Petra Marčinko vs Sarah Rokusek
Hobart | Hard |
10 Ene 2026, 07:40
10 Ene 2026, 07:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Petra Marčinko
Petra …: 83,2%
Sarah …: 16,8%
¿Por qué Petra Marčinko?
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (37%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Petra … | Sarah … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,04 | 13,00 | 96,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,20 | 5,94 | 83,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Petra …: -9,4%
Sarah …: +9,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Petra Marčinko
Ranking
#81
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
6/10 = 60,0%
Sarah Rokusek
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10,15 Pro
UTR Ranking
#978
Forma L5
0% (1p)
Forma L10
0% (1p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 418,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 6,0976 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,8079 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 837,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 418,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 2,6190 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 10,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 57,1429 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 10,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 53,1640 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 67,6400 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 52,4800 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 55,6800 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 48,8400 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,8000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 32,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 32,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 29,8500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 13,1735 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 108,4733 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,3180 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0820 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 120,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,2553 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,2553 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22049
API ID
15336341
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Hobart
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22049,
"api_id": 15336341,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Petra Mar\u010dinko",
"player2": "Sarah Rokusek",
"tournament": "Hobart",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-10T03:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.04,
"p2": 13.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8316,
"prob_p2": 0.1684,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8316,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 81,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 10,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.15,
"utr_ranking": 978,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
"score": 10.15,
"ranking": 978,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.25529411764705884,
"utr_p2": 0.25529411764705884,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 6.097560975609756,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 32.0,
"momentum_p2": 0.0,
"points_diff": 837,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 55.67999999999999,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 32.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 60.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 418,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.8078888511579387,
"rank_advantage": 418,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 60.0,
"bp_converted_diff": 48.84,
"p1_surface_matches": 10,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 53.164,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.8,
"combined_confidence": 0.3666666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 67.64,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
"serve_consistency_p1": 13.173541336586146,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 108.47333106947633,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.14285714285714,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 52.48,
"surface_matches_ratio": 10.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 29.85,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 120.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.31800000000000006,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.08199999999999996,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.6190476190476177,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}