Belinda Bencic vs Elise Mertens
United Cup | Hard |
10 Ene 2026, 03:00
10 Ene 2026, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Belinda Bencic
Belinda …: 62,7%
Elise …: 37,3%
¿Por qué Belinda Bencic?
UTR 12,48 vs 12,45
(+0,03)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Belinda … | Elise … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,53 | 2,38 | 65,2% |
| Gamdom | 1,57 | 2,43 | 63,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,59 | 2,68 | 62,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Belinda …: +2,0%
Elise …: -2,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Belinda Bencic
Ranking
#10
UTR Rating
12,48 Pro
UTR Ranking
#23
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Hard
30/41 = 73,2%
Elise Mertens
Ranking
#21
UTR Rating
12,45 Pro
UTR Ranking
#27
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
16/29 = 55,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 8,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,7273 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,5465 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1128,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 8,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 17,9983 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 16,2896 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,4138 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 73,1707 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 55,1724 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 71,1111 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54,5455 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 41,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 29,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,4634 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -6,6333 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,6000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,6000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 4,8000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1,7000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,9066 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7130 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8182 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12,5834 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,9158 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 9,8369 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2237 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0597 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5259 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5224 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,2409 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22029
API ID
15335881
Gamdom ID
584082
Torneo
United Cup
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22029,
"api_id": 15335881,
"gamdom_id": 584082,
"player1": "Belinda Bencic",
"player2": "Elise Mertens",
"tournament": "United Cup",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-09T23:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5333333333333332,
"p2": 2.375
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.57,
"p2": 2.43
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.54,
"p2": 2.43
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6273,
"prob_p2": 0.3727,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6273,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 10,
"utr_singles": 12.48,
"utr_ranking": 23,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 73.17073170731707,
"wr_surface_wins": 30,
"wr_surface_total": 41,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 21,
"utr_singles": 12.45,
"utr_ranking": 27,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.172413793103445,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.48,
"ranking": 23,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.45,
"ranking": 27,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.5258823529411766,
"utr_p2": 0.5223529411764706,
"utr_diff": 0.030000000000001137,
"rank_ratio": 1.7272727272727273,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 92.0,
"points_diff": 1128,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 4.799999999999997,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 7.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 73.17073170731707,
"surface_wr_p2": 55.172413793103445,
"utr_advantage": 0.24086712163790555,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 8,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.5465437063680699,
"rank_advantage": 8,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 17.99831791421363,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.7000000000000028,
"p1_surface_matches": 41,
"p2_surface_matches": 29,
"serve_quality_diff": -6.6332884777123695,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7130434782608696,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8181818181818182,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.906644238856182,
"combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.6000000000000085,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.4634146341463415,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.583439631318466,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.915817971860603,
"surface_rank_synergy": 9.836867381225147,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 71.11111111111111,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.54545454545454,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.6000000000000085,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.4137931034482758,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.2237073170731707,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.05972413793103448,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 16.289562289562298,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}