Gabriella da Silva Fick vs Sara Bejlek
Hobart | Hard |
10 Ene 2026, 06:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sara Bejlek
Gabriella …: 9,9% Sara …: 90,1%
¿Por qué Sara Bejlek?
UTR 10,68 vs 12,19 (-1,47) — Ligera ventaja
Gabriella …
W22-L19
54% WR
vs UTR 10,4
L1
Sara …
Sin datos
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (39%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Gabriella … Sara … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 19,00 1,02 5,3%
Gamdom 12,00 1,01 8,3%
IA Fair Odds 10,07 1,11 9,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Gabriella …: +4,8% Sara …: -4,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Gabriella da Silva Fick
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,68 Pro
UTR Ranking #693
Forma L5 0% (2p)
Forma L10 0% (2p)
WR Hard 0/2 = 0,0%
Sara Bejlek
Ranking #89
UTR Rating 12,19 Pro
UTR Ranking #57
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 7/12 = 58,3%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Gabriella da Silva Fick
Record 2025 22W - 19L (54%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 10,4
Últimos 5:
L W L W L
Sara Bejlek
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -407,0000
rank_ratio 0,1860
log_rank_ratio -1,6820
rank_tier_advantage -2,0000
points_diff -792,0000
best_rank_diff -425,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -58,3333
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -19,5028
surface_matches_ratio 0,1667
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 58,3333
surface_wr_p1_stable 6,6667
surface_wr_p2_stable 56,2500
p1_surface_matches 2,0000
p2_surface_matches 12,0000
p1_surface_dominance -1,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3267
p2_confidence 0,4600
combined_confidence 0,3933
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 13,7800
first_serve_won_diff 6,1000
second_serve_won_diff 4,1000
bp_saved_diff 6,1000
bp_converted_diff -20,2000
aces_per_match_diff 4,7500
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,6000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 40,0000
momentum_diff -40,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -33,0329
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 370,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 3,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,2778
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4000
serve_consistency_p1 7,1527
serve_consistency_p2 4,5968
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 98,1172
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0930
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,3237
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,4700
utr_p1 0,3153
utr_p2 0,4882
utr_advantage -12,8778
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22048
API ID 15336320
Gamdom ID 584523
Torneo Hobart
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status cancelled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22048,
    "api_id": 15336320,
    "gamdom_id": 584523,
    "player1": "Gabriella da Silva Fick",
    "player2": "Sara Bejlek",
    "tournament": "Hobart",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-10T02:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "cancelled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 19.0,
      "p2": 1.02
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 12.0,
      "p2": 1.01
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 14.07,
      "p2": 1.02
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.0993,
    "prob_p2": 0.9007,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.9007,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.68,
      "utr_ranking": 693,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 22,
      "utr_v4_losses": 19,
      "utr_v4_wr": 53.65853658536586,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.38,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.11,
          "opponent_name": "Sarah Rokusek"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.62,
          "opponent_name": "Destanee Aiava"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.31,
          "opponent_name": "Mei Yamaguchi"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.33,
          "opponent_name": "Dayeon Back"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.37,
          "opponent_name": "Taylah Preston"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:28.376989+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 2,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 89,
      "utr_singles": 12.19,
      "utr_ranking": 57,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 58.333333333333336,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 12,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 10.68,
      "ranking": 693,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.19,
      "ranking": 57,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.3152941176470588,
    "utr_p2": 0.4882352941176471,
    "utr_diff": -1.4700000000000006,
    "rank_ratio": 0.186,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 40.0,
    "points_diff": -792,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 6.100000000000001,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.6,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -40.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 0.46,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 58.333333333333336,
    "utr_advantage": -12.877792378449415,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -425,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.6820086052689358,
    "rank_advantage": -407,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -58.333333333333336,
    "bp_converted_diff": -20.20000000000001,
    "p1_surface_matches": 2,
    "p2_surface_matches": 12,
    "serve_quality_diff": 13.780000000000008,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.2777777777777777,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 4.75,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 6.1000000000000085,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.152658662092623,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.596797028312369,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 98.11716864068792,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 6.666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.25,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 4.100000000000001,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.16666666666666666,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -33.03285714285714,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 370,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.09299999999999997,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.32366666666666666,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -19.502777777777776,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}