Dalibor Svrcina vs Hamad Medjedovic
Auckland | Hard |
10 Ene 2026, 07:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Hamad Medjedovic
Dalibor …: 48,3% Hamad …: 51,7%
¿Por qué Hamad Medjedovic?
UTR 14,71 vs 15,24 (-0,60) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Dalibor … Hamad … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,20 1,62 45,5%
Gamdom 2,20 1,60 45,5%
IA Fair Odds 2,07 1,93 48,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Dalibor …: +5,9% Hamad …: -5,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Dalibor Svrcina
Ranking #95
UTR Rating 14,71 Pro
UTR Ranking #125
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 22/37 = 59,5%
Hamad Medjedovic
Ranking #90
UTR Rating 15,24 Pro
UTR Ranking #58
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Hard 18/30 = 60,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -13,0000
rank_ratio 0,8602
log_rank_ratio -0,1506
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -63,0000
best_rank_diff -29,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -0,5405
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -0,2869
surface_matches_ratio 1,2333
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 59,4595
surface_wr_p2 60,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 58,5366
surface_wr_p2_stable 58,8235
p1_surface_matches 37,0000
p2_surface_matches 30,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1892
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -19,1138
first_serve_won_diff -7,9070
second_serve_won_diff -4,9427
bp_saved_diff -5,4314
bp_converted_diff 3,0276
aces_per_match_diff -6,8387
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 30,0000
momentum_p2 8,0000
momentum_diff 22,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 15,9900
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 83,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 76,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,2381
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,2500
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5294
serve_consistency_p1 15,0832
serve_consistency_p2 5,4229
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0814
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1076
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0870
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,6000
utr_p1 0,7929
utr_p2 0,8635
utr_advantage -3,9894
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22018
API ID 15335388
Gamdom ID 583767
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22018,
    "api_id": 15335388,
    "gamdom_id": 583767,
    "player1": "Dalibor Svrcina",
    "player2": "Hamad Medjedovic",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-10T03:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.2,
      "p2": 1.6153846153846154
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.2,
      "p2": 1.6
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.24,
      "p2": 1.62
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4827,
    "prob_p2": 0.5173,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5173,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 95,
      "utr_singles": 14.71,
      "utr_ranking": 125,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 59.45945945945946,
      "wr_surface_wins": 22,
      "wr_surface_total": 37,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 90,
      "utr_singles": 15.24,
      "utr_ranking": 58,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.71,
      "ranking": 125,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.24,
      "ranking": 58,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7929411764705883,
    "utr_p2": 0.8635294117647059,
    "utr_diff": -0.5999999999999996,
    "rank_ratio": 0.8602150537634409,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 8.0,
    "points_diff": -63,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -5.431351351351353,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 22.000000000000004,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 59.45945945945946,
    "surface_wr_p2": 60.0,
    "utr_advantage": -3.9893617021276575,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -29,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.15057285847937432,
    "rank_advantage": -13,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.25,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5294117647058824,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -0.5405405405405403,
    "bp_converted_diff": 3.0275675675675657,
    "p1_surface_matches": 37,
    "p2_surface_matches": 30,
    "serve_quality_diff": -19.11380180180182,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.2380952380952381,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -6.838738738738739,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -7.907027027027041,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.1891891891891892,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 15.083188981181841,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.42293754048886,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.08139073431317528,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.536585365853654,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.82352941176471,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -4.942702702702711,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.2333333333333334,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 15.990000000000009,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 83,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 76,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10759459459459464,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08699999999999997,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.2869440459110564,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}