Belinda Bencic vs Elise Mertens
United Cup | Hard |
10 Ene 2026, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Belinda Bencic
Belinda …: 62,7% Elise …: 37,3%
¿Por qué Belinda Bencic?
UTR 12,48 vs 12,45 (+0,03) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Belinda … Elise … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,53 2,38 65,2%
Gamdom 1,57 2,43 63,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,59 2,68 62,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Belinda …: +2,0% Elise …: -2,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Belinda Bencic
Ranking #10
UTR Rating 12,48 Pro
UTR Ranking #23
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 90% (10p)
WR Hard 30/41 = 73,2%
Elise Mertens
Ranking #21
UTR Rating 12,45 Pro
UTR Ranking #27
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 16/29 = 55,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 8,0000
rank_ratio 1,7273
log_rank_ratio 0,5465
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 1128,0000
best_rank_diff 8,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 17,9983
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 16,2896
surface_matches_ratio 1,4138
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 73,1707
surface_wr_p2 55,1724
surface_wr_p1_stable 71,1111
surface_wr_p2_stable 54,5455
p1_surface_matches 41,0000
p2_surface_matches 29,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,4634
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,9667
combined_confidence 0,9833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -6,6333
first_serve_won_diff -2,6000
second_serve_won_diff 1,6000
bp_saved_diff 4,8000
bp_converted_diff 1,7000
aces_per_match_diff -2,9066
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 92,0000
momentum_diff 8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7130
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,8182
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 12,5834
serve_consistency_p2 11,9158
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 9,8369
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2237
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0597
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0300
utr_p1 0,5259
utr_p2 0,5224
utr_advantage 0,2409
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22029
API ID 15335881
Gamdom ID 584082
Torneo United Cup
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22029,
    "api_id": 15335881,
    "gamdom_id": 584082,
    "player1": "Belinda Bencic",
    "player2": "Elise Mertens",
    "tournament": "United Cup",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-09T23:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5333333333333332,
      "p2": 2.375
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.57,
      "p2": 2.43
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.54,
      "p2": 2.43
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6273,
    "prob_p2": 0.3727,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6273,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 10,
      "utr_singles": 12.48,
      "utr_ranking": 23,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 73.17073170731707,
      "wr_surface_wins": 30,
      "wr_surface_total": 41,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 90.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 21,
      "utr_singles": 12.45,
      "utr_ranking": 27,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.172413793103445,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 29,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.48,
      "ranking": 23,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.45,
      "ranking": 27,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5258823529411766,
    "utr_p2": 0.5223529411764706,
    "utr_diff": 0.030000000000001137,
    "rank_ratio": 1.7272727272727273,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 92.0,
    "points_diff": 1128,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 4.799999999999997,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 7.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 73.17073170731707,
    "surface_wr_p2": 55.172413793103445,
    "utr_advantage": 0.24086712163790555,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 8,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.5465437063680699,
    "rank_advantage": 8,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 17.99831791421363,
    "bp_converted_diff": 1.7000000000000028,
    "p1_surface_matches": 41,
    "p2_surface_matches": 29,
    "serve_quality_diff": -6.6332884777123695,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7130434782608696,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8181818181818182,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.906644238856182,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.6000000000000085,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.4634146341463415,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 12.583439631318466,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.915817971860603,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 9.836867381225147,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 71.11111111111111,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.54545454545454,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.6000000000000085,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.4137931034482758,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.2237073170731707,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.05972413793103448,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 16.289562289562298,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}