Petra Marčinko vs Sarah Rokusek
Hobart | Hard |
10 Ene 2026, 07:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Petra Marčinko
Petra …: 83,2% Sarah …: 16,8%
¿Por qué Petra Marčinko?
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (37%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Petra … Sarah … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,04 13,00 96,2%
IA Fair Odds 1,20 5,94 83,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Petra …: -9,4% Sarah …: +9,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Petra Marčinko
Ranking #81
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 6/10 = 60,0%
Sarah Rokusek
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,15 Pro
UTR Ranking #978
Forma L5 0% (1p)
Forma L10 0% (1p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 418,0000
rank_ratio 6,0976
log_rank_ratio 1,8079
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 837,0000
best_rank_diff 418,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 60,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 2,6190
surface_matches_ratio 10,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 60,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 57,1429
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 10,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4333
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 53,1640
first_serve_won_diff 67,6400
second_serve_won_diff 52,4800
bp_saved_diff 55,6800
bp_converted_diff 48,8400
aces_per_match_diff 1,8000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 32,0000
momentum_p2 0,0000
momentum_diff 32,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 29,8500
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 5,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 13,1735
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 108,4733
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,3180
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0820
elite_surface_amplifier 120,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,2553
utr_p2 0,2553
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22049
API ID 15336341
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Hobart
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22049,
    "api_id": 15336341,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Petra Mar\u010dinko",
    "player2": "Sarah Rokusek",
    "tournament": "Hobart",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-10T03:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.04,
      "p2": 13.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8316,
    "prob_p2": 0.1684,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8316,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 81,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 10,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.15,
      "utr_ranking": 978,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 1,
      "form_l10_matches": 1
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 10.15,
      "ranking": 978,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.25529411764705884,
    "utr_p2": 0.25529411764705884,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 6.097560975609756,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 32.0,
    "momentum_p2": 0.0,
    "points_diff": 837,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 55.67999999999999,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 32.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 60.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 418,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.8078888511579387,
    "rank_advantage": 418,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 60.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 48.84,
    "p1_surface_matches": 10,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 53.164,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.8,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3666666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 67.64,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 13.173541336586146,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 108.47333106947633,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.14285714285714,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 52.48,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 10.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 29.85,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 120.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.31800000000000006,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.08199999999999996,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.6190476190476177,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}