Kamilla Rakhimova vs Shuai Zhang
Adelaide | Hard |
10 Ene 2026, 03:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Shuai Zhang
Kamilla …: 32,8% Shuai …: 67,2%
¿Por qué Shuai Zhang?
UTR 12,05 vs 12,09 (-0,09) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Kamilla … Shuai … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,63 1,44 38,1%
Gamdom 2,60 1,43 38,5%
IA Fair Odds 3,05 1,49 32,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Kamilla …: -2,7% Shuai …: +2,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Kamilla Rakhimova
Ranking #93
UTR Rating 12,05 Pro
UTR Ranking #97
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 17/37 = 45,9%
Shuai Zhang
Ranking #75
UTR Rating 12,09 Pro
UTR Ranking #81
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 13/22 = 59,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -12,0000
rank_ratio 0,8681
log_rank_ratio -0,1414
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -41,0000
best_rank_diff -38,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -13,1450
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -9,8374
surface_matches_ratio 1,6818
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 45,9459
surface_wr_p2 59,0909
surface_wr_p1_stable 46,3415
surface_wr_p2_stable 57,6923
p1_surface_matches 37,0000
p2_surface_matches 22,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0811
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,7333
combined_confidence 0,8667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -1,0267
first_serve_won_diff -2,8243
second_serve_won_diff 2,4889
bp_saved_diff 13,2125
bp_converted_diff -8,9496
aces_per_match_diff -0,1806
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 60,0000
momentum_p2 58,0000
momentum_diff 2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -6,2300
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 6,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 3,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5253
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,8571
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4444
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 15,3823
serve_consistency_p2 5,7124
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 1,8589
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0285
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0789
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,0900
utr_p1 0,4729
utr_p2 0,4835
utr_advantage -0,7460
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22034
API ID 15336254
Gamdom ID 584339
Torneo Adelaide
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22034,
    "api_id": 15336254,
    "gamdom_id": 584339,
    "player1": "Kamilla Rakhimova",
    "player2": "Shuai Zhang",
    "tournament": "Adelaide",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-09T23:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.625,
      "p2": 1.4444444444444444
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.6,
      "p2": 1.43
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.63,
      "p2": 1.45
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3277,
    "prob_p2": 0.6723,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6723,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 93,
      "utr_singles": 12.05,
      "utr_ranking": 97,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 45.94594594594595,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 37,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 75,
      "utr_singles": 12.09,
      "utr_ranking": 81,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 59.09090909090909,
      "wr_surface_wins": 13,
      "wr_surface_total": 22,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.05,
      "ranking": 97,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.09,
      "ranking": 81,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4729411764705882,
    "utr_p2": 0.4835294117647058,
    "utr_diff": -0.08999999999999986,
    "rank_ratio": 0.8681318681318682,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 60.0,
    "momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": -41,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 13.212530712530707,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 2.000000000000007,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.7333333333333334,
    "surface_wr_p1": 45.94594594594595,
    "surface_wr_p2": 59.09090909090909,
    "utr_advantage": -0.7459593866556142,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -38,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.14141165404982853,
    "rank_advantage": -12,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4444444444444444,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -13.144963144963143,
    "bp_converted_diff": -8.949631449631447,
    "p1_surface_matches": 37,
    "p2_surface_matches": 22,
    "serve_quality_diff": -1.0266584766584756,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5252525252525253,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8571428571428571,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.1805896805896805,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.8243243243243157,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.08108108108108109,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 15.382316759899057,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.712371978262747,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 1.8588509807532738,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 46.34146341463415,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 57.692307692307686,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.488943488943491,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.6818181818181819,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -6.22999999999999,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.028540540540540504,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07890909090909093,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.837398373983733,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}