Marie Bouzkova vs Aleksandra Krunic
Adelaide | Hard |
10 Ene 2026, 07:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Marie Bouzkova
Marie …: 91,6% Aleksandra …: 8,5%
¿Por qué Marie Bouzkova?
UTR 12,48 vs 11,39 (+1,08) — Ligera ventaja
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Marie … Aleksandra … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,05 11,00 95,2%
Gamdom 1,05 8,00 95,2%
IA Fair Odds 1,09 11,83 91,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Marie …: +0,3% Aleksandra …: -0,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Marie Bouzkova
Ranking #44
UTR Rating 12,48 Pro
UTR Ranking #22
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 20/32 = 62,5%
Aleksandra Krunic
Ranking #474
UTR Rating 11,39 Pro
UTR Ranking #307
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 3/7 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 421,0000
rank_ratio 10,1522
log_rank_ratio 2,3177
rank_tier_advantage 3,0000
points_diff 1067,0000
best_rank_diff 15,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 19,6429
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 9,9574
surface_matches_ratio 4,5714
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 62,5000
surface_wr_p2 42,8571
surface_wr_p1_stable 61,1111
surface_wr_p2_stable 46,8182
p1_surface_matches 32,0000
p2_surface_matches 7,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2500
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,3933
combined_confidence 0,6967
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 2,1941
first_serve_won_diff 2,0375
second_serve_won_diff 3,0250
bp_saved_diff 14,3125
bp_converted_diff -0,1250
aces_per_match_diff 0,1339
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 32,0000
momentum_p2 2,0000
momentum_diff 30,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 32,6500
current_streak_diff 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 146,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5962
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7143
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 5,6405
serve_consistency_p2 3,7338
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 45,5260
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2960
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,3496
elite_surface_amplifier 58,9286
UTR
utr_diff 1,0800
utr_p1 0,5271
utr_p2 0,4000
utr_advantage 9,0452
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22043
API ID 15336310
Gamdom ID 584334
Torneo Adelaide
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22043,
    "api_id": 15336310,
    "gamdom_id": 584334,
    "player1": "Marie Bouzkova",
    "player2": "Aleksandra Krunic",
    "tournament": "Adelaide",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-10T03:45:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.05,
      "p2": 11.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.05,
      "p2": 8.0
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.05,
      "p2": 9.2
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.9155,
    "prob_p2": 0.0845,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.9155,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 44,
      "utr_singles": 12.48,
      "utr_ranking": 22,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 62.5,
      "wr_surface_wins": 20,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 474,
      "utr_singles": 11.39,
      "utr_ranking": 307,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 7,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.48,
      "ranking": 22,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.39,
      "ranking": 307,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5270588235294118,
    "utr_p2": 0.4,
    "utr_diff": 1.08,
    "rank_ratio": 10.152173913043478,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 32.0,
    "momentum_p2": 2.0,
    "points_diff": 1067,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 14.3125,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 30.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 62.5,
    "surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
    "utr_advantage": 9.045226130653267,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 15,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 2.3176878611798024,
    "rank_advantage": 421,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7142857142857143,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 19.642857142857146,
    "bp_converted_diff": -0.125,
    "p1_surface_matches": 32,
    "p2_surface_matches": 7,
    "serve_quality_diff": 2.194107142857149,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5961538461538461,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.13392857142857162,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6966666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 2.0375000000000085,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.25,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.640547151793917,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.7337542073444374,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 45.52601155888898,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.111111111111114,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 46.81818181818182,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 3.0249999999999986,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 4.571428571428571,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 32.65,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 58.92857142857144,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 146,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.29600000000000004,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.3495714285714286,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 9.957407407407407,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}