Marie Bouzkova vs Aleksandra Krunic
Adelaide | Hard |
10 Ene 2026, 07:45
10 Ene 2026, 07:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Marie Bouzkova
Marie …: 91,6%
Aleksandra …: 8,5%
¿Por qué Marie Bouzkova?
UTR 12,48 vs 11,39
(+1,08)
— Ligera ventaja
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Marie … | Aleksandra … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,05 | 11,00 | 95,2% |
| Gamdom | 1,05 | 8,00 | 95,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,09 | 11,83 | 91,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Marie …: +0,3%
Aleksandra …: -0,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Marie Bouzkova
Ranking
#44
UTR Rating
12,48 Pro
UTR Ranking
#22
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
20/32 = 62,5%
Aleksandra Krunic
Ranking
#474
UTR Rating
11,39 Pro
UTR Ranking
#307
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
3/7 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 421,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 10,1522 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2,3177 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1067,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 15,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 19,6429 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 9,9574 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 4,5714 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 62,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 61,1111 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 46,8182 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 7,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2500 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3933 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6967 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 2,1941 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2,0375 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3,0250 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 14,3125 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0,1250 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,1339 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 32,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 30,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 32,6500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 146,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5962 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7143 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,6405 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3,7338 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 45,5260 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2960 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,3496 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 58,9286 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,0800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5271 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4000 | |
| utr_advantage | 9,0452 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22043
API ID
15336310
Gamdom ID
584334
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22043,
"api_id": 15336310,
"gamdom_id": 584334,
"player1": "Marie Bouzkova",
"player2": "Aleksandra Krunic",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-10T03:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.05,
"p2": 11.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.05,
"p2": 8.0
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.05,
"p2": 9.2
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.9155,
"prob_p2": 0.0845,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.9155,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 44,
"utr_singles": 12.48,
"utr_ranking": 22,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 474,
"utr_singles": 11.39,
"utr_ranking": 307,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.48,
"ranking": 22,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.39,
"ranking": 307,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.5270588235294118,
"utr_p2": 0.4,
"utr_diff": 1.08,
"rank_ratio": 10.152173913043478,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 32.0,
"momentum_p2": 2.0,
"points_diff": 1067,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 14.3125,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 30.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 62.5,
"surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
"utr_advantage": 9.045226130653267,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 15,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 2.3176878611798024,
"rank_advantage": 421,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7142857142857143,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": 19.642857142857146,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.125,
"p1_surface_matches": 32,
"p2_surface_matches": 7,
"serve_quality_diff": 2.194107142857149,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5961538461538461,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.13392857142857162,
"combined_confidence": 0.6966666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 3,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.0375000000000085,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.25,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.640547151793917,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.7337542073444374,
"surface_rank_synergy": 45.52601155888898,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.111111111111114,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 46.81818181818182,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.0249999999999986,
"surface_matches_ratio": 4.571428571428571,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 32.65,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 58.92857142857144,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 146,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.29600000000000004,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.3495714285714286,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 9.957407407407407,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}