Sorana Cirstea vs Karolína Plíšková
Adelaide | Hard |
10 Ene 2026, 05:00
10 Ene 2026, 05:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sorana Cirstea
Sorana …: 96,6%
Karolína …: 3,4%
¿Por qué Sorana Cirstea?
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Sorana … | Karolína … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,17 | 5,00 | 85,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,04 | 29,50 | 96,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Sorana …: +15,5%
Karolína …: -15,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sorana Cirstea
Ranking
#41
UTR Rating
12,48 Pro
UTR Ranking
#25
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
26/41 = 63,4%
Karolína Plíšková
Ranking
#-
Forma L5
33% (3p)
Forma L10
33% (3p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 459,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 12,1951 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2,5010 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1243,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 479,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 63,4146 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 7,9444 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 41,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 63,4146 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 62,2222 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 41,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2683 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 56,8929 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 67,8878 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 53,8951 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 56,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 47,1927 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,3902 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2667 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 22,2222 | |
| momentum_diff | 29,7778 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 41,2633 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9589 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,0417 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,3155 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 158,6023 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,3249 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0410 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 190,2439 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5188 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5188 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22039
API ID
15336289
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
cancelled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22039,
"api_id": 15336289,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Sorana Cirstea",
"player2": "Karol\u00edna Pl\u00ed\u0161kov\u00e1",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-10T01:00:00+00:00",
"status": "cancelled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.1666666666666667,
"p2": 5.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.15,
"p2": 4.93
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.9661,
"prob_p2": 0.0339,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.9661,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 41,
"utr_singles": 12.48,
"utr_ranking": 25,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 63.41463414634146,
"wr_surface_wins": 26,
"wr_surface_total": 41,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.48,
"ranking": 25,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.5188235294117647,
"utr_p2": 0.5188235294117647,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 12.195121951219512,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 52.0,
"momentum_p2": 22.222222222222225,
"points_diff": 1243,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 56.0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.26666666666666666,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 29.777777777777775,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 63.41463414634146,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 479,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 2.501036031717884,
"rank_advantage": 459,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 3,
"surface_wr_diff": 63.41463414634146,
"bp_converted_diff": 47.19268292682927,
"p1_surface_matches": 41,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 56.89292682926829,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.958904109589041,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.3902439024390243,
"combined_confidence": 0.65,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 3,
"first_serve_won_diff": 67.88780487804877,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2682926829268293,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.041697490556764,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.3154590760009395,
"surface_rank_synergy": 158.60228493820728,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.22222222222222,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 53.89512195121951,
"surface_matches_ratio": 41.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 41.263333333333335,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 190.2439024390244,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 100,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.3248536585365853,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.041000000000000036,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 7.944444444444445,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}