Taketo Takamisawa vs Ryotaro Matsumura
UTR Yokohama M01 | Hard | Semifinals
10 Ene 2026, 06:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ryotaro Matsumura
Taketo …: 42,0% Ryotaro …: 58,0%
¿Por qué Ryotaro Matsumura?
UTR 12,93 vs 13,13 (-0,06) — Niveles similares
Taketo …
W55-L25
69% WR
vs UTR 12,0
L2
Ryotaro …
W72-L16
82% WR
vs UTR 12,0
W6
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (31%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Taketo … Ryotaro … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,75 1,25 26,7%
Gamdom 3,40 1,23 29,4%
IA Fair Odds 2,38 1,73 42,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Taketo …: +17,0% Ryotaro …: -17,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Taketo Takamisawa
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,93 Pro
UTR Ranking #1166
Forma L5 75% (4p)
Forma L10 75% (4p)
WR Hard 0/1 = 0,0%
Ryotaro Matsumura
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,13 Pro
UTR Ranking #986
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 100% (10p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Taketo Takamisawa
Record 2025 55W - 25L (69%)
Racha 2L
UTR Oponentes 12,0
Últimos 5:
L L W W L
Ryotaro Matsumura
Record 2025 72W - 16L (82%)
Racha 6W
UTR Oponentes 12,0
Últimos 5:
W W W W W
Análisis Momentum
Ryotaro Matsumura viene en racha ganadora (6W) mientras Taketo Takamisawa perdió 2 seguidos.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -14,1067
surface_matches_ratio 1,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 2,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 4,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 1,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance -1,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3133
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3067
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 38,0900
first_serve_won_diff 56,2000
second_serve_won_diff 33,3000
bp_saved_diff 37,5000
bp_converted_diff 33,3000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2500
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 79,5918
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff -20,4082
weighted_momentum_diff -15,3061
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 6,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 8,4941
serve_consistency_p2 13,5656
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,0600
utr_p1 0,5859
utr_p2 0,5929
utr_advantage -0,4612
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22020
API ID 15335397
Gamdom ID 583727
Torneo UTR Yokohama M01
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22020,
    "api_id": 15335397,
    "gamdom_id": 583727,
    "player1": "Taketo Takamisawa",
    "player2": "Ryotaro Matsumura",
    "tournament": "UTR Yokohama M01",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2026-01-10T02:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.75,
      "p2": 1.25
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.4,
      "p2": 1.23
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.56,
      "p2": 1.25
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4203,
    "prob_p2": 0.5797,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5797,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.93,
      "utr_ranking": 1166,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 55,
      "utr_v4_losses": 25,
      "utr_v4_wr": 68.75,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.04,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.59,
          "opponent_name": "Arthur Weber"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 14.04,
          "opponent_name": "Max Basing"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Yan Cheng CHEN"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.4,
          "opponent_name": "Ryota Tanuma"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.53,
          "opponent_name": "Moerani Bouzige"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:43.336693+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 1,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.13,
      "utr_ranking": 986,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 72,
      "utr_v4_losses": 16,
      "utr_v4_wr": 81.81818181818183,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 6,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.95,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "yuga tashiro"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Kotaro Mochizuki"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "takashi yoshida"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Jacob Kailiang Shen"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Tokitaka Ito"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:25.548870+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.93,
      "ranking": 1166,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.13,
      "ranking": 986,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5858823529411765,
    "utr_p2": 0.5929411764705881,
    "utr_diff": -0.05999999999999872,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 79.59183673469387,
    "momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 37.5,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.25,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 6,
    "momentum_diff": -20.408163265306115,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -0.46118370484241905,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 33.3,
    "p1_surface_matches": 1,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 38.09,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.30666666666666664,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 56.2,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.494065330435664,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 13.56563193889362,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 4.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 33.3,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -15.306122448979593,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -14.106666666666666,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}