Viktorija Golubic vs Alycia Parks
Hobart | Hard |
10 Ene 2026, 05:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Viktorija Golubic
Viktorija …: 54,2% Alycia …: 45,8%
¿Por qué Viktorija Golubic?
UTR 12,02 vs 11,84 (+0,26) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Viktorija … Alycia … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,50 2,50 66,7%
Gamdom 1,47 2,50 68,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,85 2,18 54,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Viktorija …: -8,3% Alycia …: +8,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Viktorija Golubic
Ranking #83
UTR Rating 12,02 Pro
UTR Ranking #99
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 21/37 = 56,8%
Alycia Parks
Ranking #99
UTR Rating 11,84 Pro
UTR Ranking #157
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 21/41 = 51,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 21,0000
rank_ratio 1,2625
log_rank_ratio 0,2331
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 81,0000
best_rank_diff 5,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 5,5372
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 4,9864
surface_matches_ratio 0,9024
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 56,7568
surface_wr_p2 51,2195
surface_wr_p1_stable 56,0976
surface_wr_p2_stable 51,1111
p1_surface_matches 37,0000
p2_surface_matches 41,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1351
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -18,1465
first_serve_won_diff -6,3692
second_serve_won_diff -6,8802
bp_saved_diff 2,5267
bp_converted_diff 6,7277
aces_per_match_diff -6,4489
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 58,0000
momentum_p2 28,0000
momentum_diff 30,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 26,7400
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 69,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 3,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8242
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,2500
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4444
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3333
serve_consistency_p1 6,3162
serve_consistency_p2 5,7973
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 1,2907
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0466
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0332
elite_surface_amplifier 5,5372
UTR
utr_diff 0,2600
utr_p1 0,4741
utr_p2 0,4435
utr_advantage 2,1849
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22047
API ID 15336343
Gamdom ID 584525
Torneo Hobart
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22047,
    "api_id": 15336343,
    "gamdom_id": 584525,
    "player1": "Viktorija Golubic",
    "player2": "Alycia Parks",
    "tournament": "Hobart",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-10T01:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5,
      "p2": 2.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.47,
      "p2": 2.5
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.59,
      "p2": 2.29
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5417,
    "prob_p2": 0.4583,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5417,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 83,
      "utr_singles": 12.02,
      "utr_ranking": 99,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.75675675675676,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 37,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 99,
      "utr_singles": 11.84,
      "utr_ranking": 157,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.21951219512195,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 41,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.02,
      "ranking": 99,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.84,
      "ranking": 157,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4741176470588235,
    "utr_p2": 0.44352941176470584,
    "utr_diff": 0.2599999999999998,
    "rank_ratio": 1.2625,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 28.000000000000004,
    "points_diff": 81,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 2.526697429136455,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 29.99999999999999,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 56.75675675675676,
    "surface_wr_p2": 51.21951219512195,
    "utr_advantage": 2.1848739495798304,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.2330938821673778,
    "rank_advantage": 21,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4444444444444444,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 5.537244561634807,
    "bp_converted_diff": 6.727686222808167,
    "p1_surface_matches": 37,
    "p2_surface_matches": 41,
    "serve_quality_diff": -18.146479894528674,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8241758241758241,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.25,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -6.448912326961107,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -6.369215557020446,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.13513513513513514,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.316168610189268,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.797274983968309,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 1.2906978313816573,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.09756097560976,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.11111111111111,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -6.880158206987474,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.9024390243902439,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 26.740000000000002,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 5.537244561634807,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 69,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.046567567567567525,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.03319512195121954,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.986449864498653,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}