Ashlyn Krueger vs Dalma Galfi
Adelaide | Hard |
10 Ene 2026, 03:30
10 Ene 2026, 03:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Dalma Galfi
Ashlyn …: 46,7%
Dalma …: 53,3%
¿Por qué Dalma Galfi?
UTR 12,02 vs 12,26
(-0,17)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Ashlyn … | Dalma … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,40 | 2,75 | 71,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,45 | 2,55 | 69,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,14 | 1,88 | 46,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Ashlyn …: -19,5%
Dalma …: +19,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ashlyn Krueger
Ranking
#62
UTR Rating
12,02 Pro
UTR Ranking
#97
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
18/34 = 52,9%
Dalma Galfi
Ranking
#91
UTR Rating
12,26 Pro
UTR Ranking
#50
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
11/20 = 55,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 45,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,9184 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,6515 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 345,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 50,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -2,0588 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -1,2792 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,7000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 52,9412 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 55,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 52,6316 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54,1667 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 34,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 20,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0588 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,6667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0,0488 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3,9250 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 7,5750 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -7,7100 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1,5500 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,1794 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 8,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -14,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -15,5760 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 73,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6610 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6875 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,2500 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,4810 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,8056 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,3413 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0156 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0950 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -2,0588 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4776 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4976 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,3998 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22033
API ID
15336253
Gamdom ID
584336
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22033,
"api_id": 15336253,
"gamdom_id": 584336,
"player1": "Ashlyn Krueger",
"player2": "Dalma Galfi",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-09T23:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.4,
"p2": 2.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.45,
"p2": 2.55
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.42,
"p2": 2.73
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4673,
"prob_p2": 0.5327,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5327,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 62,
"utr_singles": 12.02,
"utr_ranking": 97,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 52.94117647058824,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 34,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 91,
"utr_singles": 12.26,
"utr_ranking": 50,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.00000000000001,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 20,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.02,
"ranking": 97,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.26,
"ranking": 50,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4776470588235295,
"utr_p2": 0.49764705882352944,
"utr_diff": -0.16999999999999993,
"rank_ratio": 1.9183673469387754,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 8.0,
"momentum_p2": 22.0,
"points_diff": 345,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -7.710000000000001,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -14.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 52.94117647058824,
"surface_wr_p2": 55.00000000000001,
"utr_advantage": -1.3997529847673935,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 50,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.6514744841593773,
"rank_advantage": 45,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.25,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": -2.058823529411768,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.5499999999999972,
"p1_surface_matches": 34,
"p2_surface_matches": 20,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.048823529411762934,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6610169491525424,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6875,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.1794117647058826,
"combined_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.92499999999999,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.058823529411764705,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.481044341634866,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.805611882579555,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.34127099679872,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.63157894736842,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.166666666666664,
"second_serve_won_diff": 7.574999999999996,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.7,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -15.576000000000008,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -2.058823529411768,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 73,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.01558823529411757,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09499999999999997,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.279239766081872,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}