Sorana Cirstea vs Karolína Plíšková
Adelaide | Hard |
10 Ene 2026, 05:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sorana Cirstea
Sorana …: 96,6% Karolína …: 3,4%
¿Por qué Sorana Cirstea?
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Sorana … Karolína … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,17 5,00 85,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,04 29,50 96,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Sorana …: +15,5% Karolína …: -15,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sorana Cirstea
Ranking #41
UTR Rating 12,48 Pro
UTR Ranking #25
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 26/41 = 63,4%
Karolína Plíšková
Ranking #-
Forma L5 33% (3p)
Forma L10 33% (3p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 459,0000
rank_ratio 12,1951
log_rank_ratio 2,5010
rank_tier_advantage 3,0000
points_diff 1243,0000
best_rank_diff 479,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 63,4146
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 7,9444
surface_matches_ratio 41,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 63,4146
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 62,2222
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 41,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2683
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,6500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 56,8929
first_serve_won_diff 67,8878
second_serve_won_diff 53,8951
bp_saved_diff 56,0000
bp_converted_diff 47,1927
aces_per_match_diff 3,3902
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2667
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 52,0000
momentum_p2 22,2222
momentum_diff 29,7778
weighted_momentum_diff 41,2633
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 100,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,9589
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 9,0417
serve_consistency_p2 4,3155
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 158,6023
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,3249
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0410
elite_surface_amplifier 190,2439
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,5188
utr_p2 0,5188
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22039
API ID 15336289
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Adelaide
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status cancelled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22039,
    "api_id": 15336289,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Sorana Cirstea",
    "player2": "Karol\u00edna Pl\u00ed\u0161kov\u00e1",
    "tournament": "Adelaide",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-10T01:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "cancelled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.1666666666666667,
      "p2": 5.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.15,
      "p2": 4.93
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.9661,
    "prob_p2": 0.0339,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.9661,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 41,
      "utr_singles": 12.48,
      "utr_ranking": 25,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 63.41463414634146,
      "wr_surface_wins": 26,
      "wr_surface_total": 41,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.48,
      "ranking": 25,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5188235294117647,
    "utr_p2": 0.5188235294117647,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 12.195121951219512,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 52.0,
    "momentum_p2": 22.222222222222225,
    "points_diff": 1243,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 56.0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.26666666666666666,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 29.777777777777775,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 63.41463414634146,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 479,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 2.501036031717884,
    "rank_advantage": 459,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 3,
    "surface_wr_diff": 63.41463414634146,
    "bp_converted_diff": 47.19268292682927,
    "p1_surface_matches": 41,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 56.89292682926829,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.958904109589041,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.3902439024390243,
    "combined_confidence": 0.65,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 67.88780487804877,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2682926829268293,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.041697490556764,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.3154590760009395,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 158.60228493820728,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.22222222222222,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 53.89512195121951,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 41.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 41.263333333333335,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 190.2439024390244,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 100,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.3248536585365853,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.041000000000000036,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 7.944444444444445,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}