Stan Wawrinka vs Zizou Bergs
United Cup | Hard |
10 Ene 2026, 06:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Zizou Bergs
Stan …: 35,5% Zizou …: 64,5%
¿Por qué Zizou Bergs?
UTR 14,64 vs 15,15 (-0,59) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Stan … Zizou … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,00 1,36 33,3%
Gamdom 2,85 1,44 35,1%
IA Fair Odds 2,82 1,55 35,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Stan …: +4,3% Zizou …: -4,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Stan Wawrinka
Ranking #139
UTR Rating 14,64 Pro
UTR Ranking #139
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 10/20 = 50,0%
Zizou Bergs
Ranking #43
UTR Rating 15,15 Pro
UTR Ranking #72
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 23/39 = 59,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -114,0000
rank_ratio 0,2692
log_rank_ratio -1,3122
rank_tier_advantage -2,0000
points_diff -796,0000
best_rank_diff 36,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -8,9744
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -6,7829
surface_matches_ratio 0,5128
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 58,9744
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 58,1395
p1_surface_matches 20,0000
p2_surface_matches 39,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,6667
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,8333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 3,8039
first_serve_won_diff 7,3185
second_serve_won_diff 0,1831
bp_saved_diff 9,3523
bp_converted_diff -4,5369
aces_per_match_diff 0,0449
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 22,0000
momentum_p2 72,0000
momentum_diff -50,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -46,7200
current_streak_diff -4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 2,4615
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6713
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6250
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5385
serve_consistency_p1 5,0316
serve_consistency_p2 5,9618
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 11,7760
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1140
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0243
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,5900
utr_p1 0,7835
utr_p2 0,8529
utr_advantage -3,9452
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22030
API ID 15335883
Gamdom ID 584091
Torneo United Cup
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22030,
    "api_id": 15335883,
    "gamdom_id": 584091,
    "player1": "Stan Wawrinka",
    "player2": "Zizou Bergs",
    "tournament": "United Cup",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-10T02:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.0,
      "p2": 1.3599999999999999
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.85,
      "p2": 1.44
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.01,
      "p2": 1.37
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3548,
    "prob_p2": 0.6452,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6452,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 139,
      "utr_singles": 14.64,
      "utr_ranking": 139,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 10,
      "wr_surface_total": 20,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 43,
      "utr_singles": 15.15,
      "utr_ranking": 72,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 58.97435897435898,
      "wr_surface_wins": 23,
      "wr_surface_total": 39,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.64,
      "ranking": 139,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.15,
      "ranking": 72,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7835294117647059,
    "utr_p2": 0.8529411764705882,
    "utr_diff": -0.5899999999999999,
    "rank_ratio": 0.2692307692307692,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 22.0,
    "momentum_p2": 72.0,
    "points_diff": -796,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 9.352307692307676,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": -50.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 58.97435897435898,
    "utr_advantage": -3.945168839852891,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 36,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.3121863889661687,
    "rank_advantage": -114,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.625,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5384615384615384,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -8.974358974358978,
    "bp_converted_diff": -4.536923076923081,
    "p1_surface_matches": 20,
    "p2_surface_matches": 39,
    "serve_quality_diff": 3.803897435897426,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 2.4615384615384617,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6713286713286714,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.04487179487179471,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 7.31846153846152,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.031573402217006,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.9618260761126445,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 11.776031695850236,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.139534883720934,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.18307692307693202,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.5128205128205128,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -46.72,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.11399999999999999,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.024256410256410232,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -6.782945736434111,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}