Stan Wawrinka vs Zizou Bergs
United Cup | Hard |
10 Ene 2026, 06:00
10 Ene 2026, 06:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Zizou Bergs
Stan …: 35,5%
Zizou …: 64,5%
¿Por qué Zizou Bergs?
UTR 14,64 vs 15,15
(-0,59)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Stan … | Zizou … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,00 | 1,36 | 33,3% |
| Gamdom | 2,85 | 1,44 | 35,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,82 | 1,55 | 35,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Stan …: +4,3%
Zizou …: -4,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Stan Wawrinka
Ranking
#139
UTR Rating
14,64 Pro
UTR Ranking
#139
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
10/20 = 50,0%
Zizou Bergs
Ranking
#43
UTR Rating
15,15 Pro
UTR Ranking
#72
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
23/39 = 59,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -114,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,2692 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,3122 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -796,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 36,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -8,9744 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -6,7829 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5128 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 58,9744 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 58,1395 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 20,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 39,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,6667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 3,8039 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 7,3185 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,1831 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 9,3523 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -4,5369 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0449 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 72,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -50,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -46,7200 | |
| current_streak_diff | -4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 2,4615 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6713 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6250 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5385 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,0316 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,9618 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 11,7760 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1140 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0243 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,5900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7835 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8529 | |
| utr_advantage | -3,9452 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22030
API ID
15335883
Gamdom ID
584091
Torneo
United Cup
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22030,
"api_id": 15335883,
"gamdom_id": 584091,
"player1": "Stan Wawrinka",
"player2": "Zizou Bergs",
"tournament": "United Cup",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-10T02:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.0,
"p2": 1.3599999999999999
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.85,
"p2": 1.44
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.01,
"p2": 1.37
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3548,
"prob_p2": 0.6452,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6452,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 139,
"utr_singles": 14.64,
"utr_ranking": 139,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 10,
"wr_surface_total": 20,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 43,
"utr_singles": 15.15,
"utr_ranking": 72,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 58.97435897435898,
"wr_surface_wins": 23,
"wr_surface_total": 39,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 139,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 72,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8529411764705882,
"utr_diff": -0.5899999999999999,
"rank_ratio": 0.2692307692307692,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 22.0,
"momentum_p2": 72.0,
"points_diff": -796,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 9.352307692307676,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -50.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 58.97435897435898,
"utr_advantage": -3.945168839852891,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 36,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.3121863889661687,
"rank_advantage": -114,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.625,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5384615384615384,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -8.974358974358978,
"bp_converted_diff": -4.536923076923081,
"p1_surface_matches": 20,
"p2_surface_matches": 39,
"serve_quality_diff": 3.803897435897426,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 2.4615384615384617,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6713286713286714,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.04487179487179471,
"combined_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": -4,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 7.31846153846152,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.031573402217006,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.9618260761126445,
"surface_rank_synergy": 11.776031695850236,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.139534883720934,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.18307692307693202,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5128205128205128,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -46.72,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.11399999999999999,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.024256410256410232,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -6.782945736434111,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}