Xiaodi You vs Anastasia Potapova
Adelaide | Hard |
10 Ene 2026, 07:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Anastasia Potapova
Xiaodi …: 21,9% Anastasia …: 78,1%
¿Por qué Anastasia Potapova?
UTR 11,38 vs 12,10 (-0,81) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Xiaodi … Anastasia … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 7,00 1,10 14,3%
Gamdom 6,40 1,08 15,6%
IA Fair Odds 4,57 1,28 21,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Xiaodi …: +8,3% Anastasia …: -8,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Xiaodi You
Ranking #285
UTR Rating 11,38 Pro
UTR Ranking #315
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 2/4 = 50,0%
Anastasia Potapova
Ranking #55
UTR Rating 12,10 Pro
UTR Ranking #78
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 17/29 = 58,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -228,0000
rank_ratio 0,1943
log_rank_ratio -1,6381
rank_tier_advantage -2,0000
points_diff -835,0000
best_rank_diff -145,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -8,6207
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -5,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,1379
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 58,6207
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 57,5758
p1_surface_matches 4,0000
p2_surface_matches 29,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3533
p2_confidence 0,9667
combined_confidence 0,6600
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -1,8241
first_serve_won_diff -8,3276
second_serve_won_diff 6,0172
bp_saved_diff -8,5034
bp_converted_diff -0,1690
aces_per_match_diff 0,2672
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 32,0000
momentum_p2 40,0000
momentum_diff -8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -18,7800
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 75,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 3,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6639
tiebreak_wr_p1 1,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3333
serve_consistency_p1 16,7746
serve_consistency_p2 9,0379
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 14,1217
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2280
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1418
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,8100
utr_p1 0,3976
utr_p2 0,4929
utr_advantage -6,8731
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22044
API ID 15336290
Gamdom ID 584333
Torneo Adelaide
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22044,
    "api_id": 15336290,
    "gamdom_id": 584333,
    "player1": "Xiaodi You",
    "player2": "Anastasia Potapova",
    "tournament": "Adelaide",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-10T03:15:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 7.0,
      "p2": 1.1
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 6.4,
      "p2": 1.08
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 7.19,
      "p2": 1.08
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2186,
    "prob_p2": 0.7814,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7814,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 285,
      "utr_singles": 11.38,
      "utr_ranking": 315,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 2,
      "wr_surface_total": 4,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 55,
      "utr_singles": 12.1,
      "utr_ranking": 78,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 58.620689655172406,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 29,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.38,
      "ranking": 315,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.1,
      "ranking": 78,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.3976470588235295,
    "utr_p2": 0.49294117647058816,
    "utr_diff": -0.8099999999999987,
    "rank_ratio": 0.19434628975265017,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 32.0,
    "momentum_p2": 40.0,
    "points_diff": -835,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -8.503448275862077,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -8.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 58.620689655172406,
    "utr_advantage": -6.873143826898589,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -145,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.6381137124107668,
    "rank_advantage": -228,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -8.620689655172406,
    "bp_converted_diff": -0.1689655172413822,
    "p1_surface_matches": 4,
    "p2_surface_matches": 29,
    "serve_quality_diff": -1.8241379310344783,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6638655462184874,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.26724137931034475,
    "combined_confidence": 0.66,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -8.327586206896548,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 16.774640854574287,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.037941750101911,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 14.121669934575563,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 57.57575757575758,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 6.017241379310342,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.13793103448275862,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -18.78000000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 75,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.22799999999999998,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.1417931034482759,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.000000000000002,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}