Ashlyn Krueger vs Dalma Galfi
Adelaide | Hard |
10 Ene 2026, 03:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Dalma Galfi
Ashlyn …: 46,7% Dalma …: 53,3%
¿Por qué Dalma Galfi?
UTR 12,02 vs 12,26 (-0,17) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Ashlyn … Dalma … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,40 2,75 71,4%
Gamdom 1,45 2,55 69,0%
IA Fair Odds 2,14 1,88 46,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Ashlyn …: -19,5% Dalma …: +19,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ashlyn Krueger
Ranking #62
UTR Rating 12,02 Pro
UTR Ranking #97
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Hard 18/34 = 52,9%
Dalma Galfi
Ranking #91
UTR Rating 12,26 Pro
UTR Ranking #50
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 11/20 = 55,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 45,0000
rank_ratio 1,9184
log_rank_ratio 0,6515
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 345,0000
best_rank_diff 50,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -2,0588
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -1,2792
surface_matches_ratio 1,7000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 52,9412
surface_wr_p2 55,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 52,6316
surface_wr_p2_stable 54,1667
p1_surface_matches 34,0000
p2_surface_matches 20,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0588
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,6667
combined_confidence 0,8333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -0,0488
first_serve_won_diff -3,9250
second_serve_won_diff 7,5750
bp_saved_diff -7,7100
bp_converted_diff 1,5500
aces_per_match_diff -0,1794
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 8,0000
momentum_p2 22,0000
momentum_diff -14,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -15,5760
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 4,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 73,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6610
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6875
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,2500
serve_consistency_p1 5,4810
serve_consistency_p2 9,8056
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,3413
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0156
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0950
elite_surface_amplifier -2,0588
UTR
utr_diff -0,1700
utr_p1 0,4776
utr_p2 0,4976
utr_advantage -1,3998
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22033
API ID 15336253
Gamdom ID 584336
Torneo Adelaide
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22033,
    "api_id": 15336253,
    "gamdom_id": 584336,
    "player1": "Ashlyn Krueger",
    "player2": "Dalma Galfi",
    "tournament": "Adelaide",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-09T23:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.4,
      "p2": 2.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.45,
      "p2": 2.55
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.42,
      "p2": 2.73
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4673,
    "prob_p2": 0.5327,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5327,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 62,
      "utr_singles": 12.02,
      "utr_ranking": 97,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 52.94117647058824,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 34,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 91,
      "utr_singles": 12.26,
      "utr_ranking": 50,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.00000000000001,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 20,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.02,
      "ranking": 97,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.26,
      "ranking": 50,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4776470588235295,
    "utr_p2": 0.49764705882352944,
    "utr_diff": -0.16999999999999993,
    "rank_ratio": 1.9183673469387754,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 8.0,
    "momentum_p2": 22.0,
    "points_diff": 345,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -7.710000000000001,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -14.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 52.94117647058824,
    "surface_wr_p2": 55.00000000000001,
    "utr_advantage": -1.3997529847673935,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 50,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.6514744841593773,
    "rank_advantage": 45,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.25,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -2.058823529411768,
    "bp_converted_diff": 1.5499999999999972,
    "p1_surface_matches": 34,
    "p2_surface_matches": 20,
    "serve_quality_diff": -0.048823529411762934,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6610169491525424,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6875,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.1794117647058826,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -3.92499999999999,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.058823529411764705,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.481044341634866,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.805611882579555,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.34127099679872,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.63157894736842,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.166666666666664,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 7.574999999999996,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.7,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -15.576000000000008,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -2.058823529411768,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 73,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.01558823529411757,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09499999999999997,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.279239766081872,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}