Laura Siegemund vs Vera Zvonareva
Adelaide | Hard |
10 Ene 2026, 05:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Laura Siegemund
Laura …: 91,3% Vera …: 8,8%
¿Por qué Laura Siegemund?
UTR 12,14 vs 11,43 (+0,88) — Niveles similares
Laura …
Sin datos
Vera …
W13-L1
93% WR
vs UTR 10,3
W3
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Laura … Vera … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,53 2,38 65,2%
Gamdom 1,57 2,26 63,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,10 11,43 91,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Laura …: +30,5% Vera …: -30,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Laura Siegemund
Ranking #48
UTR Rating 12,14 Pro
UTR Ranking #67
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 12/25 = 48,0%
Vera Zvonareva
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,43 Pro
UTR Ranking #293
Forma L5 50% (2p)
Forma L10 50% (2p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Laura Siegemund
Sin datos UTR v4
Vera Zvonareva
Record 2025 13W - 1L (93%)
Racha 3W
UTR Oponentes 10,3
Últimos 5:
W W W L W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 455,0000
rank_ratio 11,1111
log_rank_ratio 2,4079
rank_tier_advantage 3,0000
points_diff 1183,0000
best_rank_diff 473,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 48,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -0,9770
surface_matches_ratio 25,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 48,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 48,2759
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 25,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0400
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8333
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,5667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 47,1300
first_serve_won_diff 58,4000
second_serve_won_diff 53,1000
bp_saved_diff 49,1000
bp_converted_diff 41,5000
aces_per_match_diff 1,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,1000
last3_wr_diff 0,1667
momentum_p1 58,0000
momentum_p2 42,8571
momentum_diff 15,1429
weighted_momentum_diff 32,2633
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 91,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 4,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7102
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5714
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 8,6716
serve_consistency_p2 5,4196
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 115,5814
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,4750
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0450
elite_surface_amplifier 144,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,8800
utr_p1 0,4882
utr_p2 0,3847
utr_advantage 7,5149
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22042
API ID 15336312
Gamdom ID 584335
Torneo Adelaide
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22042,
    "api_id": 15336312,
    "gamdom_id": 584335,
    "player1": "Laura Siegemund",
    "player2": "Vera Zvonareva",
    "tournament": "Adelaide",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-10T01:55:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5333333333333332,
      "p2": 2.375
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.57,
      "p2": 2.26
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.6,
      "p2": 2.23
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.9125,
    "prob_p2": 0.0875,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.9125,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 48,
      "utr_singles": 12.14,
      "utr_ranking": 67,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 25,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.43,
      "utr_ranking": 293,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 13,
      "utr_v4_losses": 1,
      "utr_v4_wr": 92.85714285714286,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 3,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.29,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.77,
          "opponent_name": "Tara Wuerth"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Tereza Martincova"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.24,
          "opponent_name": "Sofya Lansere"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.92,
          "opponent_name": "Edda Mamedova"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Nina KRUIJER"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:56.621912+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.14,
      "ranking": 67,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.43,
      "ranking": 293,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4882352941176471,
    "utr_p2": 0.3847058823529411,
    "utr_diff": 0.8800000000000008,
    "rank_ratio": 11.11111111111111,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 42.85714285714286,
    "points_diff": 1183,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 49.1,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666663,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.09999999999999998,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 15.142857142857132,
    "p1_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 48.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 7.514944491887282,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 473,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 2.407945608651872,
    "rank_advantage": 455,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5714285714285714,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 48.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 41.5,
    "p1_surface_matches": 25,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 47.129999999999995,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7102272727272727,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 58.4,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.04,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.671572280780182,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.419580419580424,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 115.58138921528985,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.275862068965516,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 53.1,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 25.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 32.26328571428572,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 144.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 91,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.475,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.04500000000000004,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.9770114942528743,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}