Laura Siegemund vs Vera Zvonareva
Adelaide | Hard |
10 Ene 2026, 05:55
10 Ene 2026, 05:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Laura Siegemund
Laura …: 91,3%
Vera …: 8,8%
¿Por qué Laura Siegemund?
UTR 12,14 vs 11,43
(+0,88)
— Niveles similares
Laura …
Sin datos
Vera …
W13-L1
93% WR
vs UTR 10,3
W3
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Laura … | Vera … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,53 | 2,38 | 65,2% |
| Gamdom | 1,57 | 2,26 | 63,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,10 | 11,43 | 91,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Laura …: +30,5%
Vera …: -30,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Laura Siegemund
Ranking
#48
UTR Rating
12,14 Pro
UTR Ranking
#67
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
12/25 = 48,0%
Vera Zvonareva
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
11,43 Pro
UTR Ranking
#293
Forma L5
50% (2p)
Forma L10
50% (2p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Laura Siegemund
Sin datos UTR v4
Vera Zvonareva
Record 2025
13W - 1L (93%)
Racha
3W
UTR Oponentes
10,3
Últimos 5:
W
W
W
L
W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 455,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 11,1111 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2,4079 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1183,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 473,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 48,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -0,9770 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 25,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 48,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 48,2759 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 25,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0400 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 47,1300 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 58,4000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 53,1000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 49,1000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 41,5000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,1000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,1667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 42,8571 | |
| momentum_diff | 15,1429 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 32,2633 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 91,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7102 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5714 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,6716 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,4196 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 115,5814 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,4750 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0450 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 144,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,8800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4882 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3847 | |
| utr_advantage | 7,5149 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22042
API ID
15336312
Gamdom ID
584335
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22042,
"api_id": 15336312,
"gamdom_id": 584335,
"player1": "Laura Siegemund",
"player2": "Vera Zvonareva",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-10T01:55:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5333333333333332,
"p2": 2.375
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.57,
"p2": 2.26
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.6,
"p2": 2.23
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.9125,
"prob_p2": 0.0875,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.9125,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 48,
"utr_singles": 12.14,
"utr_ranking": 67,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 25,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 11.43,
"utr_ranking": 293,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 13,
"utr_v4_losses": 1,
"utr_v4_wr": 92.85714285714286,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 3,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.29,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.77,
"opponent_name": "Tara Wuerth"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Tereza Martincova"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.24,
"opponent_name": "Sofya Lansere"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.92,
"opponent_name": "Edda Mamedova"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Nina KRUIJER"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:56.621912+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.14,
"ranking": 67,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.43,
"ranking": 293,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4882352941176471,
"utr_p2": 0.3847058823529411,
"utr_diff": 0.8800000000000008,
"rank_ratio": 11.11111111111111,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 42.85714285714286,
"points_diff": 1183,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 49.1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666663,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.09999999999999998,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 15.142857142857132,
"p1_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 48.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 7.514944491887282,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 473,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 2.407945608651872,
"rank_advantage": 455,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5714285714285714,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": 48.0,
"bp_converted_diff": 41.5,
"p1_surface_matches": 25,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 47.129999999999995,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7102272727272727,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 3,
"first_serve_won_diff": 58.4,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.04,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.671572280780182,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.419580419580424,
"surface_rank_synergy": 115.58138921528985,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.275862068965516,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 53.1,
"surface_matches_ratio": 25.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 32.26328571428572,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 144.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 91,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.475,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.04500000000000004,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.9770114942528743,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}