Xiaodi You vs Anastasia Potapova
Adelaide | Hard |
10 Ene 2026, 07:15
10 Ene 2026, 07:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Anastasia Potapova
Xiaodi …: 21,9%
Anastasia …: 78,1%
¿Por qué Anastasia Potapova?
UTR 11,38 vs 12,10
(-0,81)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Xiaodi … | Anastasia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 7,00 | 1,10 | 14,3% |
| Gamdom | 6,40 | 1,08 | 15,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 4,57 | 1,28 | 21,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Xiaodi …: +8,3%
Anastasia …: -8,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Xiaodi You
Ranking
#285
UTR Rating
11,38 Pro
UTR Ranking
#315
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
2/4 = 50,0%
Anastasia Potapova
Ranking
#55
UTR Rating
12,10 Pro
UTR Ranking
#78
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
17/29 = 58,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -228,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,1943 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,6381 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -835,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -145,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -8,6207 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -5,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,1379 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 58,6207 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 57,5758 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 4,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 29,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3533 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6600 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1,8241 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -8,3276 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 6,0172 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -8,5034 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0,1690 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,2672 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 32,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -18,7800 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 75,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6639 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 16,7746 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,0379 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 14,1217 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2280 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1418 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,8100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3976 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4929 | |
| utr_advantage | -6,8731 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22044
API ID
15336290
Gamdom ID
584333
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22044,
"api_id": 15336290,
"gamdom_id": 584333,
"player1": "Xiaodi You",
"player2": "Anastasia Potapova",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-10T03:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 7.0,
"p2": 1.1
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 6.4,
"p2": 1.08
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 7.19,
"p2": 1.08
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2186,
"prob_p2": 0.7814,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7814,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 285,
"utr_singles": 11.38,
"utr_ranking": 315,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 4,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 55,
"utr_singles": 12.1,
"utr_ranking": 78,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 58.620689655172406,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.38,
"ranking": 315,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.1,
"ranking": 78,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.3976470588235295,
"utr_p2": 0.49294117647058816,
"utr_diff": -0.8099999999999987,
"rank_ratio": 0.19434628975265017,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 32.0,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"points_diff": -835,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -8.503448275862077,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -8.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 58.620689655172406,
"utr_advantage": -6.873143826898589,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -145,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.6381137124107668,
"rank_advantage": -228,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": -8.620689655172406,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.1689655172413822,
"p1_surface_matches": 4,
"p2_surface_matches": 29,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.8241379310344783,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6638655462184874,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.26724137931034475,
"combined_confidence": 0.66,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"first_serve_won_diff": -8.327586206896548,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 16.774640854574287,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.037941750101911,
"surface_rank_synergy": 14.121669934575563,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 57.57575757575758,
"second_serve_won_diff": 6.017241379310342,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.13793103448275862,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -18.78000000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 75,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.22799999999999998,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.1417931034482759,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.000000000000002,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}