Viktorija Golubic vs Alycia Parks
Hobart | Hard |
10 Ene 2026, 05:00
10 Ene 2026, 05:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Viktorija Golubic
Viktorija …: 54,2%
Alycia …: 45,8%
¿Por qué Viktorija Golubic?
UTR 12,02 vs 11,84
(+0,26)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Viktorija … | Alycia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,50 | 2,50 | 66,7% |
| Gamdom | 1,47 | 2,50 | 68,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,85 | 2,18 | 54,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Viktorija …: -8,3%
Alycia …: +8,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Viktorija Golubic
Ranking
#83
UTR Rating
12,02 Pro
UTR Ranking
#99
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
21/37 = 56,8%
Alycia Parks
Ranking
#99
UTR Rating
11,84 Pro
UTR Ranking
#157
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
21/41 = 51,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 21,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,2625 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,2331 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 81,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 5,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 5,5372 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 4,9864 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9024 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 56,7568 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 51,2195 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 56,0976 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 51,1111 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 37,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 41,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1351 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -18,1465 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -6,3692 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -6,8802 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,5267 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 6,7277 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -6,4489 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 30,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 26,7400 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 69,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8242 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,2500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4444 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,3162 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,7973 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1,2907 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0466 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0332 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 5,5372 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4741 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4435 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,1849 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22047
API ID
15336343
Gamdom ID
584525
Torneo
Hobart
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22047,
"api_id": 15336343,
"gamdom_id": 584525,
"player1": "Viktorija Golubic",
"player2": "Alycia Parks",
"tournament": "Hobart",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-10T01:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5,
"p2": 2.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.47,
"p2": 2.5
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.59,
"p2": 2.29
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5417,
"prob_p2": 0.4583,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5417,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 83,
"utr_singles": 12.02,
"utr_ranking": 99,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.75675675675676,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 37,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 99,
"utr_singles": 11.84,
"utr_ranking": 157,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.21951219512195,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 41,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.02,
"ranking": 99,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.84,
"ranking": 157,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4741176470588235,
"utr_p2": 0.44352941176470584,
"utr_diff": 0.2599999999999998,
"rank_ratio": 1.2625,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 28.000000000000004,
"points_diff": 81,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.526697429136455,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 29.99999999999999,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 56.75675675675676,
"surface_wr_p2": 51.21951219512195,
"utr_advantage": 2.1848739495798304,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.2330938821673778,
"rank_advantage": 21,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4444444444444444,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 5.537244561634807,
"bp_converted_diff": 6.727686222808167,
"p1_surface_matches": 37,
"p2_surface_matches": 41,
"serve_quality_diff": -18.146479894528674,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8241758241758241,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.25,
"aces_per_match_diff": -6.448912326961107,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -6.369215557020446,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.13513513513513514,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.316168610189268,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.797274983968309,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.2906978313816573,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.09756097560976,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.11111111111111,
"second_serve_won_diff": -6.880158206987474,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9024390243902439,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 26.740000000000002,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 5.537244561634807,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 69,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.046567567567567525,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.03319512195121954,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.986449864498653,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}