21 | 17,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Anton …: +11,6%
Jan-Lennard …: -11,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Anton Shepp
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,39 Pro
UTR Ranking
#776
Forma L5
50% (0p)
Forma L10
50% (0p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Jan-Lennard Struff
Ranking
#86
UTR Rating
15,12 Pro
UTR Ranking
#76
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
11/26 = 42,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -418,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,1640 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,8079 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -711,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -479,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -42,3077 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 3,8889 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 42,3077 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 43,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -70,6731 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -73,5192 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -54,3269 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -55,3500 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -30,9577 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -8,8077 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,1000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,1667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -18,8760 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0606 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,9763 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 76,4876 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0820 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,4949 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8400 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8400 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22017
API ID
15335390
Gamdom ID
583775
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22017,
"api_id": 15335390,
"gamdom_id": 583775,
"player1": "Anton Shepp",
"player2": "Jan-Lennard Struff",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-10T01:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 17.0,
"p2": 1.025
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 12.0,
"p2": 1.01
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 13.83,
"p2": 1.03
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.173,
"prob_p2": 0.827,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.827,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.39,
"utr_ranking": 776,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50,
"form_l10_wr": 50,
"form_l5_matches": 0,
"form_l10_matches": 0
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 86,
"utr_singles": 15.12,
"utr_ranking": 76,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.30769230769231,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.39,
"ranking": 776,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.12,
"ranking": 76,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.8400000000000001,
"utr_p2": 0.8400000000000001,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.164,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 52.0,
"points_diff": -711,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -55.349999999999994,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666663,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.09999999999999998,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -2.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 42.30769230769231,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -479,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.8078888511579385,
"rank_advantage": -418,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_diff": -42.30769230769231,
"bp_converted_diff": -30.957692307692305,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 26,
"serve_quality_diff": -70.67307692307692,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0606060606060606,
"aces_per_match_diff": -8.807692307692308,
"combined_confidence": 0.5833333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"first_serve_won_diff": -73.51923076923077,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.976324372971257,
"surface_rank_synergy": 76.4876052412974,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.333333333333336,
"second_serve_won_diff": -54.32692307692308,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -18.876000000000005,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.08199999999999996,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.49492307692307697,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.888888888888888,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}