Varvara Gracheva vs Katie Volynets
Hobart | Hard |
10 Ene 2026, 04:45
10 Ene 2026, 04:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Varvara Gracheva
Varvara …: 51,5%
Katie …: 48,5%
¿Por qué Varvara Gracheva?
UTR 12,08 vs 12,00
(+0,09)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Varvara … | Katie … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gamdom | 1,98 | 1,74 | 50,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,94 | 2,06 | 51,5% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Varvara Gracheva
Ranking
#77
UTR Rating
12,08 Pro
UTR Ranking
#79
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
18/32 = 56,3%
Katie Volynets
Ranking
#96
UTR Rating
12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking
#115
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
21/36 = 58,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 21,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,2800 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,2469 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 104,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 17,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -2,0833 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -1,9444 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8889 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 56,2500 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 58,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 55,5556 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 57,5000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 36,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1250 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 6,5094 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2,4688 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 5,5000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -7,6344 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -2,8906 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,8125 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -3,0200 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 7,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5867 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,4423 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,2222 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,0547 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,7343 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,5143 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0415 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1043 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4788 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4682 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,7484 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22046
API ID
15336322
Gamdom ID
584511
Torneo
Hobart
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
cancelled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22046,
"api_id": 15336322,
"gamdom_id": 584511,
"player1": "Varvara Gracheva",
"player2": "Katie Volynets",
"tournament": "Hobart",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-10T00:45:00+00:00",
"status": "cancelled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.98,
"p2": 1.74
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.96,
"p2": 1.78
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5149,
"prob_p2": 0.4851,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5149,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 77,
"utr_singles": 12.08,
"utr_ranking": 79,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.25,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 96,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 115,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 58.333333333333336,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 36,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.08,
"ranking": 79,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.0,
"ranking": 115,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.47882352941176476,
"utr_p2": 0.4682352941176471,
"utr_diff": 0.08999999999999986,
"rank_ratio": 1.28,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"points_diff": 104,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -7.6343749999999915,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -9.999999999999996,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 56.25,
"surface_wr_p2": 58.333333333333336,
"utr_advantage": 0.7484407484407473,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 17,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.2468600779315258,
"rank_advantage": 21,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2222222222222222,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": -2.0833333333333357,
"bp_converted_diff": -2.890624999999993,
"p1_surface_matches": 32,
"p2_surface_matches": 36,
"serve_quality_diff": 6.509375000000006,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5866666666666667,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.4423076923076923,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.8125,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.468750000000007,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.125,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.054685703306221,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.734272588736071,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.5142918290240127,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.55555555555556,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 57.49999999999999,
"second_serve_won_diff": 5.5,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8888888888888888,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -3.019999999999996,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 7,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.04149999999999998,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.10433333333333339,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.9444444444444358,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}