Katie Swan vs Elena-Gabriela Ruse
Adelaide | Hard |
10 Ene 2026, 03:30
10 Ene 2026, 03:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Elena-Gabriela Ruse
Katie …: 13,2%
Elena-Gabriela …: 86,8%
¿Por qué Elena-Gabriela Ruse?
UTR 11,60 vs 12,16
(-0,57)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Katie … | Elena-Gabriela … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,25 | 1,33 | 30,8% |
| Gamdom | 4,50 | 1,17 | 22,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 7,59 | 1,15 | 13,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Katie …: -15,9%
Elena-Gabriela …: +15,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Katie Swan
Ranking
#269
UTR Rating
11,60 Pro
UTR Ranking
#214
Forma L5
0% (2p)
Forma L10
0% (2p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Elena-Gabriela Ruse
Ranking
#79
UTR Rating
12,16 Pro
UTR Ranking
#63
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
12/24 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -185,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,3148 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,1558 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -572,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -67,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -27,5000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 24,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -54,7908 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -66,3167 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -49,6083 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -52,2625 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -47,8917 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,3750 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -52,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -39,0674 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6154 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,0773 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 57,7885 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,3150 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1850 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,5700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4200 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4871 | |
| utr_advantage | -4,8081 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22036
API ID
15336256
Gamdom ID
584338
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22036,
"api_id": 15336256,
"gamdom_id": 584338,
"player1": "Katie Swan",
"player2": "Elena-Gabriela Ruse",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-09T23:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.25,
"p2": 1.3333333333333333
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 4.5,
"p2": 1.17
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 4.56,
"p2": 1.18
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.1318,
"prob_p2": 0.8682,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.8682,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 269,
"utr_singles": 11.6,
"utr_ranking": 214,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 79,
"utr_singles": 12.16,
"utr_ranking": 63,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 24,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.6,
"ranking": 214,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.16,
"ranking": 63,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.42000000000000004,
"utr_p2": 0.4870588235294118,
"utr_diff": -0.5700000000000003,
"rank_ratio": 0.3148148148148148,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 52.0,
"points_diff": -572,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -52.262499999999996,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.6,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -52.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.8,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"utr_advantage": -4.808097849008859,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -67,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.1557707025080584,
"rank_advantage": -185,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": -50.0,
"bp_converted_diff": -47.89166666666666,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 24,
"serve_quality_diff": -54.79083333333333,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6153846153846154,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.375,
"combined_confidence": 0.55,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"first_serve_won_diff": -66.31666666666666,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 0.6666666666666643,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.0773036362187085,
"surface_rank_synergy": 57.788535125402916,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": -49.60833333333334,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -39.06742857142858,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.31499999999999995,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.18500000000000005,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -27.500000000000004,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}