Varvara Gracheva vs Katie Volynets
Hobart | Hard |
10 Ene 2026, 04:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Varvara Gracheva
Varvara …: 51,5% Katie …: 48,5%
¿Por qué Varvara Gracheva?
UTR 12,08 vs 12,00 (+0,09) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Varvara … Katie … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 1,98 1,74 50,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,94 2,06 51,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Varvara Gracheva
Ranking #77
UTR Rating 12,08 Pro
UTR Ranking #79
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 18/32 = 56,3%
Katie Volynets
Ranking #96
UTR Rating 12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #115
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 21/36 = 58,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 21,0000
rank_ratio 1,2800
log_rank_ratio 0,2469
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 104,0000
best_rank_diff 17,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -2,0833
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -1,9444
surface_matches_ratio 0,8889
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 56,2500
surface_wr_p2 58,3333
surface_wr_p1_stable 55,5556
surface_wr_p2_stable 57,5000
p1_surface_matches 32,0000
p2_surface_matches 36,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1250
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 6,5094
first_serve_won_diff 2,4688
second_serve_won_diff 5,5000
bp_saved_diff -7,6344
bp_converted_diff -2,8906
aces_per_match_diff 1,8125
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 30,0000
momentum_p2 40,0000
momentum_diff -10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -3,0200
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 7,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 1,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5867
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,4423
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,2000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,2222
serve_consistency_p1 11,0547
serve_consistency_p2 4,7343
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,5143
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0415
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1043
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0900
utr_p1 0,4788
utr_p2 0,4682
utr_advantage 0,7484
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22046
API ID 15336322
Gamdom ID 584511
Torneo Hobart
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status cancelled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22046,
    "api_id": 15336322,
    "gamdom_id": 584511,
    "player1": "Varvara Gracheva",
    "player2": "Katie Volynets",
    "tournament": "Hobart",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-10T00:45:00+00:00",
    "status": "cancelled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.98,
      "p2": 1.74
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.96,
      "p2": 1.78
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5149,
    "prob_p2": 0.4851,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5149,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 77,
      "utr_singles": 12.08,
      "utr_ranking": 79,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.25,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 96,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 115,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 58.333333333333336,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 36,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.08,
      "ranking": 79,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 115,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.47882352941176476,
    "utr_p2": 0.4682352941176471,
    "utr_diff": 0.08999999999999986,
    "rank_ratio": 1.28,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 40.0,
    "points_diff": 104,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -7.6343749999999915,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -9.999999999999996,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 56.25,
    "surface_wr_p2": 58.333333333333336,
    "utr_advantage": 0.7484407484407473,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 17,
    "h2h_on_surface": 1,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.2468600779315258,
    "rank_advantage": 21,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2222222222222222,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -2.0833333333333357,
    "bp_converted_diff": -2.890624999999993,
    "p1_surface_matches": 32,
    "p2_surface_matches": 36,
    "serve_quality_diff": 6.509375000000006,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5866666666666667,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.4423076923076923,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.8125,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 2.468750000000007,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.125,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.054685703306221,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.734272588736071,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.5142918290240127,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.55555555555556,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 57.49999999999999,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 5.5,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.8888888888888888,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -3.019999999999996,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 7,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.04149999999999998,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.10433333333333339,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.9444444444444358,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}