Jaqueline Cristian vs Sarah Mildren
Adelaide | Hard |
10 Ene 2026, 07:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jaqueline Cristian
Jaqueline …: 95,5% Sarah …: 4,5%
¿Por qué Jaqueline Cristian?
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jaqueline … Sarah … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,00 101,00 99,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,05 22,42 95,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Jaqueline …: -3,5% Sarah …: +3,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jaqueline Cristian
Ranking #35
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 19/34 = 55,9%
Sarah Mildren
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 9,88 Junior
UTR Ranking #259
Forma L5 50% (0p)
Forma L10 50% (0p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 462,0000
rank_ratio 13,1579
log_rank_ratio 2,5770
rank_tier_advantage 3,0000
points_diff 1324,0000
best_rank_diff 462,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 55,8824
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 3,4211
surface_matches_ratio 34,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 55,8824
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 55,2632
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 34,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1176
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,6500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 53,1868
first_serve_won_diff 63,5412
second_serve_won_diff 52,9559
bp_saved_diff 57,9647
bp_converted_diff 42,9000
aces_per_match_diff 2,7647
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,1000
last3_wr_diff -0,1667
momentum_p1 22,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff -28,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,8960
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 5,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 30,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7018
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,8333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 5,2322
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 144,0100
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,4032
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0380
elite_surface_amplifier 167,6471
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,0000
utr_p2 0,0000
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22041
API ID 15336292
Gamdom ID 584332
Torneo Adelaide
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22041,
    "api_id": 15336292,
    "gamdom_id": 584332,
    "player1": "Jaqueline Cristian",
    "player2": "Sarah Mildren",
    "tournament": "Adelaide",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-10T03:50:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.001,
      "p2": 101.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": 12.0
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.01,
      "p2": 20.14
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.9554,
    "prob_p2": 0.0446,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.9554,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 35,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.88235294117647,
      "wr_surface_wins": 19,
      "wr_surface_total": 34,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 9.88,
      "utr_ranking": 259,
      "utr_division": "Junior",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50,
      "form_l10_wr": 50,
      "form_l5_matches": 0,
      "form_l10_matches": 0
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 9.88,
      "ranking": 259,
      "division": "Junior",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.0,
    "utr_p2": 0.0,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 13.157894736842104,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 22.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 1324,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 57.964705882352945,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666669,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.09999999999999998,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -28.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 55.88235294117647,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 462,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 2.5770219386958058,
    "rank_advantage": 462,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8333333333333334,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 55.88235294117647,
    "bp_converted_diff": 42.900000000000006,
    "p1_surface_matches": 34,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 53.186764705882354,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7017543859649122,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.764705882352941,
    "combined_confidence": 0.65,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 63.54117647058824,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.11764705882352941,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.232166946843214,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 144.01004951535384,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.26315789473685,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 52.955882352941174,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 34.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0.8960000000000008,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 167.64705882352942,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.40317647058823525,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.038000000000000034,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.4210526315789522,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}